How does that save money?
Here's a
very simple example using a starting min wage rate of $15 per hour. Other numbers are not intended to be accurate to anything; just examples to show how a business that needs 20% profit margin will offset a minimum wage increase. Note that no change in overhead or CoGS occurs; all changes are from the min wage increase only.
1. Before minimum wage increase, for a business with
4 full-time min wage earners and the owner,
with med benefits
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Cost of Goods Sold= $5,000 / mo
Overhead = $2,000 / mo
Payroll = $15,000 / mo
Benefits = $1,200 / mo
Taxes = $1,200 / mo
____________________________
Total Expenses = $24,400 /mo
Revenue = $30,500 / mo
Profit = $6,100 / mo
Profit Margin = 20%
2a. After $5/hr increase for
4 min wage earners, plus owner,
no change in full-time status, with med benefits
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Cost of Goods Sold= $5,000 / mo
Overhead = $2,000 / mo
Payroll = $18,312 / mo
Benefits = $1,200 / mo
Taxes = $1,500 / mo
____________________________
Total Expenses = $28,012 /mo
Revenue = $30,500 / mo
Profit = $2,488 / mo
Profit Margin = 8%
2b. After $5/hr increase for
7 min wage earners, plus owner,
all min wage earners now
half time, no med benefits
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Cost of Goods Sold= $5,000 / mo
Overhead = $2,000 / mo
Payroll = $16,600 / mo
Taxes = $1,330 / mo
____________________________
Total Expenses = $24,900 /mo
Revenue = $30,500 / mo
Profit = $5,600 / mo
Profit Margin = 18%
3. After $5/hr increase for
4 min wage earners, plus owner,
no change in full-time status
, with med benefits, but increase in prices
---------------------------------------
Cost of Goods Sold= $5,000 / mo
Overhead = $2,000 / mo
Payroll = $18,312 / mo
Benefits = $1,200 / mo
Taxes = $1,500 / mo
____________________________
Total Expenses = $28,012 /mo
Revenue = $35,500 / mo
Profit = $7,488 / mo
Profit Margin = 21%
2a shows the effect of minimum wage increase on the
profit margin of the business. 20% is a workable profit margin for a business this size and allows a business to ride out things like equipment breakdowns, equipment replacements, training new employees, etc., or perhaps acquisition of new equipment for market expansion, a new hire, or raises for the employees. Going from 20% margin to 8% margin is a huge blow, and leaves the business with far less flexibility to deal with unexpected stresses, or may delay needed upgrades or new equipment. Who loses here? The business (perhaps the employees, if the business can't ultimately support the loss in profit margin) Who is responsible?
GOVERNMENT
2b shows the effect of minimum wage increase on
the employees as the owner attempts to recapture lost profit margin needed for the business. The four original min wage employees lost half their hours, half their income, and all their med benefits. Big loss to them, though the business now has three new employees, also with only half-time hours. Who loses here? The employees. Who is responsible?
GOVERNMENT
3 shows the effect of minimum wage increase on
the customers as the owner attempts to recapture lost profit margin needed for the business, while seeking to keep the four employees at full time with full med benefits. Who loses here? The customers. They see a 16.3% increase in prices. That's called
INFLATION. Who is responsible?
GOVERNMENT
That's it folks. The real effects of minimum wage increases. Government meddles with the market; someone always loses. Who will it be—the business owner, the employees or the customers? Perhaps all three, depending on the severity of the market manipulation. It's usually not the business owner, though, even though that's who government is trying to injure (what government never tells the min wage earners is that business owners can (often
must)—and usually will—offset what government does, often leaving the employees holding the proverbial bag).
Another reality here that I haven't factored in is that CoGs and overhead will probably increase right along with the minimum wage increase, further exacerbating the pressure on min wage earners. Because all min-wage employers are affected, and some businesses will raise their prices, which will cause inflationary ripples through the entire system.
But let's just keep believing the delusion that minimum wage increases help!