We have multiple independent testimonies for the resurrection (+ an empty tomb) this includes testimonies form skeptics, non believers, and even groups of people.
We don't have an empty tomb. What we have is words about an empty tomb. Even if we had such a tomb, we have no way of establishing that it represents a resurrection. Word alone are not sufficient evidence to believe in either gods or resurrections.
This makes “hallucinations” an unlikely and insufficient explanation. …..Unlikely because it´s unlikely (nearly impossible) for multiple people to have the same hallucination at the same time. And insufficient because hallucinations would not explain the empty tomb nor the belief in the resurrection.
From Mass hallucination. "A mass hallucination is a phenomenon in which a large group of people, usually in physical proximity to each other, all experience the same hallucination simultaneously. Mass hallucination is a common explanation for mass UFO sightings, appearances of the Virgin Mary, and other paranormal phenomena. In most cases, mass hallucination refers to a combination of suggestion and pareidolia, wherein one person will see, or pretend to see, something unusual (like the face of Jesus in the burn-marks on a tortilla, or the face of a kidnapped girl on a blank billboard) and point it out to other people. Having been told what to look for, those other people will consciously or unconsciously convince themselves to recognize the apparition, and will in turn point it out to others."
The empty tomb needs no explanation. And hallucination is not needed for those not present to believe. The Gospel writers weren't present, so they cannot be said to have hallucinated an event they did not see. They simply believed what they were told, like all believers since including those living today.
As for the resurrection well if God exist then miracles and resurrection would not be “very unlikely”
Even if a deity exists, we can say that it is very unlikely that it raises our dead based on the number of biological deaths followed by a resurrection compared to the number that did not.
Even if we assume agnosticism (perhaps God exist perhaps not 50% probability) the resurrection seems to be the best explanation.
Not to me. Any naturalistic explanation is more likely than any supernaturalistic one simply because we have countless examples of the former and none of the latter.
As an analogy if I tell you that an Alien kidnaped my neighbor you will probably conclude that I am crazy or lying. But if there are multiple testimonies claiming the same thing, my neighbor is truly missing, and if I and other witnesses are being persecuted by religious groups for making “alien claims” …. Then you would probably consider the possibility that my neighbor was truly kidnapped by an alien.
I would consider the possibility from the beginning, but wouldn't believe it without more evidence than testimony.
If you made that claim, based on what I know about you from your posting, I wouldn't consider crazy or lying most likely. Your belief in resurrection seems even more tenuous than a belief in alien abduction, but I consider you neither crazy nor lying. I just see you as somebody willing to believe without the evidence it would take to convince critical thinkers, that is, people who don't believe without compelling evidence.
I agree that as the number of people agreeing with you goes up, the believability of the claim goes up as well, but never to the level of justifiable belief. In fact, I have no reason to believe that there has ever been an extraterrestrial visit to correlate with any reports of UFO. Remember, I'm not saying that it didn't happen, just that there is insufficient reason to believe that it did if it did.
This has been a very successful epistemology for mankind and me personally. This kind of thinking resulted in man discarding astrology, alchemy, blood letting (to restore balance in fictional humors), and creationism with astronomy, chemistry, medicine, and Big bang cosmology (physical evolution) and biological evolution. In each case, a wrong belief that generated nothing of value was replaced with a correct one that did. That's a pretty strong recommendation for this manner of deciding what's true about the world - empiricism. And that's been my approach for 35 years, since leaving Christianity, where I did believe ideas with insufficient support that were just as sterile as astrology.
Pleasant discussion, thanks.