metis
aged ecumenical anthropologist
Yes, and for each of us. "... first take the log out of your own eye, and then you will see clearly to take the speck out of your brother's eye."-- Matt.7:5That would be refreshing.....
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Yes, and for each of us. "... first take the log out of your own eye, and then you will see clearly to take the speck out of your brother's eye."-- Matt.7:5That would be refreshing.....
Predictions? Science has a crystal ball now does it?
The "evidence for the ToE" is not convincing to anyone with ability to read what scientists actually write.
I suggest that these "predictions" are in the same ball park as the evidence itself. "I think it might have happened" is not the same as saying "I definitely know that it happened". If the prediction is interpreted in the same way as the evidence, then of course its going to turn out to be exactly as they predicted.What on earth does that prove? That scientists are going to prop up their own pet theory.
Who is going to be game to falsify evidence in an atmosphere where ridicule and loss of credibility in the scientific community are the logical consequences?
I'm on the could-have side of the line, that is, I'm agnostic on the matter. I do not claim to be able to prove the theory of evolution or to rule out the possibility of god. Either creation or abiogenesis followed by biological evolution could have occurred.
Given the evidence we currently possess, either naturalistic processes occurred to account for the tree of life, or an intelligent designer created the geological column, the biogeographic findings such ring species, and the morphologies, physiologies, biochemistries and genetics of all life into nested hierarchies to give the appearance that naturalistic explanations are correct.
But the two don't share equal status. The scientific theory is supported by evidence, makes predictions that have never been contradicted with evidence, offers a mechanism that is frankly impossible to stop (variation and natural selection are self-evidently present in our world), and has had technological applications that have improved the human condition. Creationism has no evidence, answers questions but explains nothing, and has generated no useful ideas. ID research has been sterile to date with regard to demonstrating intelligent design. All that can be said in its defense is the it is logically possible.
I'm trying to separate the two. You offered barriers to successful reproduction as evidence that there are barriers to what creationists call macroevolution.
I don't know what kind of barrier you mean, but it sounds like you are saying that there are limits to what is presently known or what can be known. That is obviously correct in the first case, and probably correct in the second.
But that is not the alleged barrier dividing micro- and macroevolution.
I have said that you have offered no barrier to evolution of all life from a single common ancestor over deep time, and that therefore, this could have happened. You seem to find that position inadequate.
No known barrier to macroevolution exists. If it did, the theory would have been falsified by its demonstration.
Agreed. Deep time is a requirement for the degree of evolution that is proposed to have occurred, but by itself, does not establish the theory's empirical adequacy. That is, geologic time is a necessary but not sufficient condition for the theory to be correct. If the earth were 6000 years old, there would not have been enough time.
I don't mind the use of the phrase "belief system" to refer to the collection of ideas underlying the theory. We believe that variation between individuals occurs. We believe that nature selects those that facilitate reproduction best. We believe that over time, this leads to speciation, etc.. We believe that this process accounts for both the diversity and commonality among all of the existing and extinct species.
It's been a nice discussion. Thanks.
I submit that they are the predominant factor in everything you think and say about this subject
Am I wrong?
Just how meaningful do you think that is, given how you declared very early on in this thread that nothing science could present would ever lead you to change your mind?
Really? Do I need to re-post exactly what you did? How you ran away? Should we go there?
It's not for you. I posted it for the other members here who will learn something from it, rather than do your little "I found a single word in the article that I can use as an excuse to wave the whole thing away".
That leads to the obvious question.....if evolutionary theory is completely wrong, how did it generate such accurate results?
I will say one thing.....the excuses you come up with to wave away inconvenient realty are amusing at times.
Yes, and for each of us. "... first take the log out of your own eye, and then you will see clearly to take the speck out of your brother's eye."-- Matt.7:5
Yes, I have beliefs, but to the best of my knowledge, they are all justified beliefs. Although some do, I don't use the word faith to refer to justified belief to avoid ambiguity. If I discover an unjustified belief, I see l justification for it, revise the belief to make it justified if possible, or throw it out.
It's OK that you weren't aware of that.
Faith is not an offensive word to me. It's a logical error.
No, I said no such thing. What I say is that with faith, anything can be believed. I don't consider that a good thing, since any idea or its opposite can be believed by faith, and at least one of those ideas is wrong.
Incidentally, I recognize two kinds of possible. Some things are known to have occurred and could occur again. Other things are not known to have occurred, but cannot be declared impossible, but might in fact later be shown to be just that.
Some of my beliefs are considered facts by me and others. For example, I believe that the apparent motion of the sun through the sky is due to the rotation of the earth about its axis. Other beliefs are held less firmly and don't rise to the level of fact.
You've pointed out differences in our beliefs, as have I. I don't see hypocrisy in that. It's the basis of debate and dialectic - identifying different positions and arguing their relative merits and deficiencies.
That's good of you. I try to do the same, but I suspect that you posted what you did because you disagree.
When dealing with faith based thinkers, simply disagreeing with what they consider sacred beliefs is often seen as a personal attack and elicits an angry, defensive answer. They'll see criticism of faith as condescension. Atheists are simply disliked by many theists. They've been indoctrinated to believe that we're evil, immoral, hate God, are trying to escape accountability so that we can sin, persecute them, and are smug and arrogant however we post.
I suspect that you feel that way about me to some degree, although I have only been respectful to you, not condescending or hypocritical. I can't think of another reason for you to have made the last two comments. But that's fine either way.
Have a ball. I enjoy identifying logical errors in arguments.
You don’t understand the scientific method, hypotheses and scientific theories, and science in general, Deeje.
The predictions are based on a number of observations, and probabilities.
Have you ever study statistics and probability, Deeje?
No experiment that science has ever conducted has proven that macro-evolution ever happened.Sampling, and how data collections are done, can be done through either surveying (questioning people with list of questions), or in the case for scientists, through experiments, testings or obtaining the number of evidences (hence observation).
Probability, on the other hand, is related to statistics, by using those surveys or test results (from experiments or evidences collected), to predict future of it being how likely will happen or how unlikely will happen.
Scientists should use statistics and probability, as the data collected through experiments or evidences gathered, that can give scientists baseline for predictions.
How certain is any prediction made, is dependent on how much past observations taken in the experiments?
The more past test results you have performed or more evidences you have acquired, then the more data you have and the more data you can analyse, so that you can make informed predictions.
This is very important, Deeje, the following questions:
- How is it, that astronomers can predict accurately when and where future eclipses (solar or lunar) will occur?
- And how do they know that it will be full or partial eclipses in which location?
- Have you ever wondered how astronomers are able to do this?
The predictions are made, not by crystal ball, but by analysing past observations. Hence from knowing how likely it will occur, thus using probability.
That’s how predictions work in the real world.
Of course, not every predictions are that reliable, because in some fields what they are investigating are less predictable, because the world can be very complex.
Don’t confuse predictions made by scientists with the shams of crystal ball, palmistry, tea-reading, oracles, visions and prophecies.
Do you realize the inconsistency with the above?I feel I restrain myself quite well considering the barrage of accusation that is aimed at me personally by the scientists here. You may beg to differ. The old saying is...."if you can't stand the heat...get out of the kitchen". Its my kitchen.
My guess is that you'll just come back with a post blaming me and refusing to admit any complicity of your own-- that seems to be your m.o., while at the same time stating in so many posts that it is you and your JW ilk who are the true believers.
Wouldn't everyone be justified in their own personal beliefs?
We all seem to place a supreme importance of what is the truth/discovering truth, inate within all of us, as if it mattered greatly for some reason.
Others may believe it illogical that the Earth and atmosphere are spinning 1000MPH, and that a force/fictitious force as weak as gravity would be illogical to attract the oceans and waters from falling off of Earth.
A lot of facts are nothing more than "believed-to-be-facts" in the eyes/emperical senses/mental logic of the beholder.
With the theory of evolution, it is easy for many to present beliefs as if they are facts.
Same with common descent, it cannot be falsified for another to claim common design.
As you've stated, life and Nature appear to have no boundaries.
I just want to highlight this good and true idea.Correct ideas are the ones that work as we navigate this life, where by work I mean allow us to choose well and effect desirable outcomes.
So according to what you told us before, being a Jehovah's Witnesses means that if you were to ever compromise on evolution/creationism your life would be ruined and lose all meaning. And now you're saying that has absolutely no effect on how you approach the subject?I would have thought by now that you could see that emotional blackmail has no effect on me.
Haven't you noticed that I stopped citing science to you? You declared very early on that nothing science could ever produce would make you change your mind, so why would anyone bother showing science to you?If you are so confident of your theory, then why are you still here yelling at the fire hydrant?
Again, the level of delusion you display is stunning. But I guess that's what one would expect given how your complete emotional well being is at stake.Always
So we have a person who declares up front that nothing science could ever produce would ever convince her, now saying that science has failed to produce anything convincing.Science has never produced anything even remotely convincing, so why should I?
The articles are for anyone who's interested in them.Preaching to the converted huh? Nice tactic.
Hilarious. The results are verified genetic functions.This is classic......the predicted results are based on their own interpretation of the evidence.
Oh sure. Like I said, your posts are entertaining if nothing else.They seems to be enough to hold the interest of the readers here
That reminds me: In post number 1406 Deeje actually asked and I quote: "Do you think water just "happened"? Did it evolve from something? " and "Please explain water". Scientists Discover The Oldest, Largest Body Of Water In Existence–In Space | Fast CompanyBut when I encounter people with other ideas about how truth is determined, such as by reading a holy book, there is no way to have a productive discussion about our disagreements. Faith won't convince me, and reason applied to evidence won't budge the faith based thinker, so the discussion is stillborn from the start. This says that well:
- "If someone doesn't value evidence, what evidence are you going to provide to prove they should value it? If someone doesn't value logic, what logical argument could you provide to show the importance of logic? Water is two parts hydrogen and one part oxygen. What if someone says, "Well, that's not how I choose to think about water"? All we can do is appeal to scientific values. And if he doesn't share those values, the conversation is over." - Sam Harris
I think I understand it well enough to know that it is based, for the most part, on what science wants to fit into their theory.
They have so much invested in it, that they won't allow doubt to disturb that basic idea.
I also know that statistics can be used to distort reality. They are not always an accurate measure of the way things really are.
No experiment that science has ever conducted has proven that macro-evolution ever happened.
It is impossible to test anything accurately that existed pre-historically.
Going into the past is an excursion open to misinterpretation wishful thinking....not to mention the power of suggestion.
When you have an unproven, and unprovable theory, what else are they going to do?
Evolution is one of the most dishonest branches of science.
There is a clear difference between what science can prove and what it can't.
Complexity is what convinces me that nothing in this world or in the wider universe can be an "accident".
Accidents do not display design or purpose. Purpose demonstrates planning...planning denotes intelligence. Its really that simple.
Not by my epistemology. If your beliefs are faith based, they are not justified by definition. Faith is the willingness to believe absent sufficient evidentiary support, or even in the face of contradictory beliefs. I do not recognize that as a path to truth, nor do I consider any conclusion based on a faith based belief to be sound.
If you were asking if such a person might feel justified in his beliefs, the answer is yes. We see it continually on this thread. But not in the eyes of others who process information differently.
Discovering truths matters greatly for me. You can probably guess the reason. Correct ideas are the ones that work as we navigate this life, where by work I mean allow us to choose well and effect desirable outcomes.
That's an incredulity fallacy - "I just can't see how it's possible, therefore it isn't." By that mode of thinking, one is able to come to a false conclusion and hold an unjustified belief. That particular one probably won't hurt its believer inasmuch as it's difficult to conceive of a scenario where holding such a false idea could cause him to make a bad choice worse than sharing the belief and it leading to a undesirable reaction, but many false beliefs are harmful.
A fact is a linguistic string that accurately maps a portion of reality. "Biological evolution occurs" is such a string. Once one knows what the words mean, one can check them against reality and see if the sentence is true or not.
Consider "Adding two apples to two other apples results in five apples." We can test this linguistic string against reality and discover that it does not map onto experience, and is therefore not a fact.
Regarding those with a private understanding of what constitutes a fact, or other methods for determining what is true, there is no common ground between us to decide such matters when we disagree. That is, while I don't require that another hold the same beliefs as I do to find discussion with them productive, I do require that they have a very similar idea of what truth and fact are, and how they are determined.
If they do, we can return to our point of departure and see why we parted ways. If it is due to a difference in the evidence we used - perhaps one of us hasn't seen it all, or is misinformed - we can probably come to an agreement. If it is due to a difference in values - perhaps I value freedom more and you value security more - we can still come to understand one another in the sense that we can agree that had we held the other's value, we would come to a similar conclusion. The point is that we can follow one another's trains of thought.
But when I encounter people with other ideas about how truth is determined, such as by reading a holy book, there is no way to have a productive discussion about our disagreements. Faith won't convince me, and reason applied to evidence won't budge the faith based thinker, so the discussion is stillborn from the start. This says that well:
- "If someone doesn't value evidence, what evidence are you going to provide to prove they should value it? If someone doesn't value logic, what logical argument could you provide to show the importance of logic? Water is two parts hydrogen and one part oxygen. What if someone says, "Well, that's not how I choose to think about water"? All we can do is appeal to scientific values. And if he doesn't share those values, the conversation is over." - Sam Harris
please elaborate why truth matters to you
Elaborate on the importance of believing evolutionary theory as it's stated.
How could anyone ever possibly doubt or question the legions of "believed to be's," "thought to have's," "could have's" and not consider them all "scientific facts?"
can't question the philosophies of science
That reminds me: In post number 1406 Deeje actually asked and I quote: "Do you think water just "happened"? Did it evolve from something? " and "Please explain water". Scientists Discover The Oldest, Largest Body Of Water In Existence–In Space | Fast Company
You said: "Do you think water just "happened"? Did it evolve from something? " and "Please explain water".Thank you for the link ArtieE.
I am not sure why you posted it or why you think it is relevant to what I said?
Scientist have found a "water factory" out in space! So........?
I think that I already did - not that it should have been necessary.
There is no importance in believing that.
Please feel free to refute whatever you can.
Paraphrasing Shaw, philosophy and science ask questions that may never be answered. Religion give answers that may never be questioned.