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But What Are the Risks of CO2 Removal Technologies?

Nous

Well-Known Member
Premium Member
Theoretically there is plenty of sunlight.
I haven't seen where anyone who has crunched any numbers has concluded that it is theoretically possible to meet the world's energy requirements with solar and wind power. To my mind, one doesn't even need to crunch numbers to conclude that it is an implausible proposition that solar and/or wind power could supply even today's energy needs for the eastern seaboard of the US, much less the significantly greater energy needs projected for the next few decades. If you know where anyone has crunched the numbers to show that it is possible to power the Eastern Seaboard with affordable electricity by way of solar power, I would appreciate it if you would cite that analysis.
 

Brickjectivity

Veteran Member
Staff member
Premium Member
I haven't seen where anyone who has crunched any numbers has concluded that it is theoretically possible to meet the world's energy requirements with solar and wind power. To my mind, one doesn't even need to crunch numbers to conclude that it is an implausible proposition that solar and/or wind power could supply even today's energy needs for the eastern seaboard of the US, much less the significantly greater energy needs projected for the next few decades. If you know where anyone has crunched the numbers to show that it is possible to power the Eastern Seaboard with affordable electricity by way of solar power, I would appreciate it if you would cite that analysis.
174 petawatts (PW) of energy comes in form of solar radiation (or insolation) hits our atmosphere. Almost one third of this is reflected back into space. The rest, 3 850 000 exajoules (EJ) every year, is absorbed by the atmosphere, clouds, oceans and land – one hour of insolation is the equivalent to more than the world’s energy consumption for an entire year.Solar energy is by far the largest energy resource on the Earth.
That quote is from What is the Potential of Solar Energy? - Energy Informative

Nearly four million exajoules (1 EJ = 1018J) of solar energy reaches the earth annually, ca. 5 × 104 EJ of which is claimed to be easily harvestable
That is from sciencedirect.com

In a single hour, the amount of power from the sun that strikes the Earth is more than the entire world consumes in an year.
that is from businessinsider.com

The light is there, but there have to enough panels and enough storage.
 

Nous

Well-Known Member
Premium Member
174 petawatts (PW) of energy comes in form of solar radiation (or insolation) hits our atmosphere. Almost one third of this is reflected back into space. The rest, 3 850 000 exajoules (EJ) every year, is absorbed by the atmosphere, clouds, oceans and land – one hour of insolation is the equivalent to more than the world’s energy consumption for an entire year.Solar energy is by far the largest energy resource on the Earth.

Nearly four million exajoules (1 EJ = 1018J) of solar energy reaches the earth annually, ca. 5 × 104 EJ of which is claimed to be easily harvestable
There are a couple of big pieces missing here before one can conclude that even the current energy requirements of the world or the Eastern Seaboard of the US can be affordably met by solar power. One piece is how many EJs the world or the Eastern Seaboard uses per year. Another piece is how much sunlight reaches any given region so as to make solar power affordable as the source of electricity production. It would presumably not be affordable to harvest sunlight in the Sahara Desert and transmit electricity to New York City.

And then there is just the big piece of information about how much of the surface of any given region can be covered with solar panels. After all, sunlight has to reach the surface of the earth in order to grow plants, have animals, have living oceans, etc., etc.

Right?
 

Brickjectivity

Veteran Member
Staff member
Premium Member
There are a couple of big pieces missing here before one can conclude that even the current energy requirements of the world or the Eastern Seaboard of the US can be affordably met by solar power. One piece is how many EJs the world or the Eastern Seaboard uses per year. Another piece is how much sunlight reaches any given region so as to make solar power affordable as the source of electricity production. It would presumably not be affordable to harvest sunlight in the Sahara Desert and transmit electricity to New York City.

And then there is just the big piece of information about how much of the surface of any given region can be covered with solar panels. After all, sunlight has to reach the surface of the earth in order to grow plants, have animals, have living oceans, etc., etc.

Right?
Yes there are some missing numbers. I don't know what the east coast power requirements are. I think that there is more than enough sunlight given that the Earth receives so much of it. Cost and power storage are the next most important questions, but first we'd need an estimate of the power requirements. We'd have to start by knowing how much power is required in the area of interest. Then we could ask a meteorologist (which I am not) how much light energy is available day and night over that area. The meteorologist could provide an average value historically for day and night time, and then based upon that we'd assume storing part of that power, probably make several estimates versus cost of storage. Then (like in the example I provide below) we could multiply the efficiency of solar panels using some conservative value (whichever panels are most efficient per dollar, say the ones that convert 19% of the light). That would give us the needed amount of panel area. So for example if we need 1 amp-hour per day with panels with efficiency of 19% and sunlight providing say 2 amp hour per square mile we'd start from our requirement of 1 amp-hour daily and calculate the panel surface area needed. Somebody would have to provide the land or else modify their property, and there would be costs associated.

Here is an example of a cheap and dirty calculation based upon a power need of 1 amp hour:

1 amp hour needed = X square miles of panels * 0.19 efficiency * 2 amp hour / square miles. Then we find X, and X is the number of square miles of panels required to achieve 1 amp hour per day given these fictional numbers. Of course you are going to check with multiple kinds of solar panels, and you are going to also compare their prices. Your spreadsheet will have many columns before the end. You will use iterations to resolve down to the best cost.

Going by the comments I have scrubbed from those sites the entire world could be powered by a solar panel the size of Spain -- but I am not suggesting such a thing. Everybody likes Spain, so lets not cover it. :) Its a bit nebulous information but close enough to establish that we could power the East Coast using solar panels and that it would be a question of money and land. Whose land? Whose money?

To make a really good estimate requires input from meteorologists who should be able to estimate the light available per year, and secondly you have to use a spread sheet that lets you put in different brands and types of solar panels. That way you can look at all the possible values. A more efficient panel could either make it so that you need fewer panels or so that you can have more energy in the same area of land. These are choices which make the estimation more complicated. A third complication is that now there are flexible solar panels, so these can be put into more situations. Since they are not yet in common production there is nobody we can ask about them except the research teams which currently are working to get patents on them.
 

Nous

Well-Known Member
Premium Member
Yes there are some missing numbers. I don't know what the east coast power requirements are. I think that there is more than enough sunlight given that the Earth receives so much of it. Cost and power storage are the next most important questions . . .
And how to harvest all that sunlight without turning the surface of the planet into one huge shadow.

Anyway, given that we already have a good, clean, safe method of producing enough electricity for the next few centuries, I see no reason to bother trying to develop solar and wind power technologies that don't exist and likely cannot feasibly exist. As the NOVA program emphasizes, the only obstacle to powering the world in a responsible way is the irrational fear of nuclear power.
 

james dixon

Well-Known Member
Premium Member
People can’t see the forest for the trees.

Animals breath in O2 and exhale CO2

Plants breath in CO2 and exhale O2

It is a perpetual cycle that sustains all living things


breath cycle.jpg
 

Yerda

Veteran Member
BSM1 said:
Also, if you read the IPCC's dire predictions you'll see that they make the statement (buried way down in the rhetoric) that there is no provable evidence that any of their observations are valid.
Can you back that up?

BSM1 said:
Secondly, the world in general hasn't the technology to meet the outlandish recommendations proposed by the UN agency.
Can you back this up?

BSM1 said:
And, thirdly, this whole GW/CC brouhaha is based on a hoax to begin with.
Physics isn't hoax, sir.
 

Twilight Hue

Twilight, not bright nor dark, good nor bad.
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