Copernicus
Industrial Strength Linguist
Do you accept the principle that explanations requiring the fewest number of assumptions, other things being equal, are more plausible than others? In other words, do you think that Occam's Razor is a valid test in weighing plausibility?What it comes down to is that stuff exists. Any answers about why this is, are all equally as speculative. The existence of some type of conscious force responsible for the creation of our universe is as plausible as any other explanation based on our current knowledge, so I give it equal weight as a number of other hypothetical scenarios.
But you do have enough information to judge whether a speculation requires more or fewer assumptions. When we see intelligent life around us, it is most likely evolved life, not spontaneously created life. If you see a squirrel on your lawn, you have no way of knowing whether it existed before you saw it or not, but you jump to the conclusion that it must have existed before you saw it. Similarly, we see lots of things happening in the universe that we assume just happen without any intelligent intervention to make them happen. We don't know that, but most of us (at least non-religious people) assume it.Bottom line is that there is too little information to draw a meaningful conclusion. I don't have enough rational basis for believing in the existence of such an entity, but neither do I have sufficient rational basis for believing that such an entity isn't the explanation for existence.
Is it equally plausible that physical reality was designed or set in motion by an intelligent being or by unintelligent forces that we simply know next to nothing about? Not all speculation is equally plausible.