Your answer is correct only for the additional assumption you made, ie, there are only 20 flips.Your answer is wrong. You asked me what the probability was that you could flip a coin and have it come up heads 20 times in a row. The answer I gave is correct. Your extended reasoning that you might flip 21 or 22 times does not change the underlying probability. Certainly if you flip a coin 1 million times you have a much better shot at hitting that 1 in 1,048,576 chance., but that does not change the underlying odds!
I never said there wouldn't be more.
My posed problem allowed for other assumptions.
Hence, you're not right....you're not even wrong.
What I say is that you fail to account for all possible pathways & trials over eons.As for your criticism of my previous calculations, I specifically and explicitly put down my starting assumptions and made the calculation off of those. I suppose what you are trying to say is that if you let the perfectly-designed pool of nucleotides sit for awhile that it might have multiple chances to self-assemble and thus might overcome the overwhelming odds... eventually.
In reality, what would happen is that the nucleotides would break down, and the chance would be lost.
Notice how you didn't address the number of trials, or the other possible chemical pathways to life?
Those would be absolutely necessary.
If your work were correct, it would be the discovery of the century....but it's telling that no one hearlds it as such.
The same is true for your disproving general relativity.
Tell me.....what did your professors in probabilistic systems analysis, biology, & theoretical physics say about your work?
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