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Will China/North Korea invade Taiwan/South Korea ?

ronki23

Well-Known Member
It's not often that all 4 countries are in the news at the same time.

Xi and Biden exchange warnings on Taiwan

China has been sending jets into Taiwanese airspace.

Kim Jong Un says the nukes are ready to launch but to be honest Yoon Suk Yeol is more hardline than his predecessor and has been accused of wanting to strike first.
 

Brickjectivity

Veteran Member
Staff member
Premium Member
It's not often that all 4 countries are in the news at the same time.

Xi and Biden exchange warnings on Taiwan

China has been sending jets into Taiwanese airspace.

Kim Jong Un says the nukes are ready to launch but to be honest Yoon Suk Yeol is more hardline than his predecessor and has been accused of wanting to strike first.
It sounds like nothing has changed. It is very typical for China's government to assert that Taiwan isn't a country and belongs to itself. It does this with each US administration. Actually it brings up as many complaints as it can come up with, because complaints are diplomatic levers. In diplomacy if you complain to the US about something then there have to be apologies and excuses, and its like we lose brownie points. Its like if Russia complains about losing Alaska. There is no way for us to win that conversation. We purchased Alaska and are not going to sell it back, so we lose in that conversation. We have to raise our own complaints in return. That's diplomacy.
 

lewisnotmiller

Grand Hat
Staff member
Premium Member
'Plans to invade' don't mean much. I'm pretty sure the Australian military would have all sorts of contingency plans in place ready to execute, but we're not invading anyone soon.

Not unless those dirty Kiwis give us any trouble. (J/K)

Not to say there isn't anything more to this than just contingency planning. All military have their Hawks, and I'm sure that's at a whole other level when you're talking about North Korea or China.

Still, seems unlikely.
 

Suave

Simulated character
It's not often that all 4 countries are in the news at the same time.

Xi and Biden exchange warnings on Taiwan

China has been sending jets into Taiwanese airspace.

Kim Jong Un says the nukes are ready to launch but to be honest Yoon Suk Yeol is more hardline than his predecessor and has been accused of wanting to strike first.

Please let us agree to a diplomatic solution in order to resolve the ROC-PRC conflict whereby Taiwan is ceded to mainland China in 2049, this being the 100th year anniversary of the People's Republic of China's proclamation.
 

Yazata

Active Member
I think that a Chinese military attack on Taiwan is almost a 100% certainty. The only question is how and when.

I'm not convinced they will attack Taiwan directly, since that would require a huge amphibious invasion and I'm not sure China is up to it. My guess is that they would try to put a blockade around Taiwan, shooting down any aircraft approaching or leaving and sinking all shipping. Then wait for Taiwan's economy to collapse and its people to start starving.

I don't know when it's coming, but probably within ten years.
 

Suave

Simulated character
1. Neither the U.S. nor the U.N. recognize Tawain as being a country,
2, Few nations recognize Tawain as being a sovereign country.
3. The ROC is the remnant of an unfinished civil with the PRC. The ROC fled to Tawain after being defeated on mainland China by the PRC.
4, China's and Tawain's Constitution stipulate they are together as "One China"

Taiwan is not a Country (even if you wish really hard)

 

Aupmanyav

Be your own guru
No. Dominance displays will continue till Xi is there. I do not know if his successors will have the same view. Rulers come and go, everywhere, all the time.
 

Suave

Simulated character
ONLY in the sense that might makes right.

"Around a large table with a map and icons representing ships, submarines, planes, missile batteries, land-based forces, space-based sensors, and other apparatuses of modern warfare, officials from the Pentagon and the Rand Corp. fight a thus far unimaginable conflict.

The Red Team, composed of experts on the Chinese military, aims to use all available forces to capture Taiwan, the island 90 miles off the coast that China regards as a renegade province and that it has repeatedly vowed to retake, by force if necessary.

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China's strategy would be to get an invasion fleet across the Taiwan Strait before the U.S. could come to its tiny ally’s aid. “And once that happens we'd face an Iwo Jima situation,” says a defense analyst, referring to a costly campaign to dislodge occupying Japanese in World War II.
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The Blue Team, made up U.S. military personnel with operational experience — fighter pilots, cyber warriors, space experts, missile defense specialists – must try to defeat the Chinese invasion.

It doesn't generally go well for the Blue Team.

“It's had its *** handed to it for years,” David A. Ochmanek, a former deputy assistant secretary of defense for force development and now a defense analyst at Rand, told RealClearInvestigations. “For years the Blue Team has been in shock because they didn't realize how badly off they were in a confrontation with China.”

China’s alarming invasion simulations | TheSpec.com
 
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