You've got lots of external help with your keys: you've got a reference point of where you know you had your keys. You have the knowledge of your own habits. You've got an incredible amount of firsthand knowledge, plus an ability to make judgements about yourself developed over a lifetime's experience. Homicide detectives could only dream of having that sort of insight into the subjects of their judgements.Eh, in a way. The thing about the keys is that I don't have anything external to rely on other than my own internal thoughts. There are plenty of scenarios where you have external evidence to rely on.
Okay... can you show your calculations?Well, in this case, 40% would be Him not doing everything He did when He first said not to take lives. 60% would be Him doing more than what He did when He first said not to take lives.
You've said before that showing you all the signs that He showed the ancient Israelites would get you just over 50%. I infer that 40% is for what we talked about: all of that minus frogs, locusts, and the river of blood. This means that those three miracles together are worth 10% certainty, right? How much certainty were the frogs worth by themselves? 1.5%? 4%? 8%? Whatever value you assigned to them, how did you arrive at it?
Speaking of math and not to be critical, but I'm curious: how much math have you taken in school?You can't be sure of anything based on logic alone (except math, math is God).