Unless we increase our immigration rate.
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Immigration contributes significantly to the U.S. population growth, and in 2022, it accounted for 81% of the country's population growth:
- 2021-2022: Immigration added over 1 million people to the U.S. population, while natural increase added 245,000.
- 2024-2054: Immigration accounts for about 70% of the population increase, while births account for the remaining 30%.
- After 2034: Net immigration accounts for all population growth.
Immigrants have a higher fertility rate than natives, which helps keep the U.S. fertility rate closer to the replacement level. In 2017, the total fertility rate for immigrants was 2.18 children per woman, compared to 1.76 for natives.
The U.S. population is aging rapidly, with the percentage of people over 65 increasing from 13% in 2011 to 17% in 2023. The U.S. fertility rate has also declined to 1.8 children per woman, which is below the replacement level of 2.1.