What matters in evolutionary terms is that enough of your children survive to carry on your genes, not how good a good a life they have.
Healthy children are more likely to survive. Look at the difference in infant and child mortality between countries that have contraception and those that don't.
Yes, you can have a dozen children, but if 80% of them don't survive to reproduce then it doesn't matter. It also doesn't help if they are sickly as adults because of childhood malnutrition and disease.
Also, malnourished children reach sexual maturity later than healthy children and their overall fitness is reduced on the long term.
The effect of chronic childhood malnutrition on pubertal growth and development
Childhood exposure to the 1944
If conditions persist into reproductive age due to overpopulation than infant mortality sky rockets. Mothers are unable to provide enough nutrition to the growing fetus nor enough milk for the child once it's born. Thus the energy put into reproduction is wasted effort and is a negative fitness measure.
If you have one child which has a good life and survives to have children of its own, and another person has 10 children who have horrible lives and only 3 survive to have children of their own, then the person who had 3 children survive is still leading the evolutionary race.
Not necessarily.... childhood nutrition and health impacts their ability to reproduce in the future. If you have three sickly grown children, then you are in the long run still worse off than the person with one healthy child who is primed for a longer and more successful reproductive future. This is where we start to get into eppigenetic factors on reproduction.
For example having a grandparent who smoked is just as dangerous, if not more so, than having a parent to smoked, due to long term eppigenetic damage.
On a global scale the population is leveling out, but
in some countries the population is decreasing. Germany for example. There the birth rate is simply lower than the death rate.
So what?
True, but if you get into a situation where you run out of resources and people start to die your genes are mor likely to be carried on if you have a lot of children.
No they aren't. If you have a lot of sickly children they will not increase your fitness in the long term.
Remember that a single child can have a disproportionate effect on the populations genetics. (mtDNA eve, Ychromosome Adam, the one individual with the blue eye gene, the one person born with the lactose tolerance gene and so on.)
One child is all you need, if that child is healthy and has a fitness advantage. (and being healthy is a fitness advantage)
You may be partly responsible for the problem if you have many children, but evolution doesn't care.
Which is why evolution doesn't care if you pump out 20 children or more... but they will be at increased risk of disease, genetic abnormalities and early death and not improve your odds of getting genes in the next generation. Not to mention the strain on the mother, who doesn't want to kill herself young from too many births.
Carrying capacity is a very important factor for species....
It's a common misunderstanding of evolution that simply pumping out offspring is a benefit. Much like the misunderstanding of "survival of the fittest". If we were r selected species than you may have a very valid point, but we are K selected. This is where ecology has a profound impact on evolutionary success.
wa:do