Yes, that is a systemic flaw of the simple application of Game Theory, it assumes a rational answer (and that the opponent play by the same rules and has the same goal).
But if you go deeper, you also anticipate irrational answers (and their probability). That is the rational behind stochastic terrorism. You have a big range of players and you have to calculate that the reactions will have a big range. Do you think the Justices have anticipated the reaction to their recent rulings?
Well, I suppose if it's a political game, then it might have some random elements to consider, including accounting for the irrational and expecting the unexpected.
I remember this quote from Marlon Brando in
The Formula which does have some measure of truth to it:
- Adam Steiffel, Chairman Titan Oil : Human beings, my friend, are a very complex paradox. Very, very dangerous. They don't wanna' be leaders, they wanna' be followers. I mean, they... they can't wait to find some nut, who they think is just wonderful, to tell them what to do. And they all wanna' be brought under control. And some of that awesome burden has fallen on my sagging shoulders. I didn't ask for it, and I don't enjoy it, but I accept it... because I have a strong sense of duty.
Through much of human history, controlling people and populations was a much simpler process, back during times when society was more sparsely-populated, agrarian, and pastoral. Industrialization and urbanization changed all that, and one of the results of that is that it has become more and more difficult for the political leadership to keep the herd under control, so to speak.