I've noticed 2 main groups of people on these forums -
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This is such a tedious defense of your error. I used the generally accepted scientific definition of hypothesis and theory in my statement. In the sciences a theory is as high as it gets.
For example a theory never becomes a law. A law is merely a statement that under certain conditions event A will end with conclusion B. It does not have an explanation. It often does not make an predictions. Where a theory has to have that plus an explanation and it needs to make testable predictions as well. For example Newton's Universal Law of Gravitation (which actually many will argue qualifies as a theory) was supplanted by Einstein's General Relativity. Einstein's work did not make Newton's work suddenly wrong. It correctly answered questions that Newton's law got wrong when applied to them. Newton's law was still accurate enough, and much easier to use than Einstein's work , so that it was what was used when we went to the Moon. On the other hand if you have a GPS that is totally reliant on Einstein's work which corrects Newton's inability to deal with relativistic effects in gravity.
So, sources:
1.6: Hypothesis, Theories, and Laws
"
What is a Hypothesis?
One of the most common terms used in science classes is a "hypothesis". The word can have many different definitions, depending on the context in which it is being used:
- An educated guess: a scientific hypothesis provides a suggested solution based on evidence.
- Prediction: if you have ever carried out a science experiment, you probably made this type of hypothesis when you predicted the outcome of your experiment.
- Tentative or proposed explanation: hypotheses can be suggestions about why something is observed. In order for it to be scientific, however, a scientist must be able to test the explanation to see if it works and if it is able to correctly predict what will happen in a situation. For example, "if my hypothesis is correct, we should see ___ result when we perform ___ test."
A hypothesis is very tentative; it can be easily changed."
This is the stage that abiogenesis is in. The reason is that though many of the questions have been answered there are still important unanswered question.
On the other hand evolution is a theory. Which is something that is as close to a solid fact as possible. The theory of gravity explains the fact of gravity, the theory of evolution explains the fact of evolution:
"
What is a Theory?
The
United States National Academy of Sciences describes what a theory is as follows:
"Some scientific explanations are so well established that no new evidence is likely to alter them. The explanation becomes a scientific theory. In everyday language a theory means a hunch or speculation. Not so in science. In science, the word theory refers to a comprehensive explanation of an important feature of nature supported by facts gathered over time. Theories also allow scientists to make predictions about as yet unobserved phenomena."
"A scientific theory is a well-substantiated explanation of some aspect of the natural world, based on a body of facts that have been repeatedly confirmed through observation and experimentation. Such fact-supported theories are not "guesses" but reliable accounts of the real world. The theory of biological evolution is more than "just a theory." It is as factual an explanation of the universe as the atomic theory of matter (stating that everything is made of atoms) or the germ theory of disease (which states that many diseases are caused by germs). Our understanding of gravity is still a work in progress. But the phenomenon of gravity, like evolution, is an accepted fact.
Note some key features of theories that are important to understand from this description:
- Theories are explanations of natural phenomena. They aren't predictions (although we may use theories to make predictions). They are explanations as to why we observe something.
- Theories aren't likely to change. They have a large amount of support and are able to satisfactorily explain numerous observations. Theories can, indeed, be facts. Theories can change, but it is a long and difficult process. In order for a theory to change, there must be many observations or pieces of evidence that the theory cannot explain.
- Theories are not guesses. The phrase "just a theory" has no room in science. To be a scientific theory carries a lot of weight; it is not just one person's idea about something
Theories aren't likely to change."
I would change the last sentence to "Theories aren't likely to change significantly".
You were using the colloquial definitions of those words in your defense. You also appear to have at times conflated abiogenesis and spontaneous generation. The two ideas are rather different.
Plus your source on attempting to refute the Miller Urey experiment was far from the best. There was no one single "early Earth atmosphere" It varied at times. Yes, there were times when it would have the composition that they claimed. There were also times when it was more reducing in nature. One thing nice about Wikipedia is that it is constantly edited and the best supported claims are those that are left in. In the article on the Miller Urey Experiment it has this to say about the early Earth atmosphere:
Miller–Urey experiment - Wikipedia
"Some evidence suggests that
Earth's original atmosphere might have contained fewer of the reducing molecules than was thought at the time of the Miller–Urey experiment. There is abundant evidence of major volcanic eruptions 4 billion years ago, which would have released carbon dioxide, nitrogen,
hydrogen sulfide (H2S), and
sulfur dioxide (SO2) into the atmosphere.
[20] Experiments using these gases in addition to the ones in the original Miller–Urey experiment have produced more diverse molecules. The experiment created a mixture that was racemic (containing both L and D
enantiomers) and experiments since have shown that "in the lab the two versions are equally likely to appear";
[21] however, in nature, L amino acids dominate. Later experiments have confirmed disproportionate amounts of L or D oriented enantiomers are possible.
[22]
Originally it was thought that the primitive
secondary atmosphere contained mostly ammonia and methane. However, it is likely that most of the atmospheric carbon was CO2, with perhaps some CO and the nitrogen mostly N2. In practice gas mixtures containing CO, CO2, N2, etc. give much the same products as those containing CH4 and NH3 so long as there is no O2. The hydrogen atoms come mostly from water vapor. In fact, in order to generate aromatic amino acids under primitive Earth conditions it is necessary to use less hydrogen-rich gaseous mixtures. Most of the natural amino acids,
hydroxyacids, purines, pyrimidines, and sugars have been made in variants of the Miller experiment.
[7][23]
More recent results may question these conclusions. The University of Waterloo and University of Colorado conducted simulations in 2005 that indicated that the early atmosphere of Earth could have contained up to 40 percent hydrogen—implying a much more hospitable environment for the formation of prebiotic organic molecules. The escape of hydrogen from Earth's atmosphere into space may have occurred at only one percent of the rate previously believed based on revised estimates of the upper atmosphere's temperature.
[24] One of the authors, Owen Toon notes: "In this new scenario, organics can be produced efficiently in the early atmosphere, leading us back to the organic-rich soup-in-the-ocean concept... I think this study makes the experiments by Miller and others relevant again." Outgassing calculations using a chondritic model for the early Earth complement the Waterloo/Colorado results in re-establishing the importance of the Miller–Urey experiment.
[25]
In contrast to the general notion of early Earth's reducing atmosphere, researchers at the
Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute in New York reported the possibility of oxygen available around 4.3 billion years ago. Their study reported in 2011 on the assessment of Hadean
zircons from the Earth's interior (
magma) indicated the presence of oxygen traces similar to modern-day lavas.
[26] This study suggests that oxygen could have been released in the earth's atmosphere earlier than generally believed.
[27]
In November 2020, a team of international scientists reported their study on oxidation of the
magma around 4.5 billion years ago suggesting that the original atmosphere of the Earth contained little amount of oxygen and no methane or ammonia as presumed in the Miller–Urey experiment.
[28] CO2 was likely the most abundant component, with nitrogen and water as additional constituents.
[29] However, methane and ammonia could have appeared a little later as the atmosphere became more reducing. These gases being unstable were gradually destroyed by solar radiation (photolysis) and lasted about ten million years before they were eventually replaced by hydrogen and CO2.
[30]"
Your one cherry picked source does not refute the general consensus that the Miller Urey experiment still applies.
Also please note, I only stated that it was the first successful experiment in abiogenesis. If you assumed that it meant that abiogenesis was proved by it you read things into my statement that were not even implied. At the time it was thought that the natural formation of amino acids was impossible. Miller Urey demonstrated that that was not the case. It only removed one of the stumbling blocks to abiogenesis, it did not "prove" it and I did not say that it did, I did not imply that it did, I only stated that it is evidence for the concept of abiogenesis and that is still correct.