The analogy should hold, though, given it was meant to show that "likely" is a term to be taken seriously when dealing with a serious situation.
Hm...good question about which is more complex, body systems or climate! Considering we are just beginning to understand the influence of microbiomes on our health and development, I am not sure...
The ecosystems themselves have changed dramatically. Most forms of life have adapted having survived extinction level events wrought from changes in ecosystems.
I get that. I am 39, and I will say there has been some wonky weather in the past few years...
But I also recognize that localized weather is not global climate.
They do. Just slower, and more importantly, these are factored into the deviations scientists have observed from the norm.
I go into this in more detail later on, but we are in an extinction level event:
Holocene extinction - Wikipedia
Extinction risk from global warming - Wikipedia
Yet, deforestation of areas such as the Amazon have a huge impact on disrupting the Carbon cycle. Not only does it remove the trees, but also changes the soil composition (another carbon pool), and when a forest becomes farmland or--possibly worse--urbanized, you have an area no longer taking in Carbon but releasing it and possible even trapping heat.
Deforestation and climate change - Wikipedia
Penguins, sea turtles, some rodent species come to mind. Wiki has a good article with lots of details including the history of our understanding of it:
Extinction risk from global warming - Wikipedia
I fear most for the ocean. The ocean is our largest carbon sink, and in addition to overfishing and toxic chemicals, the dissolving of extra carbon into the ocean from the excess in the atmosphere is raising its acidity, disrupting this vital ecosystem, not too mention all of the melting glaciers changing salinity and temperatures.