Life on Earth is rare. In a way it is unique. However we do understand how natural processes could have created life. If we understand how it may have happened in a way that happens naturally why would we need a creator as an answer? Either god works through nature without interveening in a supernatural sense or we were not created at all. It seems to me that there isn't enough evidence to suggest that we are the pinnacle of any sort of design.
And you would be right. But there is a lot between pure and simple chance and design. Its not one or the other and the truth is in fact something else.
If there was a fundamental force of some kind with shaking the bag that could allow the pieces to come together but it only required you to shake the bag enough times, then yes it would be a good example. Other than that its simply not a good example as shaking a bag does not have processes within its mechanism that can create a watch. We know that nature has processes that can allow life.
Whenever you are ready to address it feel free too. But in this point you have made the appeal of "we don't have evidence for god but we don't have evidence it wasn't god except that it appears to have been done by natural processes but there is still the possibility that god was involved."
At this point it seems a poor argument.
I don't mind this -at least it's going somewhere.
The fact that we are the pinnacle of life on earth -having more power over our environment than any other life form on earth -or even all combined -by the design of our bodies and minds -is the evidence that we are the pinnacle of a design.
It is only the true nature and origin of that design -and whether or not our design required a designer -which is in question -and we do lack evidence of
exactly how it came to be.
We can generally know the step-by-step process which produced it, but that is not the same as knowing what may or may not have guided that process or caused it to be as it is rather than something else or nothing at all.
The question is not really "Why do we need a God if things can happen by natural processes?", but "Do natural processes need a God?"
How could a designer employ or work with anything but what is? Design is the manipulation and guidance of "natural processes" to produce an intended state which
sometimes could not have otherwise existed.
We can produce something unique with what is available -but we can also replicate that which already existed (which is not to say it was not designed itself).
We can understand the steps which would be necessary to produce a watch -so why would a watch need a designer? Because it could not have occurred without one.
Why? because nature cannot produce watches -even though it has all of the available materials and forces necessary.
We can conceivably arrange nature to produce watches -even change the design of them based on various factors -by making a self-contained watch factory programmed to run without us (not a perfect example) -but watches still could not have existed without us.
Pure and simple chance really has nothing to do with what happened, anyway. If God does not exist, what happened after the big bang could have happened no other way -and would continue on its inevitable course until decision could be exerted upon it by a being capable of forethought, intent and manipulation. So -all that happened after the big bang would have inevitably produced man -it could have been no other way (and man is the most god-like being of which we have direct evidence, so the big bang would have inevitably produced god-like beings -who continue to grow in knowledge and ability -having increased power over "nature")
Either we were programmed into the big bang (all we know of as that which produced "nature") -or we were programmed after the big bang -that is to say... nature was arranged to produce us.
If you look at the big bang as an executable, either the life subroutine was included in it -or added after it ran for some time (I don't know much about programming, so my terms may be off).
Either way, the question is whether or not whatever nature was at any given point (what happened and existed before the big bang is also "nature") required that it be purposefully arranged to produce life.
If we knew enough about the nature of "nature" we could reach a conclusion -even without being able to identify the designer, if the conclusion was that it did require a designer .....just as we
are (disagree if you like) able to determine that a watch cannot be produced by natural processes without forethought or intent because it requires a specific arrangement of nature which otherwise could not have been.
That's just where I'm at -true or otherwise.
Anyway -I need to give my head a rest -might not be back to the thread for a while.