Which scientists say that?...cientists are mistaken who think that it is the only tool we have to learn about existence though.
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Which scientists say that?...cientists are mistaken who think that it is the only tool we have to learn about existence though.
So you would prefer we humans not have technology, or appliances, or medicine?And you can show with science, that that is bad? BTW the correct version is reproduction of the fittest gene.
Your "zinger" belies a failure to grasp basic grammar:
I don't agree with your claim because you offer no evidence that you are telling the truth. You make these outlandish, damaging claims but then don't back it up with any evidence.The is a problems that many sciences have terrible replication rates if that's what you mean.
Do you agree?
So you would prefer we humans not have technology, or appliances, or medicine?
If you prefer to live in the wilderness without modern conveniences I have to wonder how you get internet access.
Yes, yours, but I accept your contradiction was down to your poor use of grammar. Now about this method you claim exists outside of all the method(s) of science, that has consistently been used to falsify peer reviewed claims.
Can we have any specifics yet, or is it a secret?
I don't agree with your claim because you offer no evidence that you are telling the truth. You make these outlandish, damaging claims but then don't back it up with any evidence.
Data on how much of the scientific literature is reproducible are rare and generally bleak. The best-known analyses, from psychology1 and cancer biology2, found rates of around 40% and 10%, respectively.
1,500 scientists lift the lid on reproducibility - Nature
And on confidence from those within the field:
The Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA) programme ‘Systematizing Confidence in Open Research and Evidence’ (SCORE) aims to generate confidence scores for a large number of research claims from empirical studies in the social and behavioural sciences. The confidence scores will provide a quantitative assessment of how likely a claim will hold up in an independent replication...
Moreover, they expect replication rates to differ between fields, with the highest replication rate in economics (average survey response 58%), and the lowest in psychology and in education (average survey response of 42% for both fields).
https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rsos.200566
Laypeople Can Predict Which Social-Science Studies Will Be Replicated Successfully
Laypeople may be able to reliably evaluate the plausibility of research hypotheses (and hence reliably predict replication outcomes), even without access to relevant statistical information or in-depth knowledge of the literature. After all, social science concerns itself with constructs that are often accessible and interesting to a lay audience (Milkman & Berger, 2014). Consequently, when presented with a nontechnical description of a study’s topic, operationalization, and result, laypeople may well be able to produce accurate replicability forecasts.
SAGE Journals: Your gateway to world-class research journals
Experts in science do scientific studies, and then report their findings. You are making it sound as if it's like a preacher giving his interpretation of the Bible.The idea that until an expert tells us what to think in a scientific study we are unable to make a probabilistic judgement based on masses of evidence is something we disagree on.
Yes, getting advanced degrees prepares a person for doing highly complicated work. If a government agency is taking applications for a person to run their assessment of a pandemic they are going to want a person who understands viruses and bacteria, how they are spread, solutions to slowing the spread, etc. They aren't going to hire a guy who has had 35 years experiences getting colds and the flu and knows what best over the counter medicines help him.Another thing we disagree on.
You think credentials make the expert. I'd back real world experience and demonstrated sucess as being the hallmark or exertise.
They gathered anecdotal data without any sort of controls for what they observed. Controls are crucial in science. And for doping the last thing you want is recorded data about doping.See, a non-expert made a probabilistic judgement that EPO would benefit athletic performance before having any 'proof and data' from an expert to tell him he should do it.
But you miss the point again, once people started taking it, they gathered masses of data on its impact on performance.
This is the evidence you ignore.
No I'm not. As I just noted the doctors only had cancer patients as a baselines for the effects of EPO, and it wasn't until they started giving it to athletes until they could see if it improved performance.You are overlooking that people with far better data than you who know far more about pro-cycling than you believed it very much was more than a placebo.
You are not considering that both could be happening at the same time.People don't ride bikes in athletics which also saw massive performance gains and tumbling world records at exactly the time EPO started to be used.
Most of these athletes were doping prior to EPO anyway, so why does EPO provide a "super-placebo" effect and why did this decline when EPO testing appeared?[/quotes]
As I have noted numerous times already is it very important to feel "good" on the bike. There are all sorts of things that can help a cyclist feel better. I'll note that a fatigued athlete won't benefit from a boost. You have to be fit and healthy already to get performance gains from some drug or substance. This includes mental attitudes.
Drugs are not magic bullets. The athlete still needs to work their *** off to reach their peak performance level.
It's not like you can ride 175 miles a week for 6 months, and then take EPO and will win the World Professional Championship. You will get your *** kicked. So would I.
The study showed some benefit in the lab tests, so yes there is some incremental benefit. How it worked in competition is in question. The study only showed that the results in completion were inconclusive. My thoughts on this is that were the test subjects highly skilled, or just local racers who may not have an ability to push beyond comfortable levels.Until that point though, we can still be pretty confident EPO works very well on elite endurance athletes.
A broad brush claim that I don't see you having any data for. You aren't accounting for a bad team management, poor coaching, mental exhaustion, or injuries, etc. You seem to be accusing all come backs on drugs and doing so without evidence. Cavendish is an example I used and you didn't accept his performance as legitimate for some reason.You are again missing the point.
Magical transformations mid-career are not 'a return to form', they are performance that has no connection with what happened before and are thus highly likely to be the result of doping rather than anything else.
Armstrong, Froome, Wiggins, etc.
This is a massive accusation. Do you have evidence of this, or just guessing?Not every athlete doping wins, but most athletes who win are doping.
There is a reason for this. PEDs enhance performance in all kinds of sports.
If WADA is testing and not banning these winners how is it YOU know they are doping? Clairvoyance?
Peer review repeats experiment to see if the results can be duplicated.You seriously believe that peer-review catches almost all errors?
Do you think there are errors that experts miss that you somehow have special extra sensory perception to detect?
Man, you should hire yourself to scientists so you can point out all their errors and mistakes since you are so damned confident (naive).
Mistakes do happen in any human endeavor. That mistakes happen in science doesn't tell us that science is faulty, it tells us that humans have a means to improve the mechanisms and instruments of testing.Not sure you don't read posts or are just pretending. I've posted multiple peer-reviewed journals in support including Nature.
If you read them you could see these "outlandish, damaging claims" are, in fact, an important part of modern scientific discourse. Scientists are far less credulous than you are on the accuracy of many sciences.
Anyway here they are again.
It was also discussed in the article below that, in contrast to you insistence it's impossible, shows non-experts are quite good at identifying errors made by experts.
Quite the pattern of avoiding evidence that shows you are wrong
Recent work has suggested that the replicability of social-science research may be disturbingly low (Baker, 2016). For instance, several systematic high-powered replication projects have demonstrated successful replication rates ranging from 36% (Open Science Collaboration, 2015) to 50% (Klein et al., 2018), 62% (Camerer et al., 2018), and 85% (Klein et al., 2014). These low replication rates have been explained by several factors that operate at different levels. At the level of the scientific field as a whole, problems include publication bias (Francis, 2013) and perverse incentive structures (Giner-Sorolla, 2012). At the level of individual studies, problems concern low statistical power (Button et al., 2013; Ioannidis, 2005) and questionable research practices, such as data-driven flexibility in statistical analysis (i.e., significance seeking; John, Loewenstein, & Prelec, 2012; Simmons, Nelson, & Simonsohn, 2011; Wagenmakers, Wetzels, Borsboom, & van der Maas, 2011). Here we focus on yet another problem that has recently been associated with poor replicability: the a priori implausibility of the research hypothesis (Benjamin et al., 2018; Ioannidis, 2005
If you don't want to read the journals, then just read the Wiki
Replication crisis - Wikipedia
Do you still insist that mistakes would never make it past peer-review btw?
Not sure you don't read posts or are just pretending. I've posted multiple peer-reviewed journals in support including Nature.
Experts in science do scientific studies, and then report their findings. You are making it sound as if it's like a preacher giving his interpretation of the Bible.
Yes, getting advanced degrees prepares a person for doing highly complicated work. If a government agency is taking applications for a person to run their assessment of a pandemic they are going to want a person who understands viruses and bacteria, how they are spread, solutions to slowing the spread, etc. They aren't going to hire a guy who has had 35 years experiences getting colds and the flu and knows what best over the counter medicines help him.
No I'm not. As I just noted the doctors only had cancer patients as a baselines for the effects of EPO, and it wasn't until they started giving it to athletes until they could see if it improved performance.
This is a massive accusation. Do you have evidence of this, or just guessing?
If WADA is testing and not banning these winners how is it YOU know they are doping? Clairvoyance?
Peer review repeats experiment to see if the results can be duplicated.
Do you think there are errors that experts miss that you somehow have special extra sensory perception to detect?
Man, you should hire yourself to scientists so you can point out all their errors and mistakes since you are so damned confident (naive).
From my time in the social sciences, and the funding problems, and the demand for results and data, I'm not surprised there is poor quality results. As I just posted science needs to do its work.
Your posting this data doesn't tell us that science is faulty. It tells us that how society has pressured science for results has forced errors. The system should allow for errors and correct. It shouldn't press for results and then complain about the error.
That report said lay people could detect problems in the studies. Well the problems were pretty elementary. A high school graduate could put those pieces together.
Rather than admit you made a mistake, you would prefer to publicly argue it is grammatically incorrect to differentiate between one and multiple methods by using plurals and indefinite articles?
Can't say that suggests intellectual honesty or a good faith approach.
You didn't answer for the 12th time btw, do you accept there is no singular scientific method that differentiates science from "not science" (or good science from bad science)?
Given I've posted 2 peer-reviewed scholarly journals on the topic, you could simply read them. It's not difficult
Not sure you don't read posts or are just pretending. I've posted multiple peer-reviewed journals in support including Nature.
If you read them you could see these "outlandish, damaging claims" are, in fact, an important part of modern scientific discourse. Scientists are far less credulous than you are on the accuracy of many sciences.
Anyway here they are again.
It was also discussed in the article below that, in contrast to you insistence it's impossible, shows non-experts are quite good at identifying errors made by experts.
Quite the pattern of avoiding evidence that shows you are wrong
Recent work has suggested that the replicability of social-science research may be disturbingly low (Baker, 2016). For instance, several systematic high-powered replication projects have demonstrated successful replication rates ranging from 36% (Open Science Collaboration, 2015) to 50% (Klein et al., 2018), 62% (Camerer et al., 2018), and 85% (Klein et al., 2014). These low replication rates have been explained by several factors that operate at different levels. At the level of the scientific field as a whole, problems include publication bias (Francis, 2013) and perverse incentive structures (Giner-Sorolla, 2012). At the level of individual studies, problems concern low statistical power (Button et al., 2013; Ioannidis, 2005) and questionable research practices, such as data-driven flexibility in statistical analysis (i.e., significance seeking; John, Loewenstein, & Prelec, 2012; Simmons, Nelson, & Simonsohn, 2011; Wagenmakers, Wetzels, Borsboom, & van der Maas, 2011). Here we focus on yet another problem that has recently been associated with poor replicability: the a priori implausibility of the research hypothesis (Benjamin et al., 2018; Ioannidis, 2005
If you don't want to read the journals, then just read the Wiki
Replication crisis - Wikipedia
Do you still insist that mistakes would never make it past peer-review btw?
The replication crisis most severely affects the social and medical sciences,[3] where considerable efforts have been undertaken to re-investigate classic results, to determine both their reliability and, if found unreliable, the reasons for the failure.[4][5] Survey data strongly indicates that all natural sciences are affected as well.
"Because the reproducibility of empirical results is an essential part of the scientific method,"
- "Independent, direct replications of others' findings can be time-consuming for the replicating researcher"
- "[Replications] are likely to take energy and resources directly away from other projects that reflect one's own original thinking"
- "[Replications] are generally harder to publish (in large part because they are viewed as being unoriginal)"
- "Even if [replications] are published, they are likely to be seen as 'bricklaying' exercises, rather than as major contributions to the field"
- "[Replications] bring less recognition and reward, and even basic career security, to their authors"[55]
For these reasons the authors advocated that psychology is facing a disciplinary social dilemma, where the interests of the discipline are at odds with the interests of the individual researcher."
No it doesn't, it tells us that there is a crisis in getting work properly peer in some fields, again this is not a flaw in the methodology, it is a flaw in properly applying them.The replication crisis certainly tells us that some sciences are 'faulty'.
Also that article seems to think there is a scientific method, perhaps like me they imagine it varies depending on the application, but still contains a core of basic requirements, like peer review and falsifiability as two examples.
I had read some time ago that there was a peer review crisis in some fields, because getting work properly peer reviewed was problematic, and the author of that article outlines 5 potential reasons for this failure to adhere to scientific method.
No it doesn't, it tells us that there is a crisis in getting work properly peer in some fields, again this is not a flaw in the methodology, it is a flaw in properly applying them.
What I am saying is that if non-experts can identify errors in some science reports then it's not as problem of expertise, but of more basic issues. And when I was in university the problem of funding and ethics was discussed. Like anything else, when science becomes a business then there will be fraud. It's not deliberate fraud, it is scientists trying to do ethical work that is underfunded.You are saying they are beyond reproach from all but their peers....
So essentially what you are trying to say is that results in science are only as good as the ethics that manage science. As we all can see, science works. We look out over a modern city and see a plane flying above and can understand that we are not living in a world similar to the 18th century. We have a high standard of living today because of science. I hope you aren't arguing that science doesn't work, because if you are, what accounts for all we see of the human world today and how it differs greatly from 200 years ago?You still haven't answered why you believe you are right on this issue, and Einstein, Heisenberg and Weinberg are wrong. 13th time lucky....
Another one for you, this time from the rabidly anti-science periodical "The Scientific American" :
The Idea That a Scientific Theory Can Be ‘Falsified’ Is a Myth
falsification cannot work even in principle. This is because an experimental result is not a simple fact obtained directly from nature. Identifying and dating Haldane's bone involves using many other theories from diverse fields, including physics, chemistry and geology. Similarly, a theoretical prediction is never the product of a single theory but also requires using many other theories. When a “theoretical” prediction disagrees with “experimental” data, what this tells us is that that there is a disagreement between two sets of theories, so we cannot say that any particular theory is falsified...
if you propagate a “myth-story” enough times and it gets passed on from generation to generation, it can congeal into a fact, and falsification is one such myth-story.
It is time we abandoned it.
The Idea That a Scientific Theory Can Be ‘Falsified’ Is a Myth
You are confusing 2 things: peer-review and replication.
In an academic context, peer-review generally means an expert review of an article prior to publication. They offer their opinions on whether or not the study is novel, methodologically sound, logically consistent etc. They generally do not try to replicate the study.
Your example is about why people lack incentives to try to replicate studies.
All of the published finding in the fields with low replication rates were peer-reviewed (at least the ones published in journals).
See above for your mistake.
You are starting to sound like a religious fanatic who insists all the problems with their faith come from people not applying it properly.
While processes and institutions in these fields could certainly do better, the problems are not caused by people not following "the scientific method" properly, but that currently accepted scientific methods are guaranteed produce such outcomes.