godnotgod
Thou art That
This is a question that Physicist G. Schroeder asks:
Q: Very occasionally monkeys hammering away at typewriters will type out one of Shakespeare's sonnets.
A: Not true, not in this universe. But it is a popular assumption that the monkeys can do it, a wrong assumption that randomness can produce meaningful stable complexity. But let's look at the numbers to see why the monkeys will always fail. I'll take the only sonnet I know, sonnet number 18, “Shall I compare thee to a summer's day …” All sonnets are 14 lines, all about the same length. This sonnet has approximately 488 letters (neglect spaces). With a typewriter or keyboard having 26 letters, the number of possible combinations is 26 to the exponential power of 488 or approximately ten to the power of 690. That is a one with 690 zeros after it. Convert the entire 10 to the 56 grams of the universe (forget working with the monkeys) into computer chips each weighing a billionth of a gram and have each chip type out a billion sonnet trials a second (or 488 billion operations per second) since the beginning of time, ten to the 18th seconds ago. The number of trials will be approximately ten to power of 92, a huge number but minuscule when compared with the 10 to power 690 possible combinations of the letters. We are off by a factor of ten to power of 600. The laws of probability confirm that the universe would have reached its heat death before getting one sonnet. We will never get a sonnet by random trials, and the most basic molecules of life are far more complex than the most intricate sonnet. As reported in the New York Times, the Los Angeles Times and the Chicago Tribune, when the world’s most influential atheist philosopher, Antony Flew, read this analysis of complexity and several analyses related to the complexity of life brought in my third book, The Hidden Face of God, and Roy Varghese’s excellent book, The Wonder of the World, he abandoned his errant belief in a Godless world and publically apologized for leading so many persons astray for the decades that his atheistic thoughts held sway. (Gerald Schroeder Home Page
~~~~~~~
In my own humble way, I could have said that monkeys would not have done that, no matter how much time they had. Time was at one time seen as the ''hero''. But monkeys are monkeys!
Yet time does not always mean there will be sufficient change in order to facilitate the change needed in the first place. Why do we think it does?
So, my question is this: If that is so unlikely for monkeys to do... then, if the multiverse exists, how can we even be sure that they would all be different universes, thus giving us sufficiently correct odds that our universe could develop the way it did. I don't see we have licence to expect such a positive result.
Now there are those who say that this universe might be the proverbial bouncing ball, forever coming into existence and then dying only to be reborn. If so, why should we think that would be any better with the odds?
In other words, if it is so difficult to do, how is time going to help?
A dice with six sides is one thing.... eventually we know that the six will come up. But what of the dice with a trillion sides. Is a six going to come up then?
It is hard to say it ever would, there are just too many chances of it falling onto another number. It might never do! Are we mistakenly thinking it would have to do, just because of an allegiance to some kind of worldly thinking?
And why does probability act the way it does anyway? What drives that?
It appears without intelligence involved in creation, we have no right to expect anything positively happening at all.
Intelligence is not a feature of the universe, as the question implies; it is the universe itself. The problem is semantic. For example, we say: 'It is raining', when there is no 'it' that rains. There is only raining itself. So the universe is not an entity that 'has' intelligence. What you see as the universe is in itself intelligence, as summed up in the following statement by the great Indian mystic, Vivekenanda:
'The universe is the Absolute, as seen through the glass of Time, Space, and Causation'
BTW, the very fact that monkeys are typing away on typewriters alone is intelligence. Why? Because intelligence always involves a sense of play, which is what the monkeys are doing. Out of that play comes creativity, which is spontaneous intelligence. Without a sense of play, Shakespeare could not have produced his creations.