1robin
Christian/Baptist
Not when the earliest authority and the one with by far the most access claimed it to be written by him and at a certain date. In historical studies contemporary claims are valid until a sufficient level of evidence exists to over turn it. You are having sever burden confusion here.Not at all. Logically, all that I need to do is to reasonably prove that it is plausible that parts of the prophecy were written after the facts, and I have done that, and you have not said anything that reasonably proves that it is not plausible that parts of the prophecy were not written after the facts. It is well-known that in debates, plausibility is all that is needed to support a position, not probability. It is very well-known that one of the most important things that prophecy advocates need to do at the very start of a discussion about a prophecy is to reasonably prove that it was written before the events.
1. Faith requires enough evidence to permit belief unless certain evidence must be denied.
2. History requires that the earliest source is the best until you have sufficient evidence to over turn it. It also is not a prove or fail burden. It simply takes a set of evidence and examines the strength of differing explanations. Is this better than that or how good is that.
There is no proof of fail, or plausible deniability standard in either of them, ever.
No it is not. Because the plural pronouns should have applied to what he did then instead of only applying to what he plus another actually did. It also does not make sense for Ezekiel to say that he would not have enough wealth to pay his men if he thought he would take the Fortress where all the vast amounts of money existed. Please see both of these links because you are ignoring stuff faster that I can post it.Since Ezekiel called Nebuchadnezzar a "king of kings," it is easily plausible that he expected Nebuchadnezzar to defeat Tyre.
This one is great for the pronoun shift issue and the role of who is to do what.
Ezekiel's Tyre Prophecy Defended
This one covers the probability concerning getting that stuff right by accident. I do not claim it is anything other than a ballpark figure that shows only what end of the pool we are talking about.
[FONT=Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif][SIZE=+2]TYRE PROPHECY PROBABILITY[/SIZE][/FONT] [FONT=Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif]Ken DeMyer[/FONT]
[FONT=Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif](Investigator 111, 2006 November)[/FONT]
[FONT=Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif]In his book Science Speaks Professor Peter W. Stoner defended various Bible prophecies vis a vis their odds of fullfillment.[/FONT]
[FONT=Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif]The book was reviewed by the American Scientific Affiliation who found "The mathematical analysis included is based upon principles of probability which are thoroughly sound and Professor Stoner has applied these principles in a proper and convincing way." (Forward to Science Speaks)[/FONT]
[FONT=Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif]He looks at prophecies concerning Bible cities/places (Tyre, Samaria, Gaza, Ashkelon, Jerusalem, Moab, Amon, Jericho, etc). The book was made well known by Josh McDowell's Evidence that Demands a Verdict which is a well known Christian apologetic. Now what made Professor Stoner's work convincing to me is that he assigns odds of certain aspects of a prophecy being fulfilled in order to come up with a probability for the whole prophecy.[/FONT]
[FONT=Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif]For example, I cite this excerpt from Science Speaks concerning the Tyre prophecy: [/FONT]
[FONT=Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif]What chance did Ezekiel have of knowing that Nebuchadnezzar would, in his conquering of Tyre, not completely fulfill the prophecy of destruction, but other nations would later come in and complete the fulfillment? The indications in the time of Ezekiel certainly were that when Nebuchadnezzar took a city he was quite capable of completing the destruction himself, so the estimate was placed at one in five...[/FONT] [FONT=Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif]What chance did Ezekiel have of knowing that Tyre would be made flat like the top of a rock, after it was conquered? How many cities have been made flat like the top of a rock after being conquered? The sites of nearly all ancient cities are marked by mounds of accumulated debris. I do not know of any other city where the ruins have been so completely cleared away, so the estimate of one in five hundred was chosen...[/FONT]
[FONT=Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif]The chance then of Ezekiel writing this prophecy from his own knowledge, and having it all come true, is 1 in 3 x 5 x 500 x 10 x 10 x 5 x 20. This is 1 in 75,000,000.[/FONT]
[FONT=Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif](From the online version of Science Speaks. [/FONT]
[FONT=Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif]www.geocities.com/stonerdon/science_speaks.html#c8 ) [/FONT]
[FONT=Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif]If readers wish to see how Professor Stoner arrived at his 1 in 75,000,000 figure I recommend looking at the online book or obtaining a print copy.[/FONT] [FONT=Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif]By the way according to Evidence that Demands a Verdict the new city of Tyre (fishing village I believe) is not built on the old city of Tyre but is built nearby.[/FONT]
[FONT=Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif]To my knowledge no skeptic has challenged Professor Stoner's work in terms of trying to refute his probability reasoning. Given that Josh McDowell made Professor Stoner's work well known I don't think the skeptics have a good excuse for not tackling it. [/FONT]
[FONT=Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif][SIZE=+2]WHAT LIES BEHIND[/SIZE] [/FONT]
[FONT=Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif][SIZE=+2]BIBLICAL PROPHECY?[/SIZE][/FONT]
[FONT=Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif]John H Williams[/FONT]
[FONT=Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif](Investigator 117, 2007 November)[/FONT]
[FONT=Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif]In Investigator 111, Ken DeMeyer offered "Tyre Prophecy Probability", and it raises the issue of the chancy business of prediction.[/FONT]
[FONT=Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif]An article in The Australian (25/10/06) referred to one of the world's best-known demographers, Paul Ehrlich, the author of The Population Bomb (1968). During the 1970s I ‘taught' some of his ‘predictions', given as startlingly dramatic warnings of scary doomsday scenarios, a guaranteed way to attract attention and sell a lot of books! [/FONT]
- [FONT=Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif]In the 1970/80s, hundreds of millions would starve to death.[/FONT]
- [FONT=Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif]USA's population would decline and life expectancy would drop to 42 years by 1990, due to "pesticide usage."[/FONT]
- [FONT=Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif]Population growth would overtake food and minerals.[/FONT]
- [FONT=Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif]England (UK?) wouldn't exist by 2000 (now 60.2 million)![/FONT]