I agree with this prediction. And I am going to go further and be more specific.
The scandal will involve a ferret in some way. Perhaps more than one.
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Call it . . .
- Thread starter Watchmen
- Start date
The scandal will involve a ferret in some way. Perhaps more than one.
Soon enough will be soon enough. Whether it is a day, a few days, or a week or more, it will still be soon enough.
anna.
colors your eyes with what's not there
More important than the percent of Republicans and Democrats that have voted already may be the percentage of voters that are men or women. 56% of early voters are women only 43% are men. I think that the difference in the amount of support that Harris has over Trump is 18% among women in Pennsylvania. That combine with the percentage of early voters that are women could easily be death for Trump.
Pennsylvania Democrats say they are optimistic after leading in early voting for women, seniors
Pennsylvania women who are registered as Democrats are responsible for the largest single share of early votes.www.inquirer.com
Will gender impact the election? What a PA poll says about Harris, Trump support
Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are in tight race in the Pennsylvania, often along gender lines.www.goerie.com
Eagerness to vote can by huge in elections. Women are motivated to vote this time around much more than men. A higher percentage of men are Trump supporters, but it does Trump no good if they sit at home on the couch.
YES. An important point (and fact) that should've been on my list.
Speak for yourself! I'm personally in no rush to find out, but I know many who are.
You sure that won't be a gerbil?
I heard muskrat.
TagliatelliMonster
Veteran Member
They won't find it in the hands of Trumpy trump though
It will be a shocking election for most.
Call it? The USA should rename itself as the Disunited States of America, and until they truly become the USA, many outside will remain watching in wonder - as to so many torturing and twisting themselves so as to have any proper sense of MAGA. 
Call it? The USA should rename itself as the Disunited States of America, and until they truly become the USA, many outside will remain watching in wonder - as to so many torturing and twisting themselves so as to have any proper sense of MAGA.
I think it was the 80s when my dad first told me that the thing you need to remember about the United States to understand it is that it's really two countries that just share a physical space.
At the time, he was talking about the disparity between the rich and the poor, but it seems to me that the advice works in different ways in different eras.
In the segregation era (and beyond), the two countries were divided along racial lines. These days, the divide is political.
... but there's always been some sort of divide. "E Pluribus Unum" is an ideal that was never achieved.
The facts don't fit your narrative.
Pennsylvania is in a statistical tie. So far, Pennsylvanians support Trump and Harris equally, within the margin of error of the polling.
Walking in the footsteps of Kellyanne Conway, MAGA sycophants feel perfectly comfortable with choosing between the two.
Wirey
Fartist
That adds up to 99%. Hmmmm.......More important than the percent of Republicans and Democrats that have voted already may be the percentage of voters that are men or women. 56% of early voters are women only 43% are men. I think that the difference in the amount of support that Harris has over Trump is 18% among women in Pennsylvania. That combine with the percentage of early voters that are women could easily be death for Trump.
Pennsylvania Democrats say they are optimistic after leading in early voting for women, seniors
Pennsylvania women who are registered as Democrats are responsible for the largest single share of early votes.
Will gender impact the election? What a PA poll says about Harris, Trump support
Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are in tight race in the Pennsylvania, often along gender lines.www.goerie.com
Eagerness to vote can by huge in elections. Women are motivated to vote this time around much more than men. A higher percentage of men are Trump supporters, but it does Trump no good if they sit at home on the couch.
I am expecting Harris to win relatively comfortably surprising the pollsters. Let's see.
Secret Chief
Degrow!
What time does the rioting start?
I'll set aside what I would prefer to happen and focus only on what I think is more likely to actually happen: I think Trump may win primarily due to winning one or two swing states by an extremely narrow margin. I also think the Democratic Party and some of its supporters have been dangerously overconfident, which reminds me of the 2016 election fiasco. I hope my prediction about this is thoroughly proven wrong.
I don't have any predictions regarding congressional elections.
I don't have any predictions regarding congressional elections.
Harris in a landslide. She takes 6 or 7 of the 7 swing states. There may well be a state or two not thought in play for Harris that goes her way. The blue states total 232 electoral votes, and the seven toss-up another 93, so I'm going with Harris 325 or so, Trump about 213.
I see Trump's unpopularity leading to down ticket disappointments for many Republicans, so:
The Democrats retake the House.
The Senate is harder to call, but we may see surprise upsets there in TX (Cruz-R) and FL (Scott-R). Tester has to hold MT and Sherrod OH. MT has abortion issues on their ballot which should help Tester, and Vance (R-OH) and his increasing unpopularity even in OH where he tormented Springfield (Haitians eating pets) may help Sherrod. Borrego should defeat Lake in AZ. I'm predicting that the Democrats narrowly hold the Senate, that that's based more in hope than the other two predictions.
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Since I was curious about what the wisdom of the crowd would be on this, I took an average of everyone's predictions so far.
A few caveats:
- if you didn't give a number at all, you aren't reflected in the average.
- for people who guessed things like "well over 300" for Harris or that Harris would do "better than Biden," I arbitrarily put these guesses in at 310 for Harris (and a corresponding 228 for Trump).
So on the morning of election day, RF's collective prediction is 292.4 for Harris, 245.6 for Trump.
A few caveats:
- if you didn't give a number at all, you aren't reflected in the average.
- for people who guessed things like "well over 300" for Harris or that Harris would do "better than Biden," I arbitrarily put these guesses in at 310 for Harris (and a corresponding 228 for Trump).
So on the morning of election day, RF's collective prediction is 292.4 for Harris, 245.6 for Trump.
Twilight Hue
Twilight, not bright nor dark, good nor bad.
Then comes the reclamation of our country and to see if life actually gets better for all citizens then it is right now.