The idea of random mutations bringing about everything we see has to be questioned I think. If we were to roll a die with a million sides and we needed a six, the chances of a six coming up are one in a million. If there were only one roll of the die, then we could be certain that there would be no reason us waiting for the answer, as the chances of it landing on another number are too great. But we also now that the law of probabilities says that the rolls of the die that are played, the greater the chance of a six coming up.
Now firstly, there is no actualy ''law of probablities''. Yet it appears to work.
Even if the die had been rolled for a million times, six might not come up; it might take ten million rolls of the die before it did. But this is based on something crucial, and that is, every roll of the die has to be rolled in a slightly different way, so that friction and the basic dynamics of the movement of the die will bring about a different number. So we see that there has to be parameters around the 'game' of rolling the die.
But even then we still only have a one in a million chance on the short odds. It is only on the long odds, (continually rolling the die), that we can assume a six will come up. So there has to be certain parameters. If we said that the die had no idea what it was supposed to be doing, and that someone had put parameters in to make the six come up at some point, it would make sense. There appears to be a random side which brings up whatever it wills, and then parameters to make sure that it brings up the correct number.
What if the random side does not want to bring up the six, and it is the parameters that eventually force it to do just that.
The reason I ask if because of the simple point that, each roll of the die is still one in a million. To me that is mind blowing that it would EVER at any point in time, EVER come up on a six! Why would it? Every roll means there are near 1 million chances of some other number coming up.
Something has to make it come up. Something has to force the odds.
When we use the law of probability, we are saying that odds seem to have a memory. But who really thinks that they do? No one I would guess.
So I find this idea of random mutations somehow bringing about something better, and that NS acts upon it, somewhat strained.
But if the odds have a memory, then it is conscious.