Either way, even if the illegal trade of Marijuana did continue against all odds, it would dent the pocket books of the cartels significantly.
Disclaimer: Let's say all the numbers here are theoretical. They are pretty crucial to the argument here, but if a mod wants me to edit them out, I suppose I can do that.
My uncle made some pretty good money smuggling smokes here from Idaho, but it's nothing compared to how much he could have made off illegal cannabis. For reference purposes, cannabis around here sells for around 10 bucks a gram (and from what the internet has told me, this seems pretty standard). If it were legalized, the price would plummet. Even if people still made money smuggling them tax free (and I have no doubt this would happen), it would still be an enormous drop in profit.
Back when California was flirting with legalization with the 50 dollar tax, I heard estimates that after taxes it'd come out to 60 bucks an
ounce,
after taxes. Currently illegal, that could run about 200+ dollars. Even if people skipped out on the tax and were selling it for even 59 bucks an ounce (or whichever price reduction it would take to convince people to risk breaking the law), it would still be a huge dent in the criminal's pocketbook.
Legalizing won't stop smuggling, but it will sure as hell make the illegal trade of cannabis far less profitable. This isn't even getting into the huge amounts of money we could be saving by not keeping non-violent drug offenders in our prisons. We could redirect our efforts away from this harmless crime and focus on actual dangers to society. Every cop that's out arresting your run-of-the-mill stoner
could be hunting down violent and dangerous criminals. It makes absolutely no sense to keep cannabis illegal.