And what place would you assign this option:
6) an unknown natural mechanism disappeared the dog and left the note
It seems to me this option is even worst than the Odin alternative, but it seems to me that this options analogous to what you are suggesting in the context of abiogenesis and the FT of the universe.
I'll accept that the option is similar to saying that the universe appears finely tuned and proposing an unknow naturalistic mechanism for it, but not that it's less parsimonious than the only supernatural entry on the list, which remains at the bottom for that reason.
yes the first is what I meant with "go for"
That followed these two comments:
You: I agree on that if 2 hypotheses are equal in terms of explanatory power, explanatory scope, intrinsic probability etc. one most go for the most simple hypothesis (the one that makes less assumptions
Me: Does "go for" mean accept provisionally as the best of competing hypotheses or does it mean accept as correct? If the first, yes, we should go for the most parsimonious hypothesis. If the latter, then no, we shouldn't go for it.
You're basically restating Occam's parsimony principle here and agreeing. Is that what you meant?
It is absurd (in the trivial sense of the word)…………….because it makes science useless. I used radiometric dating as an example.
And that followed these two comments:
You: It is just an example of an absurd consequence of the multiverse hypothesis. ……….. if everything that is possible will happen in some universe (no matter how unlikely) then talking snakes and young universes that look old would occur in some universes
Me: OK. How is that absurd? If it's possible, and all possibilities become actual eventually somewhere, and not just once either - infinitely many times, just like finely tuned universes.
I don't follow any of that. What is the trivial sense of the word absurd? I know of only one sense for it. And how does it make science useless? Remember, we only live in one of those multiple universes. Or maybe by somewhere you meant somewhere in this universe. It doesn't seems so, since you specifically referred to other universes, but if you meant that science becomes useless in our world because separate universes behave perversely, I disagree.
Well, if the FT argument is forcing you to conclude that likely you are a Boltzmann Brain, then I would say that the argument is pretty good.
Did you think I concluded that? It seems you did. No, I don't consider that likely, just mathematically possible. My comment was this:
"And frankly, if I'm a Boltzmann brain, that's fine, too. My current arrangement is quite satisfactory whatever hidden aspects to reality there may be, which is also my answer regarding free will being illusion. If that's the case, that's also fine. Whether I'm a deterministic "robot" or a Boltzmann brain living some last Thursdayism existence or a brain in a vat or the victim of Descartes' demon, it's all good"
Do you think it is reasonable to ask me to refute a 1 hour video in a forum?
It depends on your degree of interest in the subject of fine tuning is. If you want a more comprehensive understanding of its implications and refutations, you'll need to make the effort. Watching an hourlong video and taking notes, which means more than an hour in time and more than passively watching in effort, seems like a reasonable use of your time. You come here to query RF participants on these matters, and we aren't as qualified as people like Sean Carroll to discuss refutations to the fine-tuning argument.
Never be lazy about your education. Whenever you encounter a word you don't know, Google it. I put all Spanish I can't understand into a translator. This is an open tab on my browser for words I routinely have difficulty with:
Yes and the issue is that nobody thinks that the universe was literally tuned (or tweaked) like a guitar or a car. This is not what scientist mean when they say that the universe is FT…….FT simply means that if the values would have been a little bit different, the universe wouldn’t be life permitting. ………there is no literal tunning” implicit in the definition .
Agreed, the scientists don't think an intelligent designer actively and deliberately tuned those parameters, but I think it's what the creationists think God did, like setting dials. They like to insert agency into the meanings of words. Thus, if we talk about a creation, they want a creator. If we talk about a design, they say that implies a designer. If we talk about scientific law, they say that means there's a lawgiver. I don't know if it was a creationist who came up with the word tuned, but for them, it implies a tuner. That's why they like to bring it up.
I use a standard English keyboard like this one. Depress Shift, the Windows icon (between ctrl and alt), and the letter S simultaneously, and a little rectangle appears in the top center of your screen, your screen gets grayer, and a plus-sign shaped cursor appears. Drag it over the part of the screen you want copied and then paste it somewhere.