The only thing I can say to that is that if I do like you have done, and reduce the probabilities of what is real to the strictly empirical and totally ignore the written record evidence of eye witnesses to a God that ought to have some influence in our lives, then that completely eliminates any conception of the eternal life of the soul. You may consider that to be rational, but I do not. It seems to me that if it were only one individual who made some weird claims about some god, (as other religions have done) then I might believe as you do and be very skeptical. But this is not the case. In spite of the admittedly strange and inexplicable things recorded in scripture, all the prophets have stated that they have witnessed God and that men ought to obey His laws. To me, the fact that all of these eye witnesses (over millennia) have said the same thing about the nature of God and all of them, without any contact between themselves have provided a cohesive and coherent testimony concerning Him... the fact of these witnesses... tells me that I am more than a biological machine and that I existed before I came here to mortality, and will exist after the trial of this life is over.
For example; this is why I myself do not consider Islam credible. It relies on the report of one man, Mohammed, It is true that they have coopted Jewish and Christian scripture, but they have altered what those records have said to fit their narrative. Buddhism (in its pure form) does not claim the existence of a god... the Buddha himself did not claim to be a god. Buddhism's claims for progressive reincarnation; where each life supposedly gains for the soul more enlightenment until at some unspecified time, in eternity (who knows when and after how many lives of suffering in mortality), one enters Nirvana... that strikes me as way too uncertain and un-necessarily long and labored to me. Pretty much the same thing goes for Hinduism. Of course, these are my evaluations. The point is... I have considered them. I just find them wanting in the cohesive and coherent narrative in terms of what eternity means for the individual soul. The difference between you and I, is that I believe in the eternal nature of the soul, where you do not.
As I have stated elsewhere; I find it curious that atheists reject the concept of faith, when (unless they have performed all science themselves) they are taking it on faith that those who have... have got it right. It appears to me, whether atheists like to admit it or not, that they are exercising faith in science or scientists. Empirical science by itself comes up short in explaining anything concerning the eternal nature of the soul.