To me they sound more like postdictions rather than predictions
Scientific predictions aren't like "prophecy" where you tell the future.
The point is that evolution as presently understood,
should result in nested hierarchies. So the model
predicts that traits that evolve in one line, won't end up in another line, but only in its descendants.
This is true for the things we have already modeled from sequenced genomes, and it is expected to be true for the genomes we'll sequence tomorrow.
And this principle is
assumed to be true universally.
This is why you pay a lot of money for a horse of a sepcific bloodline.
This is why you can take a test to see if a kid is your biological kid.
And that is why you can breed dogs into different breeds / races / whatever you wish to call them, by selecting for specific traits and preserving the bloodline.
This is how evolution works.
So no, they are not just postdictions.
Every new genome sequenced, every new species mapped, is a test against this entire thing.
, we knew that mammals don’t have feathers long before evolution was ever proposed, if mammals would have had feathers, you would have simply said that feathers evolved before mammals and birds diverged,
If only it were that easy.
You'ld have to come up with some pretty solid evidence that feathers indeed DID evolve much sooner.
But anyway, it doesn't matter to the point since you were wrong about these being "just postdictions".
You forgot about all genomes we have yet to sequence - each one being a test against the prediction of nested hierarchies - as well as the fact that a
scientific prediction, isn't some prophecy about teling the future. It's rather about stating what
should be the case,
if the model in question is accurate. So if those things aren't the case, the model is wrong. That's called falsifiability.
Making testable predictions, is what makes a model falsifiable.
or that feathers evolved independently twice.
µ
The genetics would be different.
Just like eyes have evolved multiple times, they are also distinct from one another.
ERVs in dogs: well as far as I know nobody has looked at the dog genome searching for ERVs,
Endogenous retroviral pathogenesis in lupus
There are a lot of scientists in the world, looking at lots of things.
so it is a good time to make predictions, what if we find orthologs ERVs in humans and dogs that are absent in other primates, would that be a problem for common descent?
If the ERV's mapped out reflect a closer ancestor with humans then with chimps, then sure that would be a problem.
Tiktaalik: It is not clear for me what you mean, are you saying that tiktaalik was found in strata dated before any other land tetrapod evolved? Implying that Tiktaalik is older than land tertapods and younger that fish………….would finding a land tetrapod older than tiktaalik nullify that supposed correct prediction?
The age of transition from sea to land was inferred from what was already known from the fossil record.
Finding Tiktaalik, the Fossil Link Between Fish and Land Animals
He explains how he scoured maps to find rocks of the right age and type that were accessible at the earth’s surface. This led him to the Canadian arctic where, in 2004, Shubin and his colleagues found Tiktaalik, a fossil of a creature with traits found in both fish and tetrapods.