Guy Threepwood
Mighty Pirate
I'm not claiming that God can't possibly exist (although I do feel that no one has ever offered a persuasive argument for the existence of a supernatural being).
I'm saying that you cannot calculate probability for a scenario in which all the numbers are totally unknown. So to cite an example where the numbers are totally known and then imply that this has any relevance to the unknown scenario seems more than a tad fallacious.
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Or am I in error? Is it possible to calculate probability when you have no numbers? Try out this variation on a typical probability question and let me know what your results are:
A jar contains X number of marbles of various colors. If a marble is drawn from the jar at random, what is the probability that this marble is red?
what are the odds of you getting a hole in one first time on a random golf course? I have no idea, the numbers are unknown, so I must assume it's as likely as not?
Similar my money would be on the marble not being red, because there are many other possibilities, whether or not we can calculate exact odds.
we also know that we would arrive at an infinite number of non functioning universes by altering the universal constants infinitesimally.
We don't know the odds of our universe appearing accidentally, but they don't look good, Hawking puts it at practically infinitely improbable, hence the number of multiverses required to fluke this one