Guy Threepwood
Mighty Pirate
Did your models take account of progressive accumulation of changes, or did they assume things arise "all at once".
"All at once" models are popular among con artists out to fleece the gullible.
Of course, and here is Dawkin's own example of progressive accumulation
We again use our computer monkey, but with a crucial difference in its program. It again begins by choosing a random sequence of 28 letters, just as before ... it duplicates it repeatedly, but with a certain chance of random error – 'mutation' – in the copying. The computer examines the mutant nonsense phrases, the 'progeny' of the original phrase, and chooses the one which, however slightly, most resembles the target phrase, METHINKS IT IS LIKE A WEASEL.
By repeating the procedure, a randomly generated sequence of 28 letters and spaces will be gradually changed each generation. The sequences progress through each generation:
Generation 01: WDLTMNLT DTJBKWIRZREZLMQCO P [2]
Generation 02: WDLTMNLT DTJBSWIRZREZLMQCO P
Generation 10: MDLDMNLS ITJISWHRZREZ MECS P
Generation 20: MELDINLS IT ISWPRKE Z WECSEL
Generation 30: METHINGS IT ISWLIKE B WECSEL
Generation 40: METHINKS IT IS LIKE I WEASEL
Generation 43: METHINKS IT IS LIKE A WEASEL
As always, as you see here, the end result is determined from the outset.
Consider that even then, the model has another great advantage over reality, in that it can allow for any number of entirely dysfunctional intermediates on route to the desired result.
The models merely back up the other lines of evidence; what we also observe in the fossil record and direct experimentation, which show no macro evolution by gradual accumulation/ transition either