I'm not sure how you figured out those odds, but let's say you're right. We are one planet revolving around one star in a universe that contains millions of trillions of stars. Even if the odds are 1 in 100 quadrillion that a planet would form the exact right conditions to sustain advanced life, that still means it would happen fairly often in a universe with over a quintillion planets.
Yes, I believe you are right.
A little lite reading for you. A bit long but very interesting.
What Are The Odds?
What are the chances that this creation developed into the detail and harmony we see and need for life to continue on earth as it is today? Evolutionists claim that it all just happened by chance. The evolutionist, progressive creationist, theistic evolutionist, gap theorist, or whatever other name you might place upon theory suggests that a primordial soup existed with just the right conditions and by chance the first building blocks for life appeared. Some of these believe that God placed the first building blocks for life into the soup and then sat back and watched the chance evolution take place.
So what about this chance, could it have all happened by chance.
In my pocket I have 10 quarters numbered one through ten. Of these quarters, They are all exactly the same to the touch. The numbers written upon them can not be felt. There are no distinctive blemishes. As much as possible they are exactly the same.
What are the odds or chances that I can reach into my pocket and pull out the coin numbered one on the first try?
The odds of my pulling out each quarter in order one after the other, placing the preceding coin back into my pocket after drawing it out will help you to understand the odds of our world evolving through the processes of evolution.
1. The Quarter Numbered 1, 1 in 10 The Earths Rotation
Consider the Rotation of the Earth. And as you do I reach into my pocket to pull out coin number one, a 1 in 10 chance that I will pull out the right coin the first time. What coin did I grasp this time?
a. 1000 Miles per hour at the Equator - The circumference of the Earth at the equator is 25,000 miles. The Earth rotates in about 24 hours. Therefore, if you were to hang above the surface of the Earth at the equator without moving, you would see 25,000 miles pass by in 24 hours, at a speed of 25000/24 or just over 1000 miles per hour. -
http://imagine.gsfc....rs/970401c.html
b. The earths slowing rotation According to a NASA scientist. Astronomers can measure this very precisely now that they have atomic clocks to provide a non-celestial time standard for comparison. The length of the day is increasing by 0.0015 seconds every century, of which about 0.0007 seconds per century has to do with the tidal breaking of the Moon. As a result of this, the Moon's orbit must also increase so that the
Moon is slowly getting farther and farther from the Earth by a few centimeters per year or so ( my estimate!). As this process continues, it is predicted that in billions of years the lunar month will increase to about 47 days from its current 27.3 days. But by that time, the Sun itself will have begun to evolve into a red giant, which will upset the Earth-Moon system somewhat; especially if they are both engulfed by the Sun's expanding atmosphere! -
http://image.gsfc.na...y/ask/q396.html
(1) Talk about needing more time In my feeble, untrained mathematical equation, I calculated that if this decreasing speed remained consistent over the estimated 4.5 billion years of the earth existence then 4.5 billion years ago a day would have lasted only 5.25 hours.
c. Catastrophic Changes According to a NASA website a change in the rotation axis of the Earth, or its spin rate would be catastrophic. The number of the seasons would change and their duration. If the rotation axis became parallel to the orbital plane, as for Uranus, we could have winter in the Northern hemisphere for 6 months followed by summer. The Sun would set on the entire Northern hemisphere and not rise again for 6 months. Less extreme axial tilts would produce a different pattern of seasons at each earth latitude.
Growing seasons and all of the natural cycles of the biosphere would be catastrophically affected, and if the change happened in a year or so, no living things, especially plants, would survive unmolested. There would not be enough time for plants to genetically alter their growing cycles. Large diebacks of plant ecosystems would occur followed by the animals that feed on the plants, and then the carnivores...etc etc. -
http://image.gsfc.na...y/ask/q278.html
2. The Quarter Numbered 2, 1 in 100 (Job 26.7) [ The Earths Axis The earth sits on a tilt angle of 23 degrees 27 minutes which is approximately 23.45 degrees.
www.newton.dep.anl.gov/asasci/env99/env154.htm
a. The Earth's rotation axis is not perpendicular to the plane in which it orbits the Sun. It's offset by 23.5 degrees. This tilt, or obliquity, explains why we have seasons and why places above the Arctic Circle have 24-hour darkness in winter and constant sunlight in the summer. But the angle is not constant - it is currently decreasing from a maximum of 24 degrees towards a minimum of 22.5 degrees. This variation goes in a 40,000-year cycle.
http://www.livescien...earth_tilt.html
b. This wabble in the earths axis represents less than a 1% shift in the earths axis. It has been suggested that if the earth were to shift its axis by a mere 5% that life as we know it on earth would be greatly affected and changed.
c. What are the chances that the earth would have just, by chance, sat at the 23.45 degree axis that now nurtures our existent upon its surface. Certainly far greater than the chance of my pulling out coin number 2 from my pocket, immediately following puling out coin number 1 and then replacing it in my pocket.
3. The Quarter Numbered 3, 1 in 1,000 The Earths Atmosphere The Earths Atmosphere is a thin layer of gasses that keeps our planet from freezing and protects us from harmful solar radiation.
a. Our atmosphere. Our atmosphere helps keep heat in (by absorbing some of the radiation re-radiated by the Earth), so you need a correction factor to our albedo. Without our thin layer of air, the surface temperature of the Earth would rapidly drop, freezing the oceans solid. This is called a "greenhouse effect", and is a very real occurrence. It's when things get out of control that you get a runaway greenhouse effect. Note also that the temperature on the surface of Venus should be about -20 Celsius (distance=1.1 x 1013 centimeters, albedo=0.65; although it's closer to the Sun its albedo is higher, so it should have about the same temperature as the Earth), but is actually in excess of 500 Celsius (over 900 Fahrenheit!). Should you worry about runaway greenhouse effect? Take a look at our closest neighbor. You tell me.
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http://www.badastron...c/seasons.html]
b. Our atmosphere brings into light the many elements required to for an atmosphere just like our. Our atmosphere:
(1) Protects us for harmful radiation form our sun and space.
(2) Provides greenhouse effects that protect us from extreme heat and cold
(3) Provide oxygen for us to breath
c. These are a few of the more obvious factors surrounding our atmosphere. There is just as much chance that our atmosphere could have been caustic and harmful to life rather than supportive and nurturing to life.
Clearly the chances of our atmosphere developing into the nurturing atmosphere we enjoy are far greater than my reaching into my pocket and pulling out coin number 3 immediately following coin number 2, having place coin 2 back in my pocket. A 1 in 1,000 chance.
4. The Quarter Numbered 4, a 1 in 10,000 The Distance of the Earth away from the Sun - The Earth is 92,955,820.5 miles (149,597,892 kilometers).
a. Using trigonometry, astronomers now know that the Astronomical Unit = 92,955,820.5 miles (149,597,892 kilometers). This incredible degree of accuracy is possible because the speed of light is known very precisely and extremely accurate clocks are used to time the radar reflection. Radar cant be used to determine the distance to the Sun directly because the Sun doesnt have a solid surface to reflect the radar efficiently.
http://www.astro-tom...un_distance.htm
b. It just so happens that scientists believe that the earth is positioned right on the inner margin of the region surrounding our sun that is capable of supporting life upon a planet the size of the earth. If the earth were to change its orbit by just a small percent of its distance from the sun, and were to move closer to the sun then the earth would no longer be an inhabitable planet.
c. What are the chances that the earth would be perfectly positioned in what our scientist have come to call the life supporting region of our solar system. Certainly far greater than the odds of my pulling coin number 4 out of my pocket immediately following coin number 3, having place coin number 3 back in my pocket. A 1 in 10,000 chance.