Rejecting the supernatural by default, (because you don’t have prior evidence for the supernatural) is circular reasoning, it´s impossible top have “prior evidence” if any given evidence would be rejected.
You seem confused about this issue.
The supernatural isn't rejected "by default". It is rejected because there is no evidence or rational argument to support it. Any claims in support of the supernatural are considered and then accepted or rejected on their strengths or weaknesses. Sceptics do not refuse to look at or ignore claims of "evidence" or arguments. That is the religionist's approach.
Look at it this way...
A judge does not dismiss a case on the first morning because no evidence has been presented. The court looks at the evidence and arguments and
then decides if if they stand up to scrutiny.
Basically you are saying that a jury is displaying circular logic when it decides that a witnesses evidence is unreliable. By your argument, they would have to assume every witness was telling only the truth.
The hypothetical evidence was given, remember, “observing the man above and describe his t-shirt accurately”
And it has been explained to you, repeatedly, why that does not prove that it was an OBE as there are other. more reasonable explanations available.
Yes, it is an hypothesis, but an hypothesis that can be rejected in favour of better hypotheses.
If you have to alternatives and you don’t present good reasons for accepting one over the other, then giving each a 50% seems fair.
OK.
You can't find your keys in their usual place. One person says you have put them somewhere else. Another says a ghost moved them.
Do you
really think each has a 50% chance of being correct?
Because all the evidence is rejected by default.
No. It is rejected because it does not stand ups to examination.
As with the case of your shirt, there is no way to verify that the information was gained during and actual OBE, but there are other ways that it could have been obtained that do not require an extra layer of unsupported assumption.
If you claim your dog ate your homework, your teacher is going to want to know if you actually have a dog.
No my argument is
- Magic is possible (given that nobody has proven magic to be impossible)
Yes. Despite all the evidence suggesting that there is no "magic", it cannot be entirely ruled out.
- We made an observation that would be explained by magic and cant be explained by natural mechanisms
Wrong. There is an event where magic is one possibility, but there are
other possibilities that do not require the assumption of the thing you are trying to demonstrate (
that is circular reasoning).
- Therefore magic is the best alternative.
That is what is known as a "non sequitur" (Latin for "does not follow").
If we have explanations that do not require the assumption of something that has not been demonstrated, then they are, by default, better explanations.
Your argument is essentially this...
- Ghosts might exist.
- My keys are missing, and I didn't move them.
- Therefore ghosts are the best explanation.
If you provide a good reason for why magic is impossible (or highly unlikely) my argument would collapse, if you provide a better alternative naturalistic explanation for the black t-shirt my argument would collapse.
I don't need to show that it is impossible, only that it is unnecessary.
I have already given you a list of explanations that do not require the
assumption of the thing that you are trying to demonstrate (circular reasoning).
Yes you seem to regard circular reasoning as such a flaw in an argument, that alone should be enough for you to reject your own argument.
Me: How do you know ghosts exist?
You: Because they stole my keys!
I just did
Claiming that a man was infected by a virus is solving mystery with another mystery, because the questions of “where the virus came from” or “how did it infected the man” remain as mystery.
WTF?
Viruses are not a mystery. How viruses spread is not a mystery.
And viral infection is not "a claim". It is something that can be shown through repeated, independent testing.
But no one makes a big deal out of it. It´s ok to solve a mystery with another mystery , usually knowledge leads to more questions.
Using your analogy, your position is like a man coming into ER suffering from anaemia and photosensitivity after a holiday in Romania, and you claiming that as vampires haven't been disproved, he has therefore been bitten by a vampire.
Given enough evience One could argue that a man had an OBE even if you can’t answer how did it happened
Yes, but such evidence has, as yet, not been presented.
Look, I get that you
really want OBEs and an afterlife to be real. Unfortunately, there is simply not enough evidence to support such claims, and the anecdotes presented have better explanations.
But hey, feel free to believe in them if you want. It's a free country.