Now that's funny. Real funny, indeed.
What happens when that "preponderance of evidence" turns out to be... "Oops. Scientists assumed... but we now know..."
And here we have a gap in our mindsets; where religious mindset is based on "absolute authority" and "absolute truth" whereas science is not. Science is actually humble and contrite, able to change its conclusions in the light of new evidence. Religion is arrogant, unapologetic and stubborn; and rarely changes its views in the light of new evidence.
Scientific consensus is not "assumptions"; they are "conclusions based on evidence".
If we look at the history of our beliefs and calculations of the distance of the Sun to the Earth, we see the pattern that it continues to move further away from us. That is because new techniques became available and new mathematical techniques were developed and new tools of acquiring information and measurements became available.
As a result, science was wrong (and might not actually be correct NOW as far as this distance); but what we NEVER see is Science reaching the consensus that the Sun is closer than what we thought. So while science is sometimes -- or often -- wrong, it is less wrong than it was before.
Theists try to wield this as a weapon against science; the fact that science changes with new evidence; but they only do so because they are trying to attack something that they don't understand (and most often, refuse to understand).
What do you call the "preponderance of evidence" then?
Best described by an example (that I present begrudgingly for the apprehension that this will turn into a 9/11 thread) ....
American Airlines Flight 77, which struck the Pentagon. That is the topic at hand.
CLAIM 1: It wasn't AA77 at the Pentagon.
EVIDENCE: Photographs of the Pentagon crash site, bereft of what the uninitiated expect to see (No large wreckage, luggage, intact bodies).
CLAIM 2: It was AA77 that struck the Pentagon
EVIDENCE:
- Flight plans filed
- Documentation and eyewitnesses that saw AA77 take off
- ATC Transcripts of communication with AA77
- 58 Passengers never heard from or seen again
- Eyewitnesses and tons of clerical evidence showing these passengers boarded AA77
- Cellphone conversations from the plane
- Much of the flight path tracked by secondary radar (ie information relayed to ATC via the Transponder)
- Some of the flight path tracked by primary radar (ie conventional radar)
- Eyewitnesses of other pilots in the air, visually tracking the flight path of the plane
- Eyewitness accounts from those on the ground who saw an AIRPLANE strike the Pentagon (and though accounts differ -- perceptions are tricky things -- all the witnesses reported an AIRPLANE)
- Forensic evidence
- An airplane never seen again
- Tons more evidence ....
So the overwhelming preponderance of evidence goes to:
CLAIM 2!
Not a whole lot different than:
CLAIM 1: Creationism
EVIDENCE: A scroll
CLAIM 2: Evolution
EVIDENCE: Fossil records, DNA decoding, plate techtonics, geology, biology, etc etc etc
So again, the overwhelming preponderance of evidence goes to CLAIM 2!
-- or --
CLAIM 1: There was a worldwide flood
EVIDENCE: A scroll
CLAIM 2; There was no worldwide flood.
EVIDENCE: See OP
So again, the overwhelming preponderance of evidence goes to CLAIM 2!
So the question, "What is the overwhelming preponderance of evidence" is a futile, useless attempt to cloud a very simple, straightforward concept into something elusive and open to interpretation to try to prove something that can't be proven or infuse a debate where there is none.