Trump on course to win...IF...

[beenherebeforeagain]

Just read this commentary in the Washington Post:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news...237-delegates-he-needs-to-be-the-gop-nominee/

This projection is based on Trump taking 30 percent in essentially all of the remaining primaries/caucuses/conventions and being the winner in each. The projection changes somewhat if he doesn't get above 50 percent in a few states (proportional except if winner is above 50 percent) and/or he's not the winner in the straight winner-takes-all states.

Let's say this projection holds, and that by basically taking 30 percent of the GOP primary vote he becomes the nominee. That means about 70 percent of Republicans preferred someone else to their eventual nominee. Some GOP voters will of course rally to the nominee--that's what it means to be a party member for the most part, you support the party's choice--but what might that imply for his performance in the general election, which hinges of independents and swing voters?

 

[Sunstone]

In the general, I think it will depend on who he runs against. Recent polls show Sanders beating him by a wide margin, but Clinton neck and neck.

 

[ShivaFan]

Trump has already won the nomination. It is just "procedural" now and waiting for Super Tuesday. Of course, the Republican establishment that hates Trump may try a brokered convention and other dirty tricks to try and stop it.

This type of article, it is just delusional math games. Trump is supported by the majority of the Republican base. As the field becomes thinner, and it actually is doing so even faster than in the past despite propaganda otherwise, the support will increase for Trump.

The only last state Cruz has a chance is Texas, but the delegates themselves will be proportionally divided out between Cruz and Trump unless Cruz gets 50% or more of the vote in Texas and that is not going to happen.

The nomination is over, Trump won. And the establishment will not be able to stop it outside an assassination which is not beyond the possibility some fascist in the establishment or some religious nutcase of the Cruzbots may try, or some Lee Harvey Oswald communist. God forbid.

If Hillary is the Democrat, Trump has won the general election. You haven't seen anything yet regarding what is going to be Hillary's problems, the powder is kept dry until the nominee is declared.

Then the real war will start, and she isn't going to win it for what is coming.

 

[allfoak]

Trump is making a deal with the devil.
He wears a bullet proof vest everywhere he goes and carries a gun on most occasions.
If he survives the nomination he will likely not survive the election without a deal with someone or something.