It is your side’s numbers I gave.
What does that even mean? Were we wearing the same colours?
How do I know the methods involved? I was pointing out that people who believe in those concepts above can produce anything without any solid evidence what so ever. I can produce numbers from fully qualified biologists etc.. from my side if needed. It gets way worse than the probabilities that I gave.
Numbers which, as I've already explained, are meaningless. Pointing out what you consider the lack of validity of other arguments
does not make your argument more credible.
Instead of yelling fallacy please demonstrate why it is a fallacy.
Hoyle's calculation only calculates the formation of a modern protein, not an early earth protein.
Hoyle's calculation assumes a fixed number of proteins with a fixed sequence.
Hoyle's calculation is based only on sequential trials rather than simultaneous trials.
The calculation is inaccurate in representing the number of enzymes present in a randomly sequenced group.
If you wish for more professional opinions, check the wiki link I gave you. It's got a rather comprehensive list of sources.
I find fallacies a crutch misused more than anything else by the non-theist side. I almost never yell fallacy and stop. I almost always explain why it is fallacious.
Instead of being so arrogant, perhaps you could have taken five minutes to read the link I gave you.
I have appprox 18 sem hours in thermodynamics and statistics but I am unfamiliar with anything that will do what you claim. Please illustrate.
Very well then: the bogus probability calculation can be dismissed entirely as it bases its entire model on the possibility of something occurring only by "random chance". However, statistical thermodynamics teaches us that nearly all formations of atoms - from a grain of sand to a cliff side - can be demonstrated to be "infinitely improbable" by exactly the same means. This is because all things must exist in a state, influenced not by "random chance" but by the physical laws of the Universe.
If I wanted to, for example, deduce the "possibility" of a grain of sand forming by random chance, I could easily demonstrate that getting even the first atom in the first specific location required for this particular grain of sand to form is around about one in a billion - and that's only the first atom. This means that, by your standard, sand is too improbable to arise naturally, and must be the result of divine agency. However, sand is not formed by "random chance" - it is formed by erosion and other natural factors acting upon rock. The calculation simply cannot take account of this.
All of this also applies to the probability calculation for life. The probability fails to take account of any physical laws that exist that may influence the result, and simply calculates the probability of life arising by "random chance", despite the fact that any natural chemical process is not governed purely by chance but by the forces inherrent in the Universe.
Oh, and as for you having studied thermodynamics - I don't believe a word of it.
Sagan's numbers are completely derived in an independent method than Hoyle's.
And they, too, are covered by the above refutation.
If you think significant levels of complexity can derive from a branch of study that says more about the tendency of complexity to self-destruct than any other I can't wait to see it demonstrated.
Miller-Urey.
You have two choices life came from a natural or supernatural source. It is either effectual or absolute law of biology that life only comes from life. Not a single exception to this principle has ever been observed despite many attempts and countless lies to the contrary. That kind of narrows things down.
Not a single example of anything supernatural ever occurring has ever been observed despite millions upon millions of people claiming it. That certainly narrows it down. Until the supernatural is demonstrated to exist, the answer to the origin of life is always most likely going to be natural - just as the answer to every other question ever answered by science has been. Your double-standard with regards to this point is duly noted.
That can be tested and has been, and has always resulted in abject failure. There for it is not reasonable it is faith based and against all available evidence.
What evidence do you have that life cannot form naturally? Since you're claiming the proposition is AGAINST all available evidence.
I tell you what I will let you do it. All these are necessary contingent factors that required before life could arise from non-life among millions. The probability for any kind of universe coming from nothing, a structured universe of any kind, a life permitting universe, the necessary molecular contingents of carbon based life, chemical evolution of the necessary complexity and parameters, the arrangement of these constituent components into the precise order for a cell to exist (left handed versus right handed proteins etc....), the chance that cell arrived with a fully operational intact reproductive mechanism. Assign your own numbers based on RELIABLE SCIENCE not fantasy; you will just arbitrarily dismiss mine. Multiply the exponents and tell me the result. Also consider this is the barest of requirements. For every one I gave there are at least a hundred or more needed. Good luck.
I asked you a question. Here it is again:
Can you present the equation and how you know this equation for the "probability" of life is accurate, in spite of statistical thermodynamics rendering it and any other such calculations meaningless?