ImprobableBeing
Active Member
You sound more like you are concerned with your arguments merit than with automatically assuming every Christian is just too stupid to know how smart you are, unlike a few other posters. I will not intrude on Oatmeal's argument but I will add in another factor. Even having a universe to begin with There exist many probably inaccurate but indicative of he ballpark that place a cell arising on it's own at 1 in 10^80. That alone is far beyond the line where traditionally many physicists write zero and move on. And since there has ever been a known example of biological life coming from non-life even when it has been helped along by intelligent scientists guessing at the most likely arrangement of ingredients, there is little reason to think the guestimates significantly in error but that is only the tip of the ice burg. However there are dozens and maybe trillions of other even less likely things that must occur before a life permitting universe is around for the 1 in 10^event to happen and they are all contingent and so multiplicative. So we go from insanely improbable to hyperbolically absurd to come off it guys very quickly. If I won a lottery well someone had to, if I win every lottery that ever was then someone is doing something intentional. There is no escape from the problem, and as of right now God is the only feasible solution whether that is preferred or not. It may turn out God had nothing to do with anything but for now he is the only game in town worthy of mention IMO.
I don't like that kind of math at all since it's applied fallaciously.
Let me give you a couple of examples of what i mean, the statistical chance of you being hit by the exact combination of water molecules when it rains (given the sheer number of water molecules in our atmosphere) is about the same which would mean that it's so unlikely that you can get wet when it rains that it's basically impossible.
The chance of all your ancestors meeting and procreating with all of your ancestors at the exact time with that one out all sperms and that exact egg not to mention the chance for miscarriage or death before procreation for each individual is about the same as in your example so using your math, it's a statistical impossibility for you to exist.
Now, the chance for this universe exactly as it is, that you get wet if you go outside when it rains and that you exist is of course 1:1.
You should also be aware that this universe doesn't really support life, this planet does (it's about 1:10^22 of the universe) and if it didn't, we wouldn't be having this discussion but it would still have been just as improbably as this current state is, namely 1:1.