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Does the universe need intelligence to order it?

Guy Threepwood

Mighty Pirate
Apparently, the odds of hitting a hole-in-one have been calculated (12,500 to 1 for an amateur golfer) by the people who're responsible for issuing insurance policies for institutions that're offering a hole-in-one prize. Go figure.

This is via Golf Digest Magazine. Plunk!

Is there a Creationist Digest magazine out there? Anyone have a link?

What does it cost to buy a Creationist Insurance Policy? Are they even offered? Was God an amateur universe creator, or a seasoned pro? The Bible doesn't indicate what his handicap was, does it?

Bah! Who needs insurance when you have absolute certainty?

exactly, I had no idea of the number, yet I somehow new it was fairly unlikely, I don't have absolute certainty, I acknowledge my faith, do you?

So Hawking is arguing that if you're allowed an infinite number of chances to win the lottery, eventually your number will come up? Isn't Hawking arguing that our universe was inevitable?

yes- IF you had an infinite number of chances. I agree with Krauss' opinion on this 'If your theory requires an infinite probability machine, it's not entirely clear you even have a theory'

I also agree with Hawking on Krauss ' That moron couldn't theorize his way out of a bowl of custard'


How can you possibly know that?

Because there are certain universal constants, values inherent to physics which determined the formation of space/time- and we can calculate mathematically how extraordinarily tight the tolerances are, the slightest bit off, and space time immediately collapses- it's not really a controversial observation these days- how to account for it is more the question.

For the sake of argument, would you care to provide evidence that in some other theoretical universe the exact opposite couldn't be true? If not, I'm perfectly happy confining the argument to our own universe.

sure life could be everywhere in a theoretical universe, and they all could be called roger. In the only universe we are aware of existing, we are alone as far as we know- this is consistent with being the primary beneficiaries of that creation.

how could you possibly know that

again there are an infinite number of misses, creating a self extracting archive of information that develops it's own consciousness is not an easy thing to do, people have been trying for a while. If it was, we could simply generate endless mathematical algorithms in a computer, sit back and wait for one to introduce itself.




Via a brain, correct? And aren't proponents of ID arguing for "mind sans brain?" Do we have any evidence of intelligence existing outside of a material framework?

direct evidence? the exact same amount as for the cosmic lotto machine, so that's a wash. What is not even, is the capacity for each to create the world we see around us
...
 

Ouroboros

Coincidentia oppositorum
Supposedly computer programmer Jesse Anderson created a monkey-simulator, where he had some million artificial monkeys in a computer cloud, typing randomly, and producing Shakespear's works.

Shakespeare's works finally reproduced by team of computerised monkeys? | Daily Mail Online

Anderson's blog:
A Few Million Monkeys Randomly Recreate Shakespeare | Jesse Anderson

I can't confirm for sure that this is valid, but his website and information seems to be legit.

For instance, at 2:30 PST, 9/23/2011, they produced A Lover's Complaint.
 
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Robert.Evans

You will be assimilated; it is His Will.
The man was very much a product of a primitive & dangerous Islam.....
Beliefs and ideology of Osama bin Laden - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Thanks for the link. These are part of it:

''His goal was for Western military forces to withdraw from the Middle East....''

''Furthermore, the basic goals of bin Laden are different. Bin Laden was most interested in "resisting western domination.....''

Though i have chosen my quotes and chopped them, it is telling I think. Get out of his country and he probably would not have a problem. i think the US and the UK would say the same if they had military in our countries, what do you think? Noteworthy that he did not fly those planes into, lets say, Switzerland
 

Revoltingest

Pragmatic Libertarian
Premium Member
Thanks for the link. These are part of it:
''His goal was for Western military forces to withdraw from the Middle East....''
''Furthermore, the basic goals of bin Laden are different. Bin Laden was most interested in "resisting western domination.....''
Though i have chosen my quotes and chopped them, it is telling I think. Get out of his country and he probably would not have a problem. i think the US and the UK would say the same if they had military in our countries, what do you think? Noteworthy that he did not fly those planes into, lets say, Switzerland
You correctly point out that he has political goals too. This does not eliminate the radical Islamic element from motives of him & his ilk.
 

Robert.Evans

You will be assimilated; it is His Will.
I don't think there is any easy answer, as being discussed here, I think socialism aka baathism is the bigger problem there than Islam. I spent a little time in several ME countries, which doesn't make me an expert- but a stark difference struck me, between the ones that allow private enterprise to flourish and ones that don't.

As with Hitler, it was very understandable that people didn't want to get into another war, but the last person to be awarded the nobel peace prize before WWII broke out, won it for helping the west appease the Nazis, a noble peaceful intent, but he had that trophy to admire while 10's of millions died.

in a sense I think it's all been the same fight between freedom and tyranny- not east/west Christianity/islam simplistic I know, but let me know what you think, I have to run for now but will respond later.
Thanks for the response.
I can't really say I disagree with all that. You probably understand far better than me. I will take a quote from a man I met once getting into a taxi. He was American.. he said: ''I think people are pretty much the same wherever you go''... I think he is right. No one wants to be controlled, killed, bombed. They tend to take offence. Once pushed to far, the normal rules go out of the window. Then you have war, then war generates into more war, civil or otherwise... it is a wheel of energy which appears to take some time to stop... no one wants to give in; if they do, then their fighting was in vain.

I say stay out of other peoples countries, all of us. Leave people alone. Defend your shores, not invade. Terrorism is fought at home, not abroad; that is a war. The US is spending trillions on the war, yet they have problems just like us in UK.... and we do the same.

They have reasons though, that is for sure. Anyway, what's this got to do with monkeys? haha
 

Robert.Evans

You will be assimilated; it is His Will.
Supposedly computer programmer Jesse Anderson created a monkey-simulator, where he had some million artificial monkeys in a computer cloud, typing randomly, and producing Shakespear's works.

Shakespeare's works finally reproduced by team of computerised monkeys? | Daily Mail Online

Anderson's blog:
A Few Million Monkeys Randomly Recreate Shakespeare | Jesse Anderson

I can't confirm for sure that this is valid, but his website and information seems to be legit.

For instance, at 2:30 PST, 9/23/2011, they produced A Lover's Complaint.
Not according to Schroeder they can't.
 

Robert.Evans

You will be assimilated; it is His Will.
You correctly point out that he has political goals too. This does not eliminate the radical Islamic element from motives of him & his ilk.
Sure, I am not trying to lessen it, but I doubt he would be that happy with people in his land telling him what to do, anymore than you would in yours. I seem to recall that you are in favour of guns... as an atheist... so religious views are not relevant per se, even though they are part of it, as scripture says indeed they will be.

In short I am trying to say human nature would not change, whether you don't like someone for being green, red, over here, or over there, if you have the propensity to hurt or kill within you... you would
 

Robert.Evans

You will be assimilated; it is His Will.
You correctly point out that he has political goals too. This does not eliminate the radical Islamic element from motives of him & his ilk.
I would also say that everything is not about religion, but about politics. Religion is about believe in God, but politics, or the politics of religion is the problem... it is always politics that is the problem. People in power start wars... that's politics
 

Revoltingest

Pragmatic Libertarian
Premium Member
Sure, I am not trying to lessen it, but I doubt he would be that happy with people in his land telling him what to do, anymore than you would in yours. I seem to recall that you are in favour of guns... as an atheist... so religious views are not relevant per se, even though they are part of it, as scripture says indeed they will be.
I speak only about how religious views aren't objective, & depend upon the particular faith, the culture, & the individual. This points to the weakness of spiritual insight.
In short I am trying to say human nature would not change, whether you don't like someone for being green, red, over here, or over there, if you have the propensity to hurt or kill within you... you would
No argument here.
Sorry 'bout that.
 

Robert.Evans

You will be assimilated; it is His Will.
I speak only about how religious views aren't objective, & depend upon the particular faith, the culture, & the individual. This points to the weakness of spiritual insight.

No argument here.
Sorry 'bout that.
Objective to what they see around them? I suppose you mean science. I think that depends on who you speak of. I take your point, though as I have said earlier, it is science that makes the weapons that can kill many people, not religion. And politics that say use them. It is always easier when you have a defined idea of who you are of course, but that might just be a flag or a country. Having said all that, I probably would not go into Iraq and say proudly, I am a Christian!! (having said that, I don't class myself as one, so I would'nt anyway.. haha)
 

Robert.Evans

You will be assimilated; it is His Will.
If I read this strictly, then nothing is about religion. I disagree, & maintain that religion plays a role, larger in some cases than others.
Yeah, okay... it is the definition of religion I guess. Don't like or use the word apart from here, for ease of use for others. I suppose what I meant was Belief in God.... just as believing there is n- G-d would not make you kill either. It is the politics of how you then see that faith.... which I think is what you are saying and I can agree with in part. It is a strong identity for them that is for sure..... but not for most.
 

Revoltingest

Pragmatic Libertarian
Premium Member
Yeah, okay... it is the definition of religion I guess. Don't like or use the word apart from here, for ease of use for others. I suppose what I meant was Belief in God.... just as believing there is n- G-d would not make you kill either. It is the politics of how you then see that faith.... which I think is what you are saying and I can agree with in part. It is a strong identity for them that is for sure..... but not for most.
Remember that I'm not blaming religion for evil acts. But evil acts are committed by those who claim spiritual insight. Since others with spiritual insight oppose these acts, it points to the unreliability of it as a source of "the truth".
 

Ouroboros

Coincidentia oppositorum
Not according to Schroeder they can't.
Who cares about Schroeder if someone actually managed to prove that you can.

Don't get stuck with just using one person, source, scientist, etc for all your knowledge. Spread it out and listen and learn from many sources. The sign of great intelligence isn't the ability to simply understand one person, but the ability to synthesize information from many sources and bring it all together to one thought or idea.

---edit

If I understand Anderson correctly, he made a monkey-simulator that actually, in real-time, real-world, produced Shakespeare's work through random clicking on virtual keyboard by virtual randomness monkeys. So Schroeder, whoever that is, might not be the one to trust but rather the experiment that succeeded?

Did you know that there are stories and books written by computer software? I think there's a book coming out written by a computer. And there's even a competition, similar to nano-wrimo (I think it's called) where people compete in writing computer software that will produce stories rather than actually writing the stories themselves.

If that doesn't beat the Schroeder's sonnets, then I'm not sure what does.

--edit

Also, there's is an increasing problem with plagiarism using computer-generated essays and useless submissions of computer generated science articles. There was an article submitted to a group of journals around the world a few years ago, which was generated by a computer software. It's basically a lengthy bovine excrement exercise article that didn't say anything useful... but it was accepted by several journals, because they seem to be legit.

Here's one such article: http://pdos.csail.mit.edu/scigen/rooter.pdf

The one above was accepted as "non-review" articles in some journal.

Here's another one, which was rejected though: http://pdos.csail.mit.edu/scigen/steeve.pdf

Read some in them, and let me know if you think if they seem to be just scramble of letters or words or perhaps seemingly to have some content... but what exactly?
 
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Guy Threepwood

Mighty Pirate
Thanks for the response.
I can't really say I disagree with all that. You probably understand far better than me. I will take a quote from a man I met once getting into a taxi. He was American.. he said: ''I think people are pretty much the same wherever you go''... I think he is right. No one wants to be controlled, killed, bombed. They tend to take offence. Once pushed to far, the normal rules go out of the window. Then you have war, then war generates into more war, civil or otherwise... it is a wheel of energy which appears to take some time to stop... no one wants to give in; if they do, then their fighting was in vain.

I say stay out of other peoples countries, all of us. Leave people alone. Defend your shores, not invade. Terrorism is fought at home, not abroad; that is a war. The US is spending trillions on the war, yet they have problems just like us in UK.... and we do the same.

They have reasons though, that is for sure. Anyway, what's this got to do with monkeys? haha


Yes we probably shouldn't stray too far from the topic here, but that sounds reasonable to me, & I think we agree in general that there is a lot more than simply religion involved in terrorism.

And the vast majority of people are just people as you say- but some of the things people do, and manage to inspire others to do, I just can't wrap my head around- so I can't pretend to understand it.

In the larger perspective, I have to think it all works out in the end, all part of a greater learning process, we can't really know good without knowing evil also?
 

Robert.Evans

You will be assimilated; it is His Will.
Remember that I'm not blaming religion for evil acts. But evil acts are committed by those who claim spiritual insight. Since others with spiritual insight oppose these acts, it points to the unreliability of it as a source of "the truth".
Who are the others? Is that government in US for ex? If so, is not Obama religious? If so who is the ''others''?
 

Robert.Evans

You will be assimilated; it is His Will.
Who cares about Schroeder if someone actually managed to prove that you can.
Schroeder is a physicist.... so I take his word better than mine. He says you can't do it. I gave the link earlier. I can post it again, but if you search it with odds i think it comes up.
Don't get stuck with just using one person, source, scientist, etc for all your knowledge. Spread it out and listen and learn from many sources. The sign of great intelligence isn't the ability to simply understand one person, but the ability to synthesize information from many sources and bring it all together to one thought or idea.
I try not to get stuck one one, it's good advice. But I don't consider myself clever than they, so I can't say that they are wrong on one part... haha , if any of it. I suppose we are led where we think it is right and take what we take, whomever we are.
---edit

If I understand Anderson correctly, he made a monkey-simulator that actually, in real-time, real-world, produced Shakespeare's work through random clicking on virtual keyboard by virtual randomness monkeys. So Schroeder, whoever that is, might not be the one to trust but rather the experiment that succeeded?

Did you know that there are stories and books written by computer software? I think there's a book coming out written by a computer. And there's even a competition, similar to nano-wrimo (I think it's called) where people compete in writing computer software that will produce stories rather than actually writing the stories themselves.

If that doesn't beat the Schroeder's sonnets, then I'm not sure what does.

--edit

Also, there's is an increasing problem with plagiarism using computer-generated essays and useless submissions of computer generated science articles. There was an article submitted to a group of journals around the world a few years ago, which was generated by a computer software. It's basically a lengthy bovine excrement exercise article that didn't say anything useful... but it was accepted by several journals, because they seem to be legit.

Here's one such article: http://pdos.csail.mit.edu/scigen/rooter.pdf

The one above was accepted as "non-review" articles in some journal.

Here's another one, which was rejected though: http://pdos.csail.mit.edu/scigen/steeve.pdf

Read some in them, and let me know if you think if they seem to be just scramble of letters or words or perhaps seemingly to have some content... but what exactly?

Thanks for the points of interest and links.

I would be interested to know just how the computer does it randomly. It is after all programmed by man, programmed to be random. And computers are not animals. What if the animal, just by a whim, decides to bang his fist on it and bring up all sorts, or just keep clicking one. He might, out of interest go back to that again. How does a computer program do that? Any ideas? I am not convinced that the two are the same. A monkey is alive, a computer is Artificial Intelligence. It will have been programmed to have within it the chance of bringing about the sonnet for ex.... but that is not necessarily the same with an animal.

Either way, we then have to ask why it is that randomness then brings about patterns, do we not?
Why should it? Why should not random stay random? Why should it bring in patterns? It is an interesting thought though..... i suppose if you limit the amount of things you have, and therefore the patterns they can be put in, eventually they must bring about patterns (when comparing the whole and not the parts). This might well be how chaos works. This means then that each bubble-universe is its own closed system, which certainly fit with the idea that it is autonomous to the one before, and then ''that'' which we call God. Thus it gives complete liberty and when judged, means he is completely just, as he had no imput.
(the universes are infinite)

But there is one process that must always work, much like random mutations in evolution it seems, it must always be able to turn into many different things (even if the total is limited) otherwise it is not possible to bring about what we now see, which seems a fairly finished process (even if perhaps it is not) it certainly works well as it does- as a whole and in parts.

But we could say this pattern of a sonnet can come about, but what are the chances then of doing more? For example, life, complete, in this universe, is more than one big bang and that's it. First we need that, which is so unlikely in itself; then there is the odds of stars and then planets, eventually ours, then water, then life starting, then life evolving, and then looking how complex atoms and cells are, and the human body and the immune system etc, and the fact we have coal oil gas waiting to be exploited, etc etc. All those odds stack up to be something horrendous I think.

It all depends on one's point of view of course.

Mine has an obvious starting point. I think it is this complex to make us think that there is intelligence behind it, and thus lead us to him. That would also make sense considering that there are billions who believe and have done for thousands of years.

Sooooo........ what then is the chance of the monkey pc writing out every book in a library in the entire world, and in order, in the time when they were first published? I think it is a little ridiculous personally. Perhaps I speak from knowledge on that, or perhaps from ignorance, but with or without science, it is just way way too much for me to accept that it could all happen by chance..... unless the chance has within it some hidden properties that make it have the chance of bringing about everything we see; and that just sounds contrived, not chance.

Man contives many things I think. Why, I might ask, is that we can even, as apes, begin to explain the universe and everything in it in the first place? My answer: We created it.
 
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