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It’s official: Democrat Conor Lamb wins Pennsylvania special election in major upset

Nakosis

Non-Binary Physicalist
Premium Member
It’s official: Democrat Conor Lamb wins Pennsylvania special election in major upset

Democrats pick up momentum early after a victory in Alabama with a victory in Pennsylvania. What do you think? Flukes? Beginning of the next political movement? A snoozer of a headline? Do we care? Why/why not?

I heard they were going to redistrict so the election itself didn't matter much. Though I suppose bragging rights. Who know what is going to influence the herd in the next elections. Something as small as what would normally be an inconsequential election.
 

socharlie

Active Member
Yes, bad news for the Republicans

The significance of this upset victory is a little harder to discern than it would have been had the last incumbent not resigned in disgrace following a sex scandal. What we want to see is just how much the combination of Trump's chaotic presidency and an indolent Republican Congress will cost Republicans running in the fall. Some of the fall in votes for the Republican candidates in 2016 and 2018 probably reflects distaste over the scandal, which involved a married, pro-life Republican who impregnated his mistress and recommended an abortion for her.

Here are some outcomes for House special elections last year:
  • Tom Price won Georgia's 6th district last November by 21%, and was then made Secretary of Health and Human Services. A special election the following June was won by the Republican candidate by 4%.
  • Mike Pompeo won Kansas' 4th district beating the Democratic candidate by 31% before being named head of the CIA. In the following April, the Republican won the special election by 6%.
  • Mick Mulvaney won South Carolina's 5th congressional district in 2016 by 21% before being tapped to become director of the Office of Management and Budget. Republican Ralph Norman won the special election in June by 3%
  • Ryan Zinke vacated his House seat in Montana to become Secretary of the Interior, a seat which he won by a 16% margin. His successor won the same seat by a little over 6% the following May.
There was an outlier special election in Utah last November where the present incumbent got 32% of the vote compared to the 35% his predecessor collected.
It is not a bad news: it is exactly what they wanted.
 

Buddha Dharma

Dharma Practitioner
It is not a bad news: it is exactly what they wanted.

No it isn't. They're trying to blow it off. Lamb is not conservative. He's a moderate leftist like Tim Kaine. Ryan has to play it off because the GOP is already unstable and it's direction as a party unclear. All the recent retirements show how deep party contentions go.
 

Buddha Dharma

Dharma Practitioner
It’s official: Democrat Conor Lamb wins Pennsylvania special election in major upset

Democrats pick up momentum early after a victory in Alabama with a victory in Pennsylvania. What do you think? Flukes? Beginning of the next political movement? A snoozer of a headline? Do we care? Why/why not?

A Democratic win isn't so unusual in Pennsylvania, but ever since Trump won here, which was by a very thin margin I might add- Republicans have been playing it up like we're some kind of red state. That's hardly the case.

Pennsylvania politics have always been a mixed bag. I'll grant you, Lamb's win in that particular district is impressive.

However, the GOP is being over-confident. That could cost them big time. The only reason Trump won this state by the hair that he did is because his economic populism appealed to PA voters.

Jobs are one of the biggest issues for Pennsylvanians since the end of the coal industry meant our state economy pretty well tanked.

Trump was able to convince some people that he'd be able to bring jobs back. I suspect his performance in office won't get him a second win here. He barely got the first one.
 
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Father Heathen

Veteran Member
Us Patriots like Marines

I ask again, what does this have to do with party affiliation? A lot of people who claimed to be "patriots" have voted for candidates who've opposed rights, freedoms, and equality; i.e. the very values that this nation was founded upon, and some self proclaimed "patriots" have even supported theocratic candidates even though religious tyranny is the antithesis of this nations founding, so the notion doesn't really mean ****, now does it?
 

Buddha Dharma

Dharma Practitioner
For example, if the party continues to only be "Pro-Choice", then they shouldn't complain when they lose the "Pro-Life" vote that otherwise might be inclined to vote for their candidates

Lamb is pro-choice, though he does emphasize personally being anti-abortion. I think at least, Democrats need to quit playing abortion off as a casual subject. That makes Christian voters feel we don't consider the serious aspect of it.

I think it really could be as simple as that. Christian voters want to hear that we're not casual in supporting abortion. Unfortunately, the GOP plays up to them like we are.

I am very much a liberal, but I oppose casual abortion. I suspect more liberals than people realize do. It is simply a matter of women's rights for us, and that even anti-abortion (casual abortion) Democrats like me realize at the end of the day that the choice is hard to separate from female rights.
 

socharlie

Active Member
No it isn't. They're trying to blow it off. Lamb is not conservative. He's a moderate leftist like Tim Kaine. Ryan has to play it off because the GOP is already unstable and it's direction as a party unclear. All the recent retirements show how deep party contentions go.
Just a show, imo. They can not not bare majority. It requires changes. Nobody wants changed. Two parties are the same.
 

Twilight Hue

Twilight, not bright nor dark, good nor bad.
So what is the Democrats plan for Pennsylvania's New Renaissance the likes of what never had been seen before?
 

Buddha Dharma

Dharma Practitioner
So what is the Democrats plan for Pennsylvania's New Renaissance the likes of what never had been seen before?

I suppose that remains to be seen doesn't it? I will admit that Lamb is not the change many people want in the party. He wasn't in my district, so I can only guess why he may have won.
 

metis

aged ecumenical anthropologist
anything changed lately? wars? Strictly Machiavelli. They perform, people fight. Divide and concur.
You gotta be kidding. Does this administration really feel the same as with the previous administration?
 

tytlyf

Not Religious
Saying the two parties are the same is, forgive me- beyond laughable.
Exactly. You won't hear democrats ever make the comment that the parties are the same. It only comes from disgruntled conservatives to make themselves feel better about supporting corporate policies over middle class policies.

Remember, the conservative base gets their information from questionable outlets. They are taught that democrats hate America, hate freedom, hate rights, hate the constitution, love illegal immigration, hate free markets, etc.

All lies, but they believe it.
 

socharlie

Active Member
You gotta be kidding. Does this administration really feel the same as with the previous administration?
they have the same boss - banking - military industrial - pharma complex, they are disuniting nations in stupid arguments ...this administration is reverse side of previous. 50% of people hated Obama and the other 50 liked him, now it has reversed, it is so obvious what they are doing.
 
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