I didn't say that something is probable because it is acceptable. I would definitely argue against that!
So what are you saying? What do you mean when you say many people find it acceptable, and how is it relevant to the discussion (the discussion being, the simplest explanation is that all these concepts of spirituality are products of our minds and therefore it's more propable)?
Madhuri said:
I used the example of Carl Sagan, not because he is Hindu, but because he gives a lot of credit to Vedic explanations of the universe.
I've never heard that. He was very passionate in debunking astrology for example, and many other spiritual beliefs.
But even if he did, so what? Just because a large number of people gives alot of credit to Vedic explanations of the universe, or heck even the majority of people, it doesn't change how propable they are. Propability is established through real science, through logic and mathematics (and the branch is called "propability theory").
Madhuri said:
The scientific method is great, and the knowledge we can acquire through science is fabulous. But we need to understand that our knowledge and skills today are still limited, very biased, sometimes flawed and very much lacking.
I know this, and I've not stated anything else. I've simply stated science is the best way to determine what's true. "The best way to establish truth" is not the same as "the perfect way to etsablish truth", there are always the chance that we arrive at the wrong answer and there's always a chance that we cannot answer some questions either. However, this doesn't change the fact that it is the
best way, as in every other way of finding out what's true is more likely to be wrong.
Madhuri said:
So the conclusions we make now are based on the knowledge we have now just as the knowledge of the ancients dictated the conclusions they arrived at. This doesn't mean we know everything. It also means (I believe), that simply because something is probability now does not mean it is a reality because that probability is based on the knowledge we have now.
Yep, but there's no other way that's equally good at establishing propability. In other words, if you use some other method to establish the truth about spirituality, and that method confirms spirituality, you have not done the best you could do and therefore you have not been reasonable.
Let's use this as an example. Let's say you're an engineer on a plane, and the pilot says there's something wrong with the planes engines mid air. If you do not use your scientific skills as an engineer (math, physics, maybe some chemistry or read of the monitors of the plane) to calculate what could be wrong with the plane, you are not using the best method and I will always say that in that scenario, you're doing something wrong since you're not using the best tools for the situation. I think the same criticism is applicable for this situation, you're not using the best tools for asserting what you should believe.
Madhuri said:
I think it is wrong to assume that a religious person is not using reason. We always like to make assumptions about why people believe what they do- but these assumptions are generally unfair and based in arrogance (and ignorance). A lot of people are blind believers, but a lot of people are also intelligent, reasoning individuals who have had certain experiences that make believing in the divine (or something other) hard to ignore. Some people like to categorise these individuals as delusional, but in my opinion, that is very arrogant too.
Your own experiences are, sadly, really unreliable and are easily tampered with, and therefore drawing conclusions from them and nothing but them is anything but reasonable. Magicians tamper with it all the time and psychiatry is a science studying exactly how your subconcious interprets your experiences (and how it, mor often than we think, completely alters it). Basically, the brain is lazy, easily manipulated and imagines things and patterna all the time wich aren't there, and this is why we have the scientific method, so that we all through logical models can draw the exact same conclusions, whomever will be going through it.