As you might know, the presidential race is significantly closer than the news reports of it would seem to indicate. Mr. Trump is the first president in American history to have never risen above 50% approval in the Gallup Tracking Poll at any point during his presidency, yet he is within striking distance of closing the gap between himself and Mr. Biden to win re-election. Moreover, that gap historically narrows as election day nears.
So perhaps you might expect Mr. Biden to be doing everything to expand the Democratic base, bring in new voters and groups, and advance and consolidate his lead.
As it happens, he is not. On the contrary, he seems to be giving the finger to major groups of potential supporters. For instance, he has just picked Kamala Harris as his running mate, a person who offends numbers of Democrats, who racked up a record as an Attorney General of oppressing certain generally defenseless groups of people, and who is less popular in the Black community than Elizabeth Warren.
Meanwhile, his outreach to Hispanics is in many key areas of the country -- such as North Carolina -- virtually non-existent. As is his outreach to younger voters.
Again, he offers progressives -- who accounted for about 40% of the vote in the primary -- absolutely nothing of substance in order to woo their votes. He seems to be so anti-progressive that I'm starting to hear people say that Mr. Biden's real goal cannot be to beat Mr. Trump, but rather to crush the progressive movement in America. Since I'm not a mind-reader, I can't say that's what he's thinking, but his behavior does seem consistent with that. It makes me wonder if something like or similar to it is not actually true. Maybe he wants to both win the election and crush the progressives at the same time. But if so, can he?
As for myself, I still hope Mr. Biden wins, but I would not be surprised if Mr. Trump is re-elected, given Mr. Biden's apparent mismanagement of his campaign.