Fair enough.
Some quick comments;
1) I made no comments regarding specific items in the OP relating to trans rights, and specifically said I would disagree with the OP on where the 'moderate' line would be.
I can see this, and I get the impression that you'd disagree with at least a few of the points in the OP, especially given previous views you've expressed.
2) Science is often 'established'. But unless dealing with specific claims in context, I'm honestly not sure what that means. Climate science is 'settled' too, in that climate change is broadly agreed. That doesn't mean all actions to proactively deal with science have equal scientific support and evidence. If you want to bring that back to trans issues, I'm not for a moment arguing against gender dysmorphia, or anything else I'd see as settled science.
Of course, but this assumes broadly sharing the same goals in the first place. When someone starts a discussion by saying that it's "extremism" to label trans women as women and by rejecting or trying to undermine the authority of medical organizations to begin with—based on unfounded scenarios that I find to qualify as conspiracy theories—then we're not even talking about the same broad goals anymore.
It's the difference between discussing how to improve some of the current treatments and calling for them to be banned for minors despite the fact that they've saved some minors' lives. I think some positions simply derail productive discussions about potential inprovements and instead drag the discourse into a pit of extremist positions and harmful misconceptions. When a group of people have the goal of wanting to improve current treatments and want to discuss potential approaches to that end, a position like "those treatments should be banned for minors to begin with" has no place in the discussion. It requires its own space in order for others to challenge and expose the problems with it.
3) Assuming all the claims in this thread are correct (let's say from the left side, which is clumsy, I know. But you get my meaning...) there is still a whole lot of thought and discussion that should be happening. Personally, I don't think enforcing a consensus via echo chambers lead to anything other than reactionism. To whit, are people more interested in being 'right' or effecting change? These things aren't always aligned (at least not completely).
I don't disagree, but this goes back to my above points. Effecting healthy, desirable change requires that all participants in such discussions broadly have that goal. Banning necessary treatments and denying medical consensus on shaky grounds seem to me well outside the territory of sharing the goal of effecting healthy change.
4) Stepping back from specific claims made in the OP...like I said, I don't align with them...what does a trans-moderate look like in your opinion?
Generally speaking, they would
- acknowledge the reality that gender dysphoria exists, there is a distinction (but also some overlap) between sex and gender, and that there are established and effective treatments for it, whether for minors or adults.
- acknowledge that some treatments are sometimes necessary for minors but also believe in thorough, rigorous consultation of medical professionals and not opting for irreversible or surgical interventions unless professionals deem those absolutely necessary after such consultation—the same way any responsible parent and doctor would handle irreversible or major surgeries or treatments for any other issue (e.g., bone or stomach problems).
- recognize that there are considerable challenges around including trans women in women's sports but that this doesn't apply to all sports and also involves varying levels of advantages and nuances that don't uniformly apply to all sports. They would also recognize that not everyone who has concerns about the advantages and challenges is transphobic or agenda-driven.
- recognize that almost all of these issues are a relatively new area of public discourse and policy, so there will be a lot of discussions and trial and error until solutions are found or optimized. This means not shutting down or demonizing such discussions, but it also means taking into account trans people's concerns and not just dismissing said concerns and calling it a day.
- have no problem using a trans person's preferred pronouns among "he," "she," and "they" just as they do for a cis person. I see custom pronouns as a grayer and more context-dependent area, however.
5) What broad percentage of either your country, the USA, or Australia do you think clears that bar (trans-moderate) and what do you think the best way to increase that percentage is?
1) I think an extremely tiny percentage of people in my country would clear that bar, as is the case with views on a lot of other issues related to social justice and civil rights. As for how to increase that percentage, I think comprehensive social and economic reform are needed, starting with education. However, I think such changes would most likely take at least two or three decades for their effects to start manifesting in society, and I doubt I'll see that happen within my lifetime.
2) I don't know about an exact percentage in the US, but multiple trends as well as statistics and election results seem to me indicative of a heavily polarized country, where some states are significantly different politically. I wouldn't be surprised if the percentage of moderates on trans issues to extremists were close to 50-50, give or take 10%-15%. This is just a guess, though; I don't know what the actual number is.
I don't think I can cover the question of how to increase that percentage in this post (or even in this thread, really), as it's extremely complicated and multifaceted.
3) I get the impression that Australia is overall more socially liberal than the US (if we take the total of all American states rather than zoom in on any specific ones), so I would guess the percentage of moderates on this issue in Australia might be... 70%-80%? Again, this is just a guess. I don't have exact numbers.
Of course, it's also quite difficult to quantify "moderation" so confidently, because someone could be moderate about a subject in most ways but have one or two extreme opinions. Whether they should be called a "moderate" becomes a murkier and even more subjective judgment call at that point. There's also the variance between different countries and societies, where a radically accepting position in one may be seen as the norm or bare minimum in another.