That was my cheap shot against you in retaliation for your cheap shot against me in this thread. Lest I remind you, I can fight dirty, too.
Yes, but your cheap shot wasn't really a shot at all, or at least is missed the target.
Regarding racism and white privilege in this country, I'm willing to debate with you understanding of experience and statistics in those threads. But in this thread, let's debate facts. And when it comes to rape (which is what keeps getting referenced here), I've volunteered as peer counseling, helped victims find legal resources for when they have been assaulted, and have also been active in campaigns on how to reduce risk of assault. And as a university instructor, I've also been a part of reducing that risk on campuses directly. In the course of roughly 20 years - and yes, my own story of assault spurred me to take action to help reduce risk for myself and others; as well as actively supporting justice for cases where assault has occurred - I have a lot of experience in this area.
And I applaud your experience and efforts, but that doesn't mean you have a perfect understanding of all the risk factors, situations, and scenarios where rape occurs. Even if 85% of rapes correlate to only the specific risk factors you mention, that leaves a hell of a lot of rapes that involve other risk factors. Or do you feel that we can just ignore that 15% of rapes since they don't fit your model?
Personally, I've known a number of women who have been raped and/or sexually assaulted at various points. I find that your across-the-board characterization of all rapes doesn't match quite a number of them.
I'm open to listening to how you back up your arguments on how exactly to reduce risk on rape, if that is the specific topic you'd like to discuss.
Being an actual data analyst (and a good one), regarding risk mitigation, I'd compile as many sources of data covering as many cases as possible, and perform a breakdown of all potential factors, employing an algorithm to weight them according to relevance and occurrence. I'd further break them down into other categories such as age, place, relationship, and a myriad other attributes to help isolate whether different patterns emerge in different situations. Once I obtained a working set of analyzed data, I'd look at how to employ awareness, education, counseling, and other resources to most effectively target the appropriate people in the appropriate ways to maximize the results of these methods.
There are various piecemeal studies out there now that address data in limited ways, but being a data analyst, I understand how these are often used to absolute conclusions which are not actually supportable by the amount and type of data and analysis which has been done.
At this point, using what I do know along with my personal experiences, I certainly wouldn't counsel anybody against using their common sense and gut to avoid situations they feel are potentially unsafe out of an unjustifiable, absolutist conclusion that being drunk in certain places at certain times isn't a risk factor for being raped or sexually assaulted.