I cant tell if you are taking this personally when I say "you" or if you are using caps for emphasis. Let me know.
Oh i have this bad habit of using all kinds of
FORMATTING words that I think are
IMPORTANT.
I'm not angry. You haven't done anything to offend me in any way.
Everyone is different. Some people live off belief. A lot of people dont question their religious beliefs. There is nothing wront that.
That's right. Some people really don't care at all about the truth of their beliefs. I would venture to say that MOST people don't. Most people are just born into a religion of their upbringing,..trust their parents and adult caregivers and that's that.
No thinking about the beliefs. The beliefs go UNCHALLENGED.
That's fine as far as it goes.. but .. I WOULD NEVER SAY that's a good way of THINKING. It isn't. It's not thinking AT ALL.
Some people actually DO care about their beliefs enough to INVESTIGATE as to their TRUTH. But admittedly, this takes a desire for the truth and a bit of education in order to know how to proceed. Most people just don't have the SKILLS needed to be able to tell the difference between fact and fiction. That's a HUGE problem for our world. Hopefully, things will improve with time.
Thats okay. If I debate, I want to know more about the other side so I'd know enough to support my case. In other words, I cant go over a case and prepare to win without us lawyers Both going over the discover.
Good. It's important to get the facts right. But if I am trying to UNDERSTAND my opponent's position, I don't have to pretend to AGREE at any time. If my opponent can bring sufficient EVIDENCE that what he claims is TRUE.. then I will be forced to ADMIT it... but if my opponent brings NO evidence.. then I am forced to reject the claims.
Why do You believe God can exist one percent chance?
Please try to understand the
difference between
1 percent and 0.000000000000000000001 percent.
That's a
HUGE difference.
THE REASON I only say that god can exist with a 0.00000000000000000000001 % percent probability is that we have ZERO evidence that it DOES exist. So, the probability that it's a real thing is EXCEEDINGLY LOW.
Another reason is that we have ZERO evidence for ANY GOD of ANY KIND at all...
And for the OTHER SIDE.. we have EXTREMELY STRONG evidence that NATURE exists the way we describe it. THAT probability is something like 99.99999999999999999999%....
Unless there is no nothing for You personally ?
Reality does not rely on my conclusions. IF there is evidence for a god, PLEASE SHOW US WHAT THAT IS.. as nobody has given any evidence EVER. But I am open to the idea. It's just that I haven't seen any YET...
That's why I KEEP asking for evidence.
Then nothing is a fact to You. Anything can be anything or one withoit us Knowing it
That's just wrong. That is
NOT my position at all.
I never said that or implied that. Of course there are facts that we know.
Anything CANNOT be just anything. It's just that we DO NOT KNOW EVERYTHING.
Notice the different words.. JUST because we don 't know
EVERYTHING does NOT mean that we don't know
ANYTHING.
SOME things is not the same as
EVERYTHING.
There is no ball. Only a claim. Why are You giving a chance there can be something from nothing?
You make a CLAIM that there is no ball.. What PROOF do you have there there isn't one?
Of course the ONLY proof that there isn't a ball is the LACK of evidence.. however, lack of evidence isn't proof that it's not there and that we JUST CAN'T see it. You can't "see" the other side of the moon. Not from your home. You just can't.
Yes I am giving a chance. That's how we learn new things. If we ASSUME knowledge, we will NOT investigate. There STILL MIGHT BE A BALL.. your assertion isn't PROOF that there is no magical invisible ball. It's just that we have NO reason to believe in magic or invisible balls.. so I give the probability of a magical invisible ball as 0.0000000000000000000001 %.
DOES the other side of the moon actually EXIST? Well, now , because we are curious we have actually CIRCLED the moon.. and we NOW HAVE EVIDENCE. That RAISES the probability that the other side exists BY A HUGE AMOUNT.... ( not that it was ever a real question.. but BEFORE we had actual evidence.. we DIDN'T have that knowledge. We just had a LOT of educated guesses.. but GUESSES no matter HOW CLEVER.. just aren't FACTS.
Same thing with your cell phone.. same things with spirits. You might be able to give me evidence for your cell phone.. seems easy enough. BUT what evidence can you bring for your SPIRIT claims?
But again.. you don't seem to CARE about presenting evidence. You just seem to "have" beliefs.
Well, fine. You can have as many beliefs as you like.
Believe whatever you choose for whatever reason.
BUT if you want to convince anyone ELSE that your beliefs are TRUE.. you will have to do MORE than just talk about them.
Talk is cheap. Facts are facts. Bring us some FACTS.. some EVIDENCE and then we can take your talk seriously.
Right now, I can't at all take what you CLAIM is true seriously.
You might be interested in reading about Russell's celestial tea pot for a really good explanation about probabilities.
Also Richard Carrier explains Bayesian analysis in his book "Proving History".. he explains some tricky bits of probabilities you might NOT be aware of. And he does a fine job of explaining why gods are HUGELY improbable.
Try to understand that 0.0000000000000000000001 % is
EXTREMELY SMALLER than 1%. You seem to miss the difference between the two numbers.
Do You believe something can come from nothing?
I don't have an opinion. Some physicists say that in the quantum level, this might be true.
Explained above. You (in general) need to evaluate by not only what you evaluate but what they have to evaluate
In other words, to win the case it not all about discover. The procecutor needs to understand where the defendent comes from in order to cross examine him (that is, using street smarts)
Yes, we need to
UNDERSTAND the opponent's position. That doesn't EVER mean
agreeing with the opponent's position.
I just see You giving the falsehood I am on a cellphone a less than one pecent chance that I am not. I find that weird.
Probabilities are a bit weird to understand at first.
A lot of things that we learn seem weird at first.
What's important is that we have a really good METHOD to know that what we are learning is TRUE or not.
Just try to imagine that you DON'T know anything at all with 100% certainty because you don't happen to KNOW everything with 100% certainty. And of course, when I say it's LESS than one percent chance that something else is happening than what you THINK is happening, I mean MUCH MUCH LESS than one percent.
Try to understand the difference between 1% and 0.0000000000000000000001%. There is a
VAST difference.
Witness and experience. Supernatural is no different than You and I. We are all part of life. I find it weird people seperate the two. That is my faith.
Faith is nice.
However, faith doesn't PROVE that there is ANY supernatural.
The REASON that I separate the NATURAL from the SUPERNATURAL is that we have TONS of evidence that the natural world DOES IN FACT EXIST.
And we have ZERO evidence about anything supernatural.
That's a HUGE difference.
How? It wasnt rocket science. I need not evidence for spirits as I dont for You unless I al talking to a robot. THEN you have a point. I am only 99% certain I am not.
If you don't need evidence for your beliefs then you can't know if they are TRUE or not. You might simply be imagining all of this.
Unfortunately, things in THE REAL WORLD leave evidence for their existence. If you don't have evidence, then you might be wrong about your beliefs. If you don't CARE that your beliefs might be false.. ok.
I would NEVER believe in something that I didn't have evidence for.
I did say posts ago beliefs arent truth.
Then we agree. Your spirit beliefs aren't truth. So, you might believe in something that is false for some reason. I have NO idea why you would choose to believe in something for which you have NO evidence. To me, that's a very bad idea.
I dont either. What is comming across to me is You feel that nothing can be 100% certain. That means you Know nothing at all. You have a high 99% Belief it is true. Thats pretty high, thats why we say we know based on many factors.
You are making a logical mistake.
Some doesn't mean
All.
NOT KNOWING
EVERYTHING DOES NOT MEAN NOT KNOWING
ANYTHING.
The word EVERYTHING is different from the word ANYTHING.
The word "some" doesn't have the same meaning as the word "all".
Now, when you say that your spirit beliefs are at a confidence level of 99% I agree. That's pretty high.
Can you tell me WHY you have that confidence?
You say you don't CARE to make a list of your criteria for how you establish that something is true or not.
Well, then, how can I accept your word that what you believe in IS true or not?
You might have used NO method.. or a very BAD method.
In fact, if you don't make that list.. I won't know if you are LYING.
If the method you used to be so confident about spirits is a good one.. It will be repeatable, and then ANYONE could share your so called "knowledge" about spirits you seem so confident about.
So, WHY are you so confident? WHAT is your METHOD?
If it's a GOOD method.. I will want to use it.
IF you HAVE no real method.. then.. I won't be impressed at all.. I can't USE something that isn't THERE.
And if you have a BAD method.. I won't want to use that , either.
BUT if just don't CARE how you arrive at your conclusions, don't be surprised that I wont care about them.
You can have your conclusions.
I'm not just going to believe anything you say.
I don't DO that when it comes to the supernatural.
I could be dreaming. Based on many factors, I am not. I dont care to list the logistics. Literally--speaking, I am not in a dream. We can use Ifs all we want. That doesnt affect reality.
Well, if you don't CARE to explain your reasoning. I won't care about it either.
I won't pretend, however, that you have GOOD reasoning unti
But you can SAY anything you like... and we wont care. Is that ok with you?
You might be interested in reading some DESCARTES. We can't actually PROVE that we aren't in a dream that only SEEMS perfectly real. Maybe you can. With your logistics. I would be GREATLY interested in hearing your response to Descartes. His dilemmas have YET to be resolved. But maybe your LOGISTICS are better than most philosophers in 4 hundred years?
Unless You feel that the fact you could be dreaming is a slip up on by many professionals that Know you are not?
The thing is.. the PROS might be in the dream as well. The "professionals" are in the same situation as the rest of us.
IA lot of things I Know is true.
Then it should be EASY to prove that.
We agree that CELL PHONES exist. So, I wont ask for evidence about them. HOWEVER.. we do NOT agree about spirits.. so I WILL ask about your evidence about them.
IIf it is based on belief, if it does not harm others, myself, and it helps me live a better life I can care less how people label it.
The FACT that your beliefs do no harm does NOT mean your beliefs are true.
INot caring does not affect what I know. Unless you are assuming I never took the time to look it up when I Wanted to not because I need to.
I try to NOT make assumptions. SO, IF you "looked it up" then maybe you can share your wisdom.
If you have a really good method, I want to use it too.
ILiken, I said. I am curious but I never read anything that has challenged what I Know. (Talking in general)
You don't even CARE about the truth of your beliefs.. so of COURSE nothing can 'challenge' them.
What you are describing is called "confirmation bias".. if you NEVER changed your mind?...
Are you saying you were NEVER wrong about anything, and that you KNOW everything?
IHow do You define truth? If everything has a 99% percent probability it is something else, there is truth/fact just beliefs and really really high assumptions.
I NEVER said ONE TIME that everything has a 99% probability.
I describe the truth as
"that which is true or in accordance with fact or reality."
If what I believe in cannot be made to accord with the rest of reality, and that I cannot find evidence that it does.. then it's JUST NOT TRUE.
II define truth as what the dictionary says "absolute certainty; begond a reasonable doubt" If this diff is true for ex. my on a cell phone, why look for evidence that it could be false?
Beyond a reasonable doubt is not the same as absolute certainty.
And I don't agree with that definition. I can be AS CERTAIN AS I LIKE.. and what I believe in MIGHT still NOT BE TRUE. I might be MISTAKEN or DELUDED somehow. WE KNOW that happens.
Why look for evidence at all, you ask?
I hope you are NEVER a member of a jury if you have no regard for EVIDENCE.
You don't CARE about your beliefs enough to see if they are true or false. THAT means that you can't tell if what you believe in is true. You MIGHT be believing in something that is FALSE.
Now, when it comes to CELL PHONES... it's pretty easy to tell if it's real or not. If the belief is true or not DUE to the overwhelming EVIDENCE that it conforms to reality. HOWEVER, this is NOT the same with spirits or the supernatural, where we DO NOT have evidence.
But you don't CARE about evidence.. and consequently, you don't really CARE if what you believe in is true or not.
I usually have to IGNORE people like that.
I want a discussion with those who DO care about their beliefs and if they are true or not.
Why would I EVER have a conversation with someone who doesn't value the truth?
Someone like that might be lying, or delusional. It's a waste of my time to engage someone who doesn't require evidence for what they believe in.
Go ahead.. believe anything you want for whatever reason you choose. BUT if you want to discuss it RATIONALLY.. you will need to BE rational.
How do You define truth? Facts concern me. I see no need to search for facts to counteract What I already Know is fact.
Facts concern you but you don't use EVIDENCE to know if you have a fact or a fiction? How do you TELL if you have a fact if you don't use evidence?
It's as if you have ALL the facts you will ever need. Well, bravo. Scientists don't feel that way. They are CURIOUS about what they don't know. Some people also want to LEARN .. and don't pretend to have all the information in the world.
You may be CERTAIN that what you believe in is a FACT.. but you aren't convincing anyone ELSE.
In order for ME to accept your spirit claims as a FACT.... you would need to provide some EVIDENCE.. and you wont bother with that. So.... no. I don't accept your claims.
I am not a theist; and, yes, I dont see the need to find evidence against what I Know is true just because someone claims it is not.
Ok, you are NOT a theist.. HOWEVER , you seem to believe very FIRMLY in spirits and a creator thing that started the universe. How DO you describe your beliefs?
You are very happy with your beliefs and you don't feel the need to justify them to others or to yourself. Fine.
Believe anything you LIKE. I'm not stopping you at ALL.
It's just that if you want to convince anyone ELSE of your beliefs.. you will need to TRY to present a rational case. And don't forget the evidence. Until then.. you can say whatever you like.
Aka. If we are debating whether I am on a cell phone, I find it a useless debate. I cant change fact just because You "may" say I am lying.
But you MAY be lying. How would I KNOW?
But you brought up the cell phone. I didn't. I don't care about any cell phones.
This is REALLY about your supernatural claims about spirits and your CERTAINTY about your beliefs. I don't see ANY evidence that what you say is TRUE .. and you don't even CARE about evidence, so you won't be BRINGING any ....
Your CERTAINTY , however, says NOTHING about the TRUTH of your beliefs. Maybe you don't even CARE about the truth at all.
I usually tend to IGNORE people who don't care about the truth. Yes.. these kinds of people MIGHT be lying to me.
I'd rather deal with people who CARE about the truth.. ( or at the VERY least, SAY that they do ).
You have NOT said that you care about the truth, but you HAVE said that you don't care about proving that what you believe in is true. I am QUICKLY losing interest in your claims.