Welcome to Religious Forums, a friendly forum to discuss all religions in a friendly surrounding.
Your voice is missing! You will need to register to get access to the following site features:We hope to see you as a part of our community soon!
How would you refute his claim? If I say I have an invisible elf in my pocket, how can you refute my claim? Do you have evidence that I don't?
am i suppose to believe him? demand that he produce the elf, i would.
where is your elf? now who's the liar?
you say: No, I haven't. I do think it would make an interesting thread, but it's irrelevant here. Do you see why?
IRRELEVANT? then why do you keep asking for it? again, contradicting youself
btw, i can see that i am intimidating you. name calling? childish, why dont you just take your toys and go home?
You see, you put the burden of proof back on him to demonstrate that the elf exists. That is what tristesse is trying to explain to you--the same applies to God. You are making the claim, and we are demanding that you produce the God.How would you refute his claim? If I say I have an invisible elf in my pocket, how can you refute my claim? Do you have evidence that I don't?
am i suppose to believe him? demand that he produce the elf, i would.
Where is your God? Who's the liar?where is your elf? now who's the liar?
What is irrelevant here is the atheist evidence for the lack of God. It is irrelevant here, because the issue is the theist evidence for God. That's the point.you say: No, I haven't. I do think it would make an interesting thread, but it's irrelevant here. Do you see why?
IRRELEVANT? then why do you keep asking for it? again, contradicting youself
I haven't said anything that is not true--unlike you.btw, i can see that i am intimidating you. name calling? childish, why dont you just take your toys and go home?
I love you Auto! If you were a rockstar, I would be first in line to throw my panties onstage.
Let the equivocation time begin!
autodict, lets see your "evidence" that substanciates your atheism.
auto, regardless of your twisted conception of the meaning of evidence, it IS what provides PROOF
asking for it is ALL you have. the evidence that you demand from me is also demanded of you.
it seems like neither of us can supply it, so looks like we have a draw. back to square 1.
No, you asked for a rule of thumb that would place individual arguments on a scale from one to ten. I explained that logic can't do that, you can only play two arguments against each other. Sure, we do know some things that have infinite justifications behind them, but they're not really applicable to what we're discussing. They're the tools to start reasoning at all in logic.Which is in line with my (untaken) invitation-
What does anything you said have to do with real math? There's no threshold something has to cross to be considered impossible to happen. You aren't misunderstanding the law of large numbers and the law of averages, are you?Wombat said:The ‘scenario’ reflects a desire to demonstrate- “philosophy gave us logic, which in turn gave us the scientific method”....but is seems the basic Math of probability is less appealing than “discussing the real issue”-“ If one of the horses turned into Beelzebub”(???)
Why are you so interested in an algorithm to determine how propable something is and how suspicious you should be? It has no bearing what so ever in mathematics or logic, and certainly not the scientific method. Everything should be tested, and you should play it out against competing explanations.Wombat said:If- "All horses except for one falling is still something that can be explained without the need of a massive ammount of assumptions" that would place the event closer to 1 than 10 (yes? no?...1 being probable/no suspicion 10 being improbable/high suspicion”.)
What happens to the Stewards sense of probability/suspicion if the same thing happens in the next race...all horses fall except one?
Uh, to nebulous? Do prayers have any sort of effect? If the answer's yes, you need a workable model to explane it, otherwise it's faith. If you can't predict when it will and will not work, you can't possibly know that it does work.Wombat said:Nope, prayer is to nebulous for "a working model for explaining what's possible and not possible"...horses are solid and will do just fine.
workable model to explane it, otherwise it's faith.
We must learn from our mentors.
Remember what was learnt from George:
GEORGE COSTANZA:
Well, after dinner last week, she invites me back to her apartment.
Well, it's this little place with this little bathroom. It's like right there, you know, it's not even down a little hall or off in an alcove. You understand?
Well, it's this little place with this little bathroom. It's like right there, you know, it's not even down a little hall or off in an alcove. You understand?
There's no... buffer zone. So, we start to fool around, and it's the first time, and it's early in the going. And I begin to perceive this impending... intestinal requirement, whose needs are going to surpass by great lengths anything in the sexual realm.
So I know I'm gonna have to stop. And as this is happening I'm thinking, even if I can somehow manage to momentarily... extricate myself from the proceedings and relieve this unstoppable force, I know that that bathroom is not gonna provide me with the privacy that I know I'm going to need...
JERRY: This could only happen to you.
GEORGE: So I finally stop and say, "Tatiana, I hope you don't take this the wrong way, but I think it would be best if I left".
So I'm dressing and she's staring up at me, struggling to compute this unprecedented turn of events. I don't know what to say to reassure this woman, and worst of all, I don't have the time to say it.
The only excuse she might possibly have accepted is if I told her I am in reality Batman, and I'm very sorry, I just saw the Bat-Signal. It took me 3 days of phone calls to get her to agree to see me again.
Seinology.com :: Scripts :: 16-The Chinese Restaurant
I either don't understand what you're driving at....
... or why it would be relevant.
we would need to establish (even as rough rule of thumb) what is statistically probable
When an Atheist says I am an Atheist because there is no evidence for God, what do they mean?
We have the world, life, consciousness, love, information, the ability to talk, think, and have morals.
That all had to come from somewhere.
The reality is 80% of the world believes in God, so the world we see and touch must have some inherent evidence built into it.
For example when we see a painting we know there must be a painter so naturally when we see the world we know there must be a creator.
I suspect what they mean is God hasnt stood in front of them and spoke directly to them or that they cant see God with their eyes.
Yet they believe in evolution, most of them which they cant see happening, they rely on forensic science not observable science for that, why not rely on forensic science for the evidence for God?
"The bed exists, and therefore, I exist." Does that make sense to you?The earth and life is the evidence.
No, you asked for a rule of thumb that would place individual arguments on a scale from one to ten..
What does anything you said have to do with real math? There's no threshold something has to cross to be considered impossible to happen...
You aren't misunderstanding the law of large numbers and the law of averages, are you?.
Why are you so interested in an algorithm to determine how propable something is and how suspicious you should be?.
It has no bearing what so ever in mathematics or logic, and certainly not the scientific method..
Let's use your example of the falling horses: if you can't create a working model and explane why the horses fell, and use that model predictively and get the same result when you mirror the circumstances, it smells like cheating.
Would this be the Antithesis of Poor people in developed nations suffering from diebetes and over-use of pain-killers and of processed nutrient-less denuded-foods Pop-Culture?
No, natural, or material, or without God, does not mean random or mere chance. They are completely different. If you want to make an argument that "determined by the laws of nature" means the same thing as "completely random", give it a shot.I don't see how I can make it simpler-"The invitation is to establish what we would mutually agree to be within the realms of probability/mere chance...and what would be considered improbable/beyond chance"
Because you have asserted that all phenomena/events can be explained as natural, without God...that would be ungoverned, without interference, random, mere chance.
I guess, if we were talking about random chance. We're not. We're talking about an absence of magic, or supernatural explanations.To determine a potential event outside the realms of mere chance (ie a highly suspicious event) we would need to establish (even as rough rule of thumb) what is statistically probable and what is an anomaly that prompts/requires further investigation.
And if you try to explane it, it will all be guess work unless you read up on how the sun will work.But, the sun will rise tommorow ---we pre-arrange that all will proceed as planned. And it does.
But, I do not who nor why it works like clock work.
If you didn't, than it really does have absolutely nothing to do with mathematics. Mathematics is the study of quantity, shape, structure and change and logic is the study of reasoning. Your asking for a rule of thumb to determine what's propable, and we determine propability through inductive reasoning which is logic, and then quantify it's statistical pattern (if it follows a statistical pattern), which is math. We can then apply a statictical analysis of it, but we need to use inductive reasoning in order to see a if a pattern emerges. That's not math, it's logic.Wombat said:Did I?.....:no:.....(Care to quote?)
And that's not possible. If you're talking arguments, you need to compare it to another model that explanes it to satisfaction. If it's alone in explaning something satisfactorily, it's an unchallenged champion.Wombat said:My invitation had nothing to do with "individual arguments".
It had everything to do with individual assesments of 'probability'.
Given the laws of physics, and that we assume it was a normal horse track and every horse and jockey tried to win, the probability of all but one horse falling is less than 50 %. Was that the answer you wanted? Or did you want me to say "when something with a less than X% chance of happening does, indeed, happen something's suspicious"? That answer is not something that applies to what we're discussing because this is ontology, not statistics.Wombat said:(And to that simple question one cannot even get a straight answer from participating atheists......go figure)
Dice follow statistical patterns established through inductive reasoning. Horse races, base ball games and lotteries do too. What statistical pattern do prayers follow? Or God? Or miracles?Wombat said:The question I'm posing has >everything< to do with "real math".
You roll cats eyes in a Casino and nobody blinks an eye, you roll them twice and everybody cheers, you roll them three times and everybody oooh ahhhs amazing and Security is on its way....you roll them four times and your in the Managers office while the dice are examined BECAUSE you have crossed the "threshold something has to cross to be considered impossible (or likley) to happen"
"Everything"? Probability theory is it's own branch in mathematics for a reason, you know.Wombat said:>Probability<......>everything< to do with "real math" and real life.
Whoa, stop, stop, stop! Anomalies are events that happen outside the statistical pattern, not things that are outside the realms of chance. Learn the difference.Wombat said:Because there are "thresholds something has to cross to be considered impossible (or likley) to happen" and when that occurs it is deemed to be an anomaly... something outside the realms of mere chance.
The guys at the casino are measuring the statistical probability of there being a cheater amongst them (something which can be established through inductive reasoning) and the statistical probability within the game. That's how they spot anomalies.Wombat said:Tell that to the guys at the Casino when you keep rolling cats eyes...and good luck with that.
A thousand words of irrelevant second guessing and obfuscation to cut through before we even get close to the simple question-
Again, if there's no workable model explaining why all those horses fell. If the laws of physics can explane it (for example, if all the horses didn't "fall" into the ceiling, it can) it's possible.Wombat said:WHAT!!!!???.......ONE isolated race in which all horses bar one fall and your leaping to "it smells like cheating"!!!!!!!??????
"create a working model and explane why the horses fell" ????....The "working model" is called the global horse racing industry and history....the "explane"(?) is that it was identified as 'jumps'....hurdles. It is not unheard of for an entire field of horses to fall...and yet (as a Steward) you would leap to "it smells like cheating" on the basis of one race?
..... it really does have absolutely nothing to do with mathematics. Mathematics is the study of quantity, shape, structure and change and logic is the study of reasoning. Your asking for a rule of thumb to determine what's propable, and we determine propability through inductive reasoning which is logic, and then quantify it's statistical pattern (if it follows a statistical pattern), which is math. We can then apply a statictical analysis of it, but we need to use inductive reasoning in order to see a if a pattern emerges. That's not math, it's logic.
And that's not possible. If you're talking arguments, you need to compare it to another model that explanes it to satisfaction. If it's alone in explaning something satisfactorily, it's an unchallenged champion.
The process of actually finding the pattern at all is not math, it's logic. Quantifying it is. Get it?
What a pile of pointless contradictory semantic equivocation and obfuscation.
You begin with- “it really does have absolutely nothing to do with mathematics”
Follow up with-“ then quantify it's statistical pattern (if it follows a statistical pattern), which is math”
HELLO! The thing that has “absolutely nothing to do with mathematics” involves “statistical pattern, which is math” !!!???
What are you talking about and asking for?Wombat said:And conclude “We can then apply a statictical analysis of it, but we need to use inductive reasoning in order to see a if a pattern emerges. That's not math, it's logic”
It’s “logic” applied to “math”...you cannot perform “statistical analysis” without applying fundamentals of math/logic.
But clearly you can write an entire post that begins asserting “absolutely nothing to do with mathematics” concedes the role of maths within the first paragraph, goes on to call for (Math free?) “statistical analysis” and demonstrates no reliance on “logic” whatsoever.
All right, then there's a simple answer to your question: no.Wombat said:It's a >QUESTION< not an "arguement"...the >question< does not have "another model that explanes it to satisfaction"...the >question< is not "explaining" anything therefore is not "alone in explaning something satisfactorily".