Augustus
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We cannot know for sure so it isn't evidence.
Don't be silly.
Ancient history is mostly about probabilities, not cast iron facts, so if we took that approach then we would have to reject much of what we know about anything. We don't know for sure that Socrates and Pythagoras existed, but the writings of Plato and Xenophanes are still evidence that they existed.
Simply offering an alternative explanation does not negate evidence, so we don't dismiss Plato's writings simply because he could have made them up.
We cannot know any mythicist arguments for sure either, so, by your logic, that's not evidence.
The problem with mythicists is that they insist you cannot use the same critical historical methodology as you would use with any other historical figure, and what normally counts as evidence is special pleaded away.
IF you assume the human Jesus existed and started a small movement that took off after his death, what sources would you actually expect to exist that would meet your criteria for evidence? Creating a closed-system where any evidence that you would expect to exist cannot actually be used is just motivated reasoning.
In normal historiography, multiple, independent, near-contemporary sources that suggest someone existed is considered evidence that someone existed. This is true even if the sources contain clear aspects of myth, or attribute magical characteristics to the person in question.
Ancient biography/narrative history was generally not written as an attempt at objective, modern academic style history and was highly mythologised or contrived for narrative/moral/political/etc. purposes, but we still use it critically. If you want to special plead away this evidence in the case of Jesus that's up to you.
Most historians reject this though, and with good reason.
"He meant a regular “Brother of the Lord,” an ordinary non-apostolic Christian. But a Christian all the same—which was important for Paul to mention, since he had to list every Christian he met on that visit, lest he be accused of concealing his contacts with anyone who knew the gospel at that time."
There is a decent amount of peer-reviewed literature on this phrase that agrees.
That is one opinion, many others disagree. Josephus also talks about James, and AFAIK, most Josephus scholars consider that genuine.
Multiple independent sources talking about his brother is good evidence for his existence.
That period is almost completely blacked out, erased from history once the Church became all powerful.
The "all powerful" church was amazing at preventing factionalism and heresy
In the ancient world, with basic transport and communication technology, it would be very hard to erase things from history even if you had the entire power of the Emperor behind you.
It's more parsimonious to assume it didn't happen than there was a successful conspiracy to hide the fact they had turned the space Jesus into a meat Jesus, which some unknown people for some unknown reason thought would be a great idea..
What do you find convoluted about Carriers On the Historicity of Jesus or Lataster's follow up? You haven't presented anything that is convoluted?
The a person easily explained by a human having mythical attributes attached to them in a society known for attaching mythical attributes to humans, who was written about in multiple, independent near-contemporary sources including those noting family and purported human descent and has a backstory that seems to be desperately trying make facts of his life fit a messianic narrative is in fact better explained as being a space Jesus made in an intergalactic jizz factory who, for some reason by some unknown person, was turned into a normal human Jesus who was still a bad fit for a messiah and no one remembered this change happening even though there were countless factions with all sort of heterodox beliefs and lots of anti-Christians seeking to discredit the movement.
You might find the space Jesus more parsimonious, I find it convoluted.
100% of all other dying/rising savior demigods added to religions that Hellenistic Greeks invaded did not exist. The Greeks occupied Judea in 167 BC. There was a known Hellenistic Judaism and Christianity is a Hellenistic religion.
Which of them resemble a normal human with magical bits written about and having a cultic following around the time of their purported lives?
It is largely an arbitrary grouping based on subjective preference.
Could just as easily group him with Alexander, Augustus, Pythagoras, etc. as humans with attributes of divinity attached to them.
And if you were going to attach aspects of divinity to a human, as we know people did, of course it would be likely to have something in common with existing myths.
Paul knew nothing about his ministry, life, family, birth? Mark is writing fiction and re-working older sources. He rewrites 2 Kings, uses Psalms for the crucifixion...
Mark 15.24: “They part his garments among them, casting lots upon them.”
Psalm 22:18: “They part my garments among them, and cast lots upon them.”
Mark 15.29-31: “And those who passed by blasphemed him, shaking their heads and saying, ‘…Save yourself…’ and mocked him, saying ‘He who saved others cannot save himself!’ ”
Psalm 22.7-8: “All those who see me mock me and give me lip, shaking their head, saying ‘He expected the lord to protect him, so let the lord save him if he likes.’ ”
Mark 15.34: “My God, my God, why have you forsaken me?”
Psalm 22.1: “My God, my God, why have you forsaken me?”
On top of these links, Mark also appears to have used Psalm 69, Amos 8.9, and some elements of Isaiah 53, Zechariah 9-14, and Wisdom 2 as sources for his narratives.
He rewrites many Epistles, and much more. There isn't room for a real life persons story.
It's unsurprising that people writing about a Jewish messiah utilised scripture in constructing his biography, especially as ancient biographies/narrative, in general, were written as explanatory narratives
Well the PhD who looked over ALL of the available evidence gives 3 to 1 in favor of mythicism.
You haven't presented one single piece of evidence that suggests a human preacher was the framework the stories were built around.
This is exactly what Carrier is saying, it's based on assumptions that don't hold up.
3-1 based on cherry-picked categories that don't have sufficient data to make a meaningful probabilistic argument. But he's entitled to his opinion.
Even before considering other evidence, I give it odds of 90%+ based on his membership in a much larger and far less subjective category: purported real humans written about in multiple near-contemporary sources.
The evidence is entirely consistent with a mythologised human, and this remains the most parsimonious understanding.
As it can't be proved though, you are free to believe whatever you like.