This topic asks the question is religion inferior to logic. I have pointed out that science, casinos, politicians and pollsters, to name a few, all use statistical models, which are not based on logic. Throwing dice is not based on cause and affect, but on chance. In statistics, things happen in a black box which is designed to make it hard to reason. Reason needs to see to believe but how can you see in a black box? The magician places the rabbit in the sealed box, and it disappears. If the box was open, the whole time, you can see the trick and reason it away.
How do we classify statistics and the science that used it, to see if it is closer to a faith based religion or to logic? A black box approach does require more faith than does logic since logic is not blind folded. This will help us classify various branches of science, who use and often over use this illogical technique. If it is too close to faith and religion, we may need to defund these areas of science, unless hypocrisy rules the roost in atheism and science.
I remember doing a science and engineering project, where I was testing a new process that I had invented. I was using it to process contaminated water under emergency conditions. This was a very visible project with eyes watching from Federal and State Regulatory Agencies. Since this process was new, even though I understood the science and the engineering, and saw it all as logical, I was told I would be shadowed by a statistician, who would analyze the data and help me make predictions.
I invented it and I was in touch with the process logic and understood its cause and affect. I thought this shadow approach was a waste of time. I was not going to do it, so they assigned someone who would. The statistician was a nice guy and mathematician but he was in the dark in terms of the chemistry and engineering. He was asked to use his statistics to put the process into a black box, and with his math oracle to help him walk in the dark, for both himself and others who had concern. This was a friendly competition between logic, and the lack of logic; math oracle. My claim was, if you can see; reason, you do not need faith in a black box oracle. That oracle might be useful for the blind.
In the end, after processing and discharging several million gallons over several weeks, all went well. It was easy to see breakthrough, and replace the extractions canisters, like I had said. There had always been zero odds of anything going wrong. All was consistent with logic with a good correlation that could make future predictions. Why did I get shadowed with a second tier method for the blind?
Why does so much of science prefer to do science in the dark? In my case, the statistical shadowing had to do with the political fear of the unknown and appeasing that fear. If something had gone wrong, statistics could be used to average and fudge and provide an excuse to appease backlash. It was not about the needs of science or logic. The invention would not have formed in any black box. Why is science going backwards to the whims of the gods? Why not require the higher standards of logic and reason like in the glory days of science?
It also has to do with gaming the system. For example, many drugs reach market based on statistical testing only to be subject to law suits later. It provides a way to appear short term fear and game the system, until logic will have no more of that. Then lawyers come in. I am not a fan of oracle science, which creates dogma that will not see logic.
A logical model uses very defined data points. Statistics does not see reality this way. Data points, to statistics, are like fuzzy dice with margins of error. This is due to being blind or partially blind. It makes provisions for something wrong or exceptional to magically happen. Fuzzy dice data points also makes it harder to draw a single line between two points since there is a data volume, instead of data points. The data point volume has the advantage of allowing more angles for the line. Theories can end up with tenure, with any bad data absorbed within the margin of the fuzzy dice volume. This is more like politics which is also dependent on this same oracle.
In the case of the chemical process I had to be prefect, if this had been a statistical model there would have been a built in imperfection buffering. I can see how this is easier in terms of developing theory, but it lacks the sharper criteria of cause and affect. Why have we downgraded science with this religion of black boxes? We should expect more from science than the same math used by politicians and gambling casinos. They all induce dreams which feel good, but do not always end they way you dreamed it. Logic is cold and is like cold water to face, it can open your eyes; age of enlightenment.
All and all, statistics appear to be a type of religion based on living in the dark and needing an oracle to be able to see some partial light. It does not like logic, since the light of logic is too bright for eyes that are used to the dark. Consensus in science is lower tier than logical science. The former is based on collective opinion in the dim light, while the latter is self evident to all, since it shines brightly for all to deduce and infer.