Sadly, politics seem to be thoroughly intertwined with this issue. I think trans-activists have also done a lot to stir the pot.
I will repeat a question I asked (but didn't get an answer to) in the last thread: who are "trans activists"? Are they supposed to be a uniform group with no differences in opinion among themselves? Why is "trans activist" implied to be a negative designation even though many trans activists simply want equal rights for trans people?
We really have to look at the fact that there has been a 2,000% increase in people identifying as trans in the last decade. Knowing everything we know about the power of propaganda and the negative side effects of social media, and applying Occam's razor, I think it would be an extraordinary claim to content that coercion is not a significant factor.
Reduced stigmatization and more access to gender-affirming care could also be factors in the increased rate of people identifying as trans. Trans people have existed throughout history; it's just that they're more visible now.
Also, you're trying to use your intuition and "Occam's razor" to arrive at a conclusion that is strictly and exclusively within the domain of research and measurable study. No, it's not an extraordinary claim to say that coercion isn't a factor for the majority of trans people because the coercion, both legally and socially, tends to be against coming out as trans. You're positing that the increase in identification is due to social media and coercion, and those should be measurable variables in research about the increase. So you need evidence or your claim is simply unfounded.
In such an environment, it seems to me that performing irreversible interventions is an extraordinary solution. So I think to justify that, extraordinary evidence ought to be required.
All reputable medical organizations contradict the above position. This is an overreach, and a dangerous one at that because of the significant harms that denial of medical care can do to people with gender dysphoria (or any other medical issue that requires professional care).
I understand that politicians have entered into the mix, and I agree that that's concerning. But so have trans-activists, and that's equally concerning.
See my questions above about "trans activists."
And no, it's not equally concerning because many politicians have legal power to impose their personal beliefs—which contradict the positions of medical professionals, in this case—whereas very few "trans activists" have anywhere near that much power.
Where is this persistence in opposing medical consensus about trans issues coming from? It's not usual for you, from what I've seen in your other posts, to discard expert authority on a scientific or medical subject. I'm still not sure why you're making an exception from your usual MO for this one subject.