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An Interesting Discussion on Pascal's Wager

Ignatius A

Well-Known Member
Oh good - another random person on the internet who has decided that the version of Christianity they believe in is correct and the others are all wrong.

Line forms to the left, just past the line of self-appointed internet prophets.
It's what the Bible says not what I believe. I believe what the Bible says not what people who listened to a loony little monk 1500 years after Jesus believe.

The line is irrelevant.
 

Balthazzar

N. Germanic Descent
My comment wasnt a response to you but to the poster that claimed Christianity is not much more than "accepting Jesus into your heart". Thats a perverted form of Christianity.

As to your views am I to understand you're an atheist that believes the universe is God?
I'm a Christian who believes God is all. To accept Jesus in your heart would imply accepting the way the truth and the life into your heart. An honest and truthful spirit aimed to acknowledge and honor truth.
 

Polymath257

Think & Care
Staff member
Premium Member
Timestamp? I have a BS in Math and a MS in Statistics. There actually are "infinities" of varying sizes, which is referred to as cardinality. To use an easy example, the set of positive integers is smaller than the set of all integers, even though both are infinite sets.
Cardinality in this sense has little to do with probability theory unless you want to start discussing measurable cardinals, which are *incredibly* large (larger than can be proven to exist in ZFC).

If singletons have measure 0, then every countable set will as well (for a countably additive measure-which most are).
 

Ignatius A

Well-Known Member
I'm a Christian who believes God is all. To accept Jesus in your heart would imply accepting the way the truth and the life into your heart. An honest and truthful spirit aimed to acknowledge and honor truth.
Oh ok I must have misread your post. I agree but Christianity is not just accepting Jesus into your heart.
 

Balthazzar

N. Germanic Descent
Oh ok I must have misread your post. I agree but Christianity is not just accepting Jesus into your heart.
That's true and it varies from establishment to establishment. Methodists handle the politics differently than would Catholics. I've been largely unable to find my niche, so I attempt to go with a truthful spirit of objectivity and utilize subjectivity as my effort to establish a personal relationship with Christ. I'm viewed unfavorably sometimes, but other times not so much. When my actions seem contrary to established doctrine, that's when I find myself less favored. Then again, it is my relationship with Christ and not anyone else's.

Edit: Of course, the bible makes for an informative and beneficial guide. Many of the principles are easy enough to acknowledge value in. Although, I'm unable to put all the principles into daily practice, doesn't mean that I won't learn their value over time and one day choose to. It's personal, and I learn as I go. When something clicks as being a truth, I typically apply it accordingly. If not, then I wait until it does ... sometimes learning the hard way.
 
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Ignatius A

Well-Known Member
That's true and it varies from establishment to establishment. Methodists handle the politics differently than would Catholics. I've been largely unable to find my niche, so I attempt to go with a truthful spirit of objectivity and utilize subjectivity as my effort to establish a personal relationship with Christ. I'm viewed unfavorably sometimes, but other times not so much. When my actions seem contrary to established doctrine, that's when I find myself less favored. Then again, it is my relationship with Christ and not anyone else's.
You're right it does very from establishment to establishment but when it varies from scripture that's the problem. For 1500 years then church was quite clear and unified in what it believed and taught.
 

Balthazzar

N. Germanic Descent
You're right it does very from establishment to establishment but when it varies from scripture that's the problem. For 1500 years then church was quite clear and unified in what it believed and taught.
I added an edit section in my previous post.
 

LuisDantas

Aura of atheification
Premium Member
But pascals wager has nothing to do with which religion you choose.
It has to. There are various conceptions of what god would be, do or want. It isn't possible to generically believe or force oneself into believing into their existence.
 

LuisDantas

Aura of atheification
Premium Member
The "Christianity" you described "accepting Jesus into your heart" is heretical. It's is entirely unbiblical.
Literally everything is heretical according to some referential or another. Heresies are ok and in fact unavoidable.

To think otherwise is to grossly overestimate the true place and worth of some orthodoxy or another.
 

wellwisher

Well-Known Member
From Wikipedia: Pascal's wager.
Pascal contends that a rational person should adopt a lifestyle consistent with the existence of God and actively strive to believe in God. The reasoning behind this stance lies in the potential outcomes: if God does not exist, the individual incurs only finite losses, potentially sacrificing certain pleasures and luxuries. However, if God does indeed exist, they stand to gain immeasurably, as represented for example by an eternity in Heaven in Abrahamic tradition, while simultaneously avoiding boundless losses associated with an eternity in Hell.[2]

We can apply Pascal's wager to the social split in terms of the two main opinions on manmade climate change.

Many who believe in manmade climate change, are not scientists and therefore may not be able to reason all the hard data and draw the same science conclusions as the consensus. However, based on the prestige of these science leaders and all the doom and gloom predicted for doing nothing, many still think it is better to be take part in this religion and help avoid the potential of hell on earth. This path will lead you to the promised land.

The other choice, is to ignore manmade climate change and go on with your life. There is a good chance you will in the same place if the doom and gloom is all exaggerated or put off further and further. However for others, the cost of not believing and not being better prepared, to avoid the doom and gloom, is too high, so they choose to believe. This seems rational enough.

There is a strange religious parallel; Pascal's wager and religious instinct. A global flood like Noah, is also a part of the doom and gloom mythology of the manmade climate change theology. Original sin, such as white guilt, is also part of it.

I personally, see myself as a development type person, who can adjust to changes, if needed, so why worry all the time? I mostly need good data from others angles and sources, so I can better adapt with less paralyzing fear.

In the case, of the Christian faith example, even a last minute change of heart, if sincere, can be enough to enter heaven. I assume those who choose to stayed paralyzed in fear of climate change, if able to learn where to go, to survive, will tell others, if possible, if those others repent; A Place in one of the Human or Animal Arks of the Great Climate Change Flood of 2100.
 

9-10ths_Penguin

1/10 Subway Stalinist
Premium Member
It's what the Bible says not what I believe.

You think that "what the Bible says" is a single coherent thing? Interesting.

I believe what the Bible says not what people who listened to a loony little monk 1500 years after Jesus believe.

So on the one hand, we have "a loony little monk 1500 years after Jesus" arguing that what he believes is what the Bible says... and on the other hand, we have you, a random internet apoligist 2000 years after Jesus arguing that what he believes is what the Bible says.

I think you may have too high opinion of your opinion.
 

Balthazzar

N. Germanic Descent
From Wikipedia: Pascal's wager.


We can apply Pascal's wager to the social split in terms of the two main opinions on manmade climate change.

Many who believe in manmade climate change, are not scientists and therefore may not be able to reason all the hard data and draw the same science conclusions as the consensus. However, based on the prestige of these science leaders and all the doom and gloom predicted for doing nothing, many still think it is better to be take part in this religion and help avoid the potential of hell on earth. This path will lead you to the promised land.

The other choice, is to ignore manmade climate change and go on with your life. There is a good chance you will in the same place if the doom and gloom is all exaggerated or put off further and further. However for others, the cost of not believing and not being better prepared, to avoid the doom and gloom, is too high, so they choose to believe. This seems rational enough.

There is a strange religious parallel; Pascal's wager and religious instinct. A global flood like Noah, is also a part of the doom and gloom mythology of the manmade climate change theology. Original sin, such as white guilt, is also part of it.

I personally, see myself as a development type person, who can adjust to changes, if needed, so why worry all the time? I mostly need good data from others angles and sources, so I can better adapt with less paralyzing fear.

In the case, of the Christian faith example, even a last minute change of heart, if sincere, can be enough to enter heaven. I assume those who choose to stayed paralyzed in fear of climate change, if able to learn where to go, to survive, will tell others, if possible, if those others repent; A Place in one of the Human or Animal Arks of the Great Climate Change Flood of 2100.
This is a good point. Doom and gloomers have been present for quite a while now, and although I typically disagree with the way some handle the potential, I'm hard pressed to disagree with the mentality. Self-preservation, making preparations, etc. all fall in line with this primal instinct, self-preservation, specifically. The chicken little sky is falling bit gets old and worrisome, but the urgency may be ever present as it relates to ongoing quality of life and survival. I was never deemed a "prep" in high school, if you're familiar with the term, but I may be one currently. The term "Prep" is based on being prepared and when is being prepared ever a bad thing?
 

9-10ths_Penguin

1/10 Subway Stalinist
Premium Member
We can apply Pascal's wager to the social split in terms of the two main opinions on manmade climate change.

Many who believe in manmade climate change, are not scientists and therefore may not be able to reason all the hard data and draw the same science conclusions as the consensus. However, based on the prestige of these science leaders and all the doom and gloom predicted for doing nothing, many still think it is better to be take part in this religion and help avoid the potential of hell on earth. This path will lead you to the promised land.

The other choice, is to ignore manmade climate change and go on with your life. There is a good chance you will in the same place if the doom and gloom is all exaggerated or put off further and further. However for others, the cost of not believing and not being better prepared, to avoid the doom and gloom, is too high, so they choose to believe. This seems rational enough.
Not quite the same, though.

In the case of Pascal's Wager, if there's no God but you were religious, there's a cost. Pascal argues that the cost is worth it based on the potential outcomes, but even he acknowledges that there would be a cost.

OTOH, if we take climate change seriously, there are all sorts of benefits. Even without considering the potential for future climate change and all of its effects, we can acknowledge that:

- reducing air pollution is a net positive. There are lots of non-climate-change reasons to do this.

- reducing the urban heat island effect in cities is a net positive. We already have people dying in heat waves.

- reducing our vulnerability to flooding is also a net positive. It's not like severe floods don't already happen.

- etc., etc.

If we did the things that we need to do to properly respond to climate change, we would win even if climate change weren't real. The only question is how much we win by. And by the same token, if we don't do those things, we lose no matter what. The only question is how bad a loss we'd suffer.

... so with climate change, one course of action dominates without Pascal-style pondering of just how good or bad each of the outcomes might be.
 

Ignatius A

Well-Known Member
You think that "what the Bible says" is a single coherent thing? Interesting.
Yes I. That you don't does t really matter much to what is.
So on the one hand, we have "a loony little monk 1500 years after Jesus" arguing that what he believes is what the Bible says... and on the other hand, we have you, a random internet apoligist 2000 years after Jesus arguing that what he believes is what the Bible says.
He altered the Bible somit said what he believed. I haven't
I think you may have too high opinion of your opinion.
Well thank you for your thoughts. You might be right but can you show why I shouldn't have such a high opinion of my opinion, to use your phrase.
 

Polymath257

Think & Care
Staff member
Premium Member
Yes I. That you don't does t really matter much to what is.

He altered the Bible somit said what he believed. I haven't

Well thank you for your thoughts. You might be right but can you show why I shouldn't have such a high opinion of my opinion, to use your phrase.
Most biblical scholars agree that the Bible is not univocal. In fact, it is multivocal on almost every particular.
 
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