The probability that at least one religion is approximately true

[serp777]

Does anyone care to take a guess? Is it impossible to assign such a probability?

My answer would be "I don't know" because it seems extremely difficult to have enough reliable information to make such a claim about the probability.

If you say 100% or 0% there must be significant evidence or justification because these imply certainty.

 

[Eliab ben Benjamin]

I have certainty ... but evidence to show or prove to others is another story...

 

[wizanda]

The probability that at least one religion is approximately true

We can never say a whole religion is true, as everything gets corrupted in this world....

Yet we can establish if the text has prophetic fulfillment; we can establish if the moral code is right in all settings.

Is it impossible to assign such a probability?

We can use probability to assess each prophetic fulfillment...

We couldn't use probability of if the metaphysical realms are as discussed on its own; yet when used in a broader scope of all information available to us, we can then assess the probability of each being right.

You see for probability we have to have something to compare against.

If you say 100% or 0% there must be significant evidence or justification because these imply certainty.

Yet if you want my conclusion on having studied many....

98% Taoism is spot on, in terms of moral code, philosophy, political instruction, etc.

77% Biblical prophecy has been fulfilled, and still is being...Yet is totally immoral in lots of places, and has corruption within it, that has all been prophesied, so the religion is a mess.

100% Zen just is.

 

[LuisDantas]

Does anyone care to take a guess? Is it impossible to assign such a probability?

Serp, while there is no shortage of people who seem to sincerely think of religion as a god-imposed bet of sorts, I don't find such a conception advisable, and I certainly don't find it useful.

My answer would be "I don't know" because it seems extremely difficult to have enough reliable information to make such a claim about the probability.

If you say 100% or 0% there must be significant evidence or justification because these imply certainty.

100%. In many of the relevant senses, people make their own religions "true".

That probably does not have anything close to the meaning you imply, though.

 

[Quintessence]

For starters, it would help to recognize that.... you know what? Never mind. Those who can't see that the answer to this is 110% have a poor enough understanding of religions that today, I am just not in the mood to explain it.

 

[Unveiled Artist]

Does anyone care to take a guess? Is it impossible to assign such a probability?

My answer would be "I don't know" because it seems extremely difficult to have enough reliable information to make such a claim about the probability.

If you say 100% or 0% there must be significant evidence or justification because these imply certainty.

Certainty by whose (in some people's faith) or what (in other's) criteria?

What criteria in a given religion would make it correct while other not?

 

[Jayhawker Soule]

How does something qualify as being approximately true?

 

[Kelly of the Phoenix]

I think there's a moral "Way" that can be had by all, but I don't consider religions "True". I think as long as you have compassion, generosity, love, peace, and truth in there, you're at least a passing grade.

 

[9-10ths_Penguin]

Does anyone care to take a guess? Is it impossible to assign such a probability?

My answer would be "I don't know" because it seems extremely difficult to have enough reliable information to make such a claim about the probability.

If you say 100% or 0% there must be significant evidence or justification because these imply certainty.

Some religions don't make truth claims.

 

[LuisDantas]

How does something qualify as being approximately true?

It may happen for various reasons. But I don't think we should haste to present an answer that we do not even think makes any sense.

 

[McBell]

One wonders if anyone is going to show their math....?

 

[idav]

One wonders if anyone is going to show their math....?

Trying to get this religious truth aproximater to work, just keeps spitting out 42 as the answer.

 

[Skwim]

One wonders if anyone is going to show their math....?

​

And the answer is 0.00000000000000000000031


.

 

[YmirGF]

One wonders if anyone is going to show their math....?

Damn, I got a divide by zero error.... Maybe I'll just fine tune the algorithm...

 

[McBell]

Damn, I got a divide by zero error.... Maybe I'll just fine tune the algorithm...

Trying to get this religious truth aproximater to work, just keeps spitting out 42 as the answer.

​

And the answer is 0.00000000000000000000031

.

I have noticed lately there are an awful lot of probability and chance claims being tossed out left and right yet no one wants to actually do any math.

 

[YmirGF]

I have noticed lately there are an awful lot of probability and chance claims being tossed out left and right yet no one wants to actually do any math.

Math is.... .... hard.

 

[Aštra’el]

@serp777

You make it seem as if all religions require faith in fantastical realms or beings.

 

[George-ananda]

Does anyone care to take a guess?

I think all religions that focus on brotherly love and compassion and an afterlife are approximately true and the details beyond that are not all that important.

Is it impossible to assign such a probability?

My answer would be "I don't know" because it seems extremely difficult to have enough reliable information to make such a claim about the probability.

If you say 100% or 0% there must be significant evidence or justification because these imply certainty.

I would give Advaita philosophy a 99% as after much consideration I believe it is the highest understanding of any of mankind's wisdom traditions.

 

[Twilight Hue]

Does anyone care to take a guess? Is it impossible to assign such a probability?

My answer would be "I don't know" because it seems extremely difficult to have enough reliable information to make such a claim about the probability.

If you say 100% or 0% there must be significant evidence or justification because these imply certainty.

In what context does true apply here?

Substance?

Effectiveness ?

Practicality?

 

[Skwim]

Math is.... .... hard.

Darn right it is....................................Especially today.

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