Its true .. I was hypothesizing ... but it is "educated hypothesizing"
In this particular system .. the system is producing ribonucleotides -rather than the molecule repoducing itself Adenine - Cytosine Guanine Uracil (ACGU) who then go on to form various combinations and linkages with other molecules. Now .. these molecules are not replicating themselves.. but the system is replicating them .. which is the same thing as a molecule replicating itself for the purposes of evolution. ... and it is evolution that I will be arguing. The molecules produced in this system .. many multiples of the same and other molecules .. thens then go on to form then tocombine and form linkages with other molecules
So you have this replicating effect going on .. in various ways .. presumably in various places . at the same time . doing this little experiment.. making all kinds of new combinations and permutations .. some of these structures getting bigger and becoming more complex - some degrading and breaking down.
Then one day .. these molecules encounter a membrane .. which also form naturally .. now you have a degree of selecticity across a barrier .. allowing for stabilization of these bigger more molecules .. and selectivity accross the membrane producing different effects .. different membranes producing different effects.
At some point the nucleotides start to line up along the membrane - attracted to the surface and forming a weak molecular attraction . .. the nucleotides then line up along these attracting sites on the membrane .. some membrane attracting a certain ordering of the nucleotides .. which are then linked to each other .. at certain times you will have chains of these things break off from the membrane .. the bonds between the nucleotides stronger than the weak attraction to the surface .. the membrane will then make another chain perhaps one that is the same as previous .. creating a kind of copying machine
Now --- we have not arrived at self replicating molecule -- but getting damn close. I would argue 2 thigns from this point 1) it is a certainty that these ribonucleotides -- at some point are going to glom onto a surface .. in some kind of pattern .. random and messed up .. but still creating other molecules which are composed of a mixture of these ribonucleoties. -- having them line up on a selective membrane .. in a semi similar way and be washed off the membrane by tidal action or some other phenominon is not much of a stretch from there.
2) I would argue that this is a form of evolution ... molecules getting more complex .. and this process repeated over and over ...
One thing that I can't yet fathom is how life went from asexual to sexual -- that one I can't figure .. nothing I can even think about it makes any sense .. can't come up with even a hypothesis that passes the giggle test.