Science is supposed to be open to all theories and not a consensus of bullies strong arming descent. Galileo was one man against the consensus of obsolete, fighting to remain relevant. Science is supposed to look under every rock, since something can be learned, even in failure. The way global warming ,then marketed as the more nebulous climate change, also does not accept anything that can threaten the status quo. That is the influence of politics in science, like the Church funding of science, at the time Galileo.
Water is still the dominate chemical that controls climate. We do not need a consensus vote of opinion, since this a fact. Real Science is about fact and not a consensus of opinions. The oceans; liquid water, are a huge heat sink that allows the earth not to overheat. If there were no oceans, the average surface temperate would be 155F.
Water has a huge heat capacity and it takes a lot of heat to alter liquid water even one degree. There are so many ways to store heat in the hydrogen bonding. The desert sands have a low heat capacity, so they can go from freezing at night to over a 100F in a matter of a dozen hours. Water will not heat up or cool that fast, under the same conditions. Water has to many ways to store heat. This is why cities, which have composed of man made construction materials, ,will heat faster than nearby forests, since forests contain lots of plant water.
All the construction materials needed for 8 billion people is a major contributor to global warming. This replaced forests. Does the CO2 crowd give man made material the credit is deserves or is this extra heating lumped into CO2? Construction increased exponentially, in the same time period as the CO2 time frame. In 1800, there about 1 billion people on earth, with mostly wood structures and fewer black top roads and roofs Wood siding and roofs, will stay cooler than concrete and asphalt found in modern cities.
A forest fire is probably the biggest extended heat source on the planet. The forest fire generates lots of CO2. It also consumes the plants that otherwise would absorb CO2; double CO2 whammy due to loss of CO2 and lower uptake in the future, than can linger for decades. The forest fire also removes the plant water from a large zone of land, that would cool the surface, and replaces that water with black charm that heats up the same land much faster. A forest fire can extend to a million acres in a matter of a few weeks. That is like 400,000 city blocks. Fossil fuel is mostly just CO2 without the other three heater effects. Forest fires have a quadruple effect.
Top 13 Largest Wildfires in History | Earth.Org
Spoiler alert: the largest record forest fire in history was in 2003 in Siberia and burned 55 million acres. I hope the knuckleheads are not fudging man made climate change with the huge quadruple effect of that 2003 fire. Number 2 is in Australia in 2019/20 and took 42 million acres. The model did not predict these natural changes in their natural average assumptions. The models have little predictive value, especially for the natural spikes.
Currently, the man made approach tries to normalize and average natural warming and natural climate effects, but drills into man made. How about we do another study the opposite way, where we simple average man made and drill deeper in each aspect of natural. Man made is more predictable since it is decided by business and government. CO2 is a one trick pony and my guess is the current science is not advance enough to go the other way. Water has a dozen tricks, all by itself. Casino science is not the best tool to use.
Water vapor is a global warming gas. It is the main global warming gas in the atmosphere.
CO2 makes up only about 0.04% of the atmosphere, and water vapor can vary from 0 to 4%. But while water vapor is the dominant greenhouse gas in our atmosphere, it has “windows” that allow some of the infrared energy to escape without being absorbed.
Where the humidity is low, such as the desert, there is less water vapor in the atmosphere, however the heat capacity of desert sand is lower. Desert can heat up faster and more heat can escape. But along the equator, where humanity is higher and the oceans are warmer, water is dominant by a factor of 100 times concentration. Hurricanes are dependent on water not just for their substance, but also the extra green house gas effect over the warm water oceans. CO2 is way over rated being a minor player and one trick pony.
Water vapor as clouds; unique phase of water, tends to block the sun. When a cloud passes by, it feels cooler under the shadow. How do you model all the forming and evaporating clouds and humidity differences, and even rain fall, upper level cool air descending, to get a real time reading of global solar heating as a function of water? There was a MIT scientist who worked on this, but he was black balled, but lasted due to tenure, until they finally block him out.
