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Enough Time for Evolution?

savagewind

Veteran Member
Premium Member
If most mutations really are neutral and some are not beneficial and some are even deadly (right away), add them up and then add all the selected mutations that are theorized to have actually happened. What do you get?

Edited to say: Scientists will say "well, conditions were different then". No **** Sherlock.
 

Falvlun

Earthbending Lemur
Premium Member
Here's another one from the same journal:

Adaptation often involves the acquisition of a large number of genomic changes that arise as mutations in single individuals. In asexual populations, combinations of mutations can fix only when they arise in the same lineage, but for populations in which genetic information is exchanged, beneficial mutations can arise in different individuals and be combined later. In large populations, when the product of the population size N and the total beneficial mutation rate Ub is large, many new beneficial alleles can be segregating in the population simultaneously. We calculate the rate of adaptation, v, in several models of such sexual populations and show that v is linear in NUb only in sufficiently small populations. In large populations, v increases much more slowly as log NUb. The prefactor of this logarithm, however, increases as the square of the recombination rate. This acceleration of adaptation by recombination implies a strong evolutionary advantage of sex.
Rate of Adaptation

I'm not even trying.

I bolded the part I found interesting. We aren't talking about one individual lineage mutating, and then having to mutate again, and again. We are talking about individual A having a mutation and then mating with individual B having another mutation, giving rise to offspring C who has both mutations, which mates with individual D, etc, etc.
 
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ImmortalFlame

Woke gremlin
I just am not really sure what evidence I'm supposed to provide. What am I exactly trying to show?
Falvlun asked:
So, do you have evidence to back up your claim that the "science industry" (whatever that is) is purposefully duping the world's citizens into believing evolution?

No more dodging, please.
 

Alceste

Vagabond
Once again, most freaking mutations are freaking neutral (i.e. they are neither freaking beneficial or freaking harmful). And, please take freaking note, changes are freaking cumulative. Neutral freaking mutations that don't freaking kill the host can take effects later on.

Plus freaking deleterious adaptations are weeded out pretty freaking quickly.
 

Alceste

Vagabond
How can a neutral mutation cause any change at all? It is an argument for Shermana, not against.

It's a genetic mutation. It might have no visible effect, but if another gene changes later on the change to the first will cooperate in some way.
 
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Shermana

Heretic
Once again, I clearly said earlier that most mutations are benign/neutral earlier. Try actually reading my responses before critiquing them.

changes are freaking cumulative.

And that's the freaking thing, you're looking for a freaking obscenely exponential-amount of beneficial mutations to all take place in each and every species to accumulate. I would say that takes more blind faith against the odds than anything else.
 
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Sculelos

Active Member
Falvlun asked:
So, do you have evidence to back up your claim that the "science industry" (whatever that is) is purposefully duping the world's citizens into believing evolution?

No more dodging, please.

Well there is plenty of evidence against teaching the expanding Earth model because it messes with the Age of the Earth in a severe way and also Newtonian physics just don't jive very well with it either however this is what the Bible say's is happening and we know that because the Bible tells us what the World perimeters used to be back in ancient days.

384 Miles Wide, 256 Miles High was the Earth
384 Miles Wide, 256 Miles High was the Sun.
384 Miles Wide, 256 Miles High was the Moon.

Since then Earth Grown about 18.75 times
Since then Sun Grown about 200 Times.
Since then Moon Grown about 4.68 Times.

Therefore.

Earths magnetic shielding is about 2.34x Weaker.
Sun outputs 3.125x the Violent Energy.
Moon reflects 2.34x less energy.

Together it means Earth at one point in time had 7.805x the Atmospheric retention of Radiometric Carbon Energy.

Thus The average lifespan went from 500 years as recorded in the Book of Enoch to about 64 years as recorded in a modern book of records somewhere, however that's besides my point this is how different these results would make a 4.54 Billion Earth Radiometric dating score.

We flatten are result of 7.805 and end up with 19.5125 multiple times that we divide are results end up with 4,329 Years, we adjust for .05 mathematics error rate and we end up with 4122 Years, adjust for portal crossing time and we end up with about 4145 years exactly. It's funny how the Earth is almost exactly the Age of Noah's Flood as it was destroyed and reassembled during that time.
 

savagewind

Veteran Member
Premium Member
It's a genetic mutation. Output might have no visible effect, but if another gene changes later on the change to the first will cooperate in some way.

I understand what you are saying.

A neutral change sticks around to "cooperate" with another change, that is beneficial, but, can be another neutral change I suppose and together they are selected. The first thought I had was, then it isn't neutral, is it?
A change that hangs around "waiting" for when it is needed seems to me to be very much more beneficial than neutral.
 

secret2

Member
Once again, I clearly said earlier that most mutations are benign/neutral earlier. Try actually reading my responses before critiquing them.

Really? Then why the Mount Everest talk, if you get that. And why immediately the following?

And that's the freaking thing, you're looking for a freaking obscenely exponential-amount of beneficial mutations to all take place in each and every species to accumulate. I would say that takes more blind faith against the odds than anything else.

No. As explained, you don't need a few million "beneficial mutations" all the way (and really, beneficial/neutral/malignant are not that precise, it's just to facilitate discussion. Is this beneficial?). What really happens is the accumulation of many neutral (or harmless) ones with a few more so-called "beneficial" ones, and if the host doesn't get killed along the way, there you go.http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sickle-cell_disease
 

secret2

Member
So you're saying the changes from fish to land-dwelling animals was just a few beneficial mutations, correct?

I don't know how few is few. You are not expecting a fish colony to be land based over one generation right?

And hopefully replace "beneficial mutations" with "mutations that don't kill the organism immediately and that turn out to help replication eventually". No one is sitting there waiting for "beneficial mutations" to occur. Mutation is occurring every minute, and so long as it causes no casualty, it accumulates.
 

Agnostic75

Well-Known Member
Agnostic75 said:
What if some aliens helped evolution develop much faster than it would have developed on its own?

Shermana said:
Yeah, if they believe in the concepts of Theism and at least what I consider TRUE Christianity in regards to how they live their lives, everything else is basically, in comparison at least, similar to debating how many angels can dance on a pin relatively speaking in terms of Theology, though still not completely because there are still some interpretation issues involved that could reflect how to read what Jesus said.

But you have been discussing science in this thread, no theology. If aliens brought life to earth, that is what they did regardless of what they believe about God. You must know that some naturalists believe that aliens brought life to earth. That would still leave them with the problem of explaining where the aliens came from, but nevertheless, some naturalists believe that aliens brought life to earth.

Regarding what Dr. Stuart Newman said about incremental changes, what does that have to do with whether or not naturalism had enough time to account for evolution?

In an article at Stuart A. Newman: Evolution Is More Than Natural Selection, Dr. Newman says:

Dr. Stuart Newman said:
While evolution can thus occur with or without natural selection, the really big, phylum-defining transformations, which happened in an era when developmental systems were much more plastic than they are now, are unlikely to have been produced by incremental adaptation-based mechanisms. I hope to discuss these early phylogenetic events in a future blog post.

Regarding "an era when developmental systems were much more plastic than they are now," I assume that he meant that long ago, some evolutionary mechanisms operated at faster rates than they did at other times.

Consider the following:

New York Medical College - Press Releases

New York Medical College said:
Natural selection, acting over the hundreds of millions of years since the occurrence of these origination events led, according to Newman’s hypothesis, to more complex developmental processes which have made embryogenesis much less dependent on potentially inconsistent physical determinants, although the “physical” motifs were retained. As Newman describes in his article, this new perspective provides natural interpretations for puzzling aspects of the early evolution of the animals, including the “explosive” rise of complex body forms between 540 and 640 million years ago and the failure to add new motifs since that time. The model also helps us to understand the conserved use of the same set of genes to orchestrate development in all of the morphologically diverse phyla, and the “embryonic hourglass” of comparative developmental biology: the observation that the species of a phylum can have drastically different trajectories of early embryogenesis (e.g., frogs and mice), but still wind up with very similar “body plans.”

Therefore, according to Dr. Newman, evolution occurs without the need of incremental changes.

Lots of experts disagree with Dr. Newman, and you would not be able to win public debates with any of them. You are well aware that a man can be right, but still be unable to provide reasonable arguments that support his position. For many years, experts who were hired by cigarette companies won debates about the health risks of smoking cigarettes. That is because that had enough money to hire experts to debate for them. Eventually, those experts lost the debates, but for many years, they won the debates. There is little doubt that you do not understand Ken Miller's article on the flagellum, intelligent design, and irreducible complexity at The Flagellum Unspun well enough to adequately refute it.

You said that Judge Jones did not listen to Scott Minnich's arguments, but you know that he did. He just did not agree with Minnich. If you wish, I will be happy to start a new thread on the Dover trial, and you can explain why Scott Minnich was right, and Ken Miller was wrong. Of course, you will need to know what they both said in order to judge what they said. If you have not already read what they said, you cannot adequately judge what they said. I assume that you do not know enough about biology to adequately judge what they said.

There is a Youtube video by Ken Miller about intelligent design, and the Dover trial at http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AK0CYZvaJLw.

As judge Jones said, some of the defendants lied under oath, and had selective memory loss. That was no doubt because they believed that the ends justify the means, even if the means include lying.
 
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Shermana

Heretic
I don't know how few is few. You are not expecting a fish colony to be land based over one generation right?

And hopefully replace "beneficial mutations" with "mutations that don't kill the organism immediately and that turn out to help replication eventually". No one is sitting there waiting for "beneficial mutations" to occur. Mutation is occurring every minute, and so long as it causes no casualty, it accumulates.

What is your understanding of a "mutation" that's not beneficial? What kind of changes constitutes a "Beneficial" one in your understanding?
 

Shermana

Heretic
Yes, Dr. Newman agrees it happened, just not in incremental changes.

The problem is the big Phase 2: ? in how such Phylum-changing adaptations occured.
 

secret2

Member
What is your understanding of a "mutation" that's not beneficial? What kind of changes constitutes a "Beneficial" one in your understanding?

I am against the use of the term, so I won't answer these questions. If you would, just replace it with the alternative I provided.
 

Agnostic75

Well-Known Member
Shermana said:
Yes, Dr. Newman agrees it happened, just not in incremental changes.

The problem is the big Phase 2, in how such Phylum-changing adaptations occurred.

Why is he wrong about Phase 2? You accepted what he said about incremental changes, so why don't you accept what he has said about Phase 2?

Agnostic75 said:
What if some aliens helped evolution develop much faster than it would have developed on its own?

Shermana said:
Yeah, if they believe in the concepts of Theism and at least what I consider TRUE Christianity in regards to how they live their lives, everything else is basically, in comparison at least, similar to debating how many angels can dance on a pin relatively speaking in terms of Theology, though still not completely because there are still some interpretation issues involved that could reflect how to read what Jesus said.

But you have been discussing science in this thread, no theology. If aliens brought life to earth, that is what they did regardless of what they believe about God. You must know that some naturalists believe that aliens brought life to earth. That would still leave them with the problem of explaining where the aliens came from, but nevertheless, some naturalists believe that aliens brought life to earth.

Lots of experts disagree with Dr. Newman, and you would not be able to win public debates with any of them. You are well aware that a man can be right, but still be unable to provide reasonable arguments that support his position. For many years, experts who were hired by cigarette companies won debates about the health risks of smoking cigarettes. That is because that had enough money to hire experts to debate for them. Eventually, those experts lost the debates, but for many years, they won the debates. There is little doubt that you do not understand Ken Miller's article on the flagellum, intelligent design, and irreducible complexity at The Flagellum Unspun well enough to adequately refute it.

You said that Judge Jones did not listen to Scott Minnich's arguments, but you know that he did. He just did not agree with Minnich. If you wish, I will be happy to start a new thread on the Dover trial, and you can explain why Scott Minnich was right, and Ken Miller was wrong. Of course, you will need to know what they both said in order to judge what they said. If you have not already read what they said, you cannot adequately judge what they said. I assume that you do not know enough about biology to adequately judge what they said.

There is a Youtube video by Ken Miller about intelligent design, and the Dover trial at
Ken Miller on Intelligent Design And The Kitzmiller-Dover Trial - YouTube.

As judge Jones said, some of the defendants lied under oath, and had selective memory loss. That was no doubt because they believed that the ends justify the means, even if the means include lying.
 

Shermana

Heretic
No no, the phrase Phase 2:? is from South Park, indicating a complete unexplained, but critical and central point that is a hole in the series of an explanation.
 

sonofdad

Member
I understand what you are saying.

A neutral change sticks around to "cooperate" with another change, that is beneficial, but, can be another neutral change I suppose and together they are selected. The first thought I had was, then it isn't neutral, is it?
A change that hangs around "waiting" for when it is needed seems to me to be very much more beneficial than neutral.
The mutation just sticks around by chance. There is no selective pressure for a neutral mutation, so other factors decide whether your genes are passed on.

If you are already well adapted to your environment and you have some neutral mutations in your genome, then your children will likely inherit those neutral mutations. As long as your lineage keeps reproducing, those neutral mutations will keep being passed on. If they keep being passed on they will likely turn into beneficial or harmful mutations eventually, either by a change in the environment or by being altered by new mutations.
 

Agnostic75

Well-Known Member
Shermana said:
No no, the phrase Phase 2:? is from South Park, indicating a complete unexplained, but critical and central point that is a hole in the series of an explanation.

But you are not able to win a public Internet debate about evolution with an expert. In addition, laymen are not able to judge complex scientific arguments about incremental changes.
 

Shermana

Heretic
I don't see the relevance to the subject of the OP of me personally being able to win a debate against an expert,

But would you be willing to publicly debate the referenced biologists at Creation.com?
 
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