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Why the Cosmological Argument Fails

Sapiens

Polymathematician
A massive number of small and subtle interactions between tumbling ping pong balls have to occur in order for a specific person to win the lottery, and yet people win all of the time. The odds of someone winning the lottery is something like 1 in 150 million, yet people win all of the time. How can that be? Of course, a winner becomes inevitable if enough people buy a ticket.

What you are ignoring in your calculations is all of the lineages that didn't evolve that could have evolved, just as we must include all of the losers when we calculate the odds of someone winning the lottery. All you are doing is painting the bulls eye around the bullet hole, and proclaiming what a wonderful shot it was.



It appears that those reasons are not scientific and are not based on solid reasoning.
Indeed ... that is known as the "Texas Sharpshooter Fallacy."

Wiki:
The name comes from a joke about a Texan who fires some gunshots at the side of a barn, then paints a target centered on the tightest cluster of hits and claims to be a sharpshooter.
 

It Aint Necessarily So

Veteran Member
Premium Member
[snip]
  • Lipid transport and metabolism
  • Inorganic ion transport and metabolism
  • Secondary metabolite biosynthesis, transport, and catabolism
Each category requires many proteins. All have to be in place and working together or the cell is wrecked.

This your unsupported claim is unjustified. You don't know that naturalistic abiogenesis couldn't occur, nor can you say that it's not inevitable wherever possible.You're argument is basically another irreducible complexity argument modeled on Hoyle's fallacious 747 forming in a junkyard during a tornado.

The abiogenesis hypothesis postulates that multiple small, thermodynamically favorable changes occurred over time on the early earth until the first living replicator appeared, after which time, biological evolution began.


Since all cells alive today are the product of more than 3 billion years of evolution we would expect to see a lot of systems that have evolved to be dependent on one another. It's a bit like going into a modern city and listing all of the things that the modern city requires to function properly. No one would think that these are absolutely required for a city to exist, and people understand that this complexity built up over time to the point where many technologies are now dependent on one another.

Good analogy. What are the odds of all of those components coming together at once at random? What difference would it make, since that's not what happened in cities or cells.
 

Apologes

Active Member
Would you prefer just reading that the argument is fallacious, It is a non sequitur. It's conclusion doesn't follow from what preceded it

Yes, I would very much prefer to see posts free of unnecessary condescension that does nothing but poison these discussions.

4) is the second premise of the second syllogism, and it is incorrect. It doesn't consider other possibilities, such as a multiverse being that source

Earlier in your post you said that no research is needed for this argument yet here you show just how badly you misrepresent the argument due to that exact lack of research. In his presentations of the argument, Craig offers lengthy explanations of why the first cause ought to be a personal eternal agent rather than a multiverse. It's like you're only looking at the bare premises and are unaware of the support given for these premises. Obviously, premises on their own are mere assertions. That's why philosophers back them up with particular arguments.

Objecting to those arguments is one thing but to say that alternate options are just ignored and that God is simply shoved in is just plain false and had you actually read his work you wouldn't have made such a statement. I therefore advise you to at least look at his presentations of the argument in his popular literature On Guard or Reasonable Faith and for a more scholarly treatment look at his chapter in The Blackwell Companion to Natural Theology.

Many of us have no practical use for theology, at least not the faith-based aspects of it. II'm excluding the Bible as literature or its history, which I consider legitimate scholarship, but not the parts that assume the existence of gods, which has no more legitimacy than studying the Disney princesses or the Pokemon cast of characters. Sorry, but just because a subject can be studied in depth doesn't make it scholarship if it's about nothing real.

You probably have no practical use for astrology, communism, or Scientology. Isn't that reasonable for those rejecting a belief system? Should we pretend otherwise when discussing them?

Or maybe you think that the astrologers are on to something, and Madame Cozmo should be taken seriously and shown more respect rather thought of with disdain.

Natural Theology is not theology in the sense that you're talking about. It's a philosophical project which aims to provide arguments for the existence of God. Having said that, theology is actual scholarship in the full sense of the term, in fact the line between theology and philosophy of religion can get incredibly unclear at times as both offer rigorous arguments which are in the case of theology based on the study of a particular holy text and the findings of exegetes, historians as well as scientists.

It has universities, journals and teaching positions in higher education. Even atheists can be (and have been) theologians. To say it's not "actual scholarship" is just ignorant.

Christian apologists are viewed the same way as palm reader Madame Cozmo, and Tom Cruise and his thetans, whether it be Michael Behe, Ken Ham, Pat Robertson, Sarah Palan, the Duggars, Kent Hovind, Ray Comfort, or William Lane Craig. Many just see charlatans, and naturally, they disapprove.

To draw a parallel between a renowned scholar like William Lane Craig and people who do palm reading really betrays that you're out of touch with what you're talking about. It is one thing to disagree with him but to call him a charlatan is just inappropriate for the reasons I'll get to now.

Here, his credentials are his arguments, not his degrees or public stature.

That "here" is a very out of touch place, then, since scholar's credentials are incredibly important when evaluating them. Someone with multiple PhDs, a teaching position in a higher education institutions, owning a good H-index and enjoying a good reputation is obviously more reliable than a person with a B.A. who is unemployed or simply teaching in highschool and has published maybe two papers in their entire career.

Most of his education is religious studies, including a doctorate in theology, and that which wasn't is wrapped up in his religious argument (Kalam), which most of career appears to be based on. You already know how I feel about theology.

He holds doctorates in philosophy of religion as well as systematic theology. The former is a field to which this topic belongs. Leaving aside your misguided feelings about theology, those are very good credentials. As for his career, his main focus of study was actually the coherence of the concept of God. The Kalam was his contribution to Natural Theology, a significant and well-respected one at that and definitely taken a lot more seriously by people actually qualified to tackle it than random people on the internet.

Those topics include divine omniscience, divine eternity and divine asiety. All of which have lead him to contribute and take part in some of the toughest topics of philosophy such as truth-makers, the nature of time and the platonic realm. He collaborated with well-respected atheist philosopher Quentin Smith on two huge scholarly contributions on two competing theories of time (a theologically neutral topic mind you).

But none of that matters when evaluating this argument. It's simply incorrect.

And before you begin evaluating an argument you ought to make sure you've done your best to understand it by researching it properly. Given your comments so far, I think it's evident that you (and a lot of other people in this thread) haven't done so.

What more do I need to know about him than that he considers the argument above sound is when it is not? Or maybe you explain why a caused universe must be caused by a personal god.

I'll leave you with a quote from a popular atheist philosopher Daniel Dennett (who found his place on the same list of top 50 most influential philosophers as William Lane Craig, in fact Craig got a place higher than him) and who has done great work in the philosophy of mind, though the laymen are a lot more likely to know him only for his criticism of religion:

"As I tell my undergraduate students, whenever they encounter in their required reading a claim or argument that seems just plain stupid, they should probably double check to make sure they are not misreading the “preposterous” passage in question."

If you find the argument so obviously false on such obvious grounds (and really, if you were right this would have been an obvious problem with the argument) while the scholars themselves seem to take it more seriously (given how they not only do not accuse Craig of ignoring alternate options but actually tackle the multiple different arguments he has offered for them and do put in a lot of hard work in it since they know very well these issues are quite hard and complicated) then you may have just proved that the scholars are incompetent or, much more likely, you haven't approached the argument competently.

Both your main complaint and the following:

The premise that everything that has a beginning has a cause isn't clearly established either since rules that apply within a universe don't necessarily apply to universes themselves, nor that the universe had a beginning. Perhaps just the expansion had a beginning.

have already been responded to by Craig. Maybe you find those responses contentious (certainly many people do and I myself have my reservations) but to say they're not there and that Craig is simply ignoring things and doing cheap apologetics like a typical charlatan is really just digging a grave for your own credibility.

Craig's credentials are his fallacious argument, not his degrees.

No, his credentials are his academic accomplishments which have pushed his opponents to write dozens if not hundreds of articles arguing in great depth against them

"a count of the articles in the philosophy journals shows that more articles have been published about Craig’s defense of the Kalam argument than have been published about any other philosopher’s contemporary formulation of an argument for God’s existence." - Quentin Smith, Kalam Cosmological Argument for Atheims

and was said to be

"among the most sophisticated and well argued in contemporary theological philosophy" - Michael Martin, Atheism: A Philosophical Justification

I'll reiterate my previous sentiment, then, how sad it is to see lay people so easily dismiss these arguments as obviously fallacious. Of course, as Dennett would say, you and the OP may be right and it may be that all those papers written on the subject were just pointless as your brief remark would do just as efficient of a job but it is a lot more likely (indeed, having read a lot of the material on the subject I find it quite apparent) that you're the ones who got things wrong.
 

viole

Ontological Naturalist
Premium Member
Yes, I would very much prefer to see posts free of unnecessary condescension that does nothing but poison these discussions.



Earlier in your post you said that no research is needed for this argument yet here you show just how badly you misrepresent the argument due to that exact lack of research. In his presentations of the argument, Craig offers lengthy explanations of why the first cause ought to be a personal eternal agent rather than a multiverse. It's like you're only looking at the bare premises and are unaware of the support given for these premises. Obviously, premises on their own are mere assertions. That's why philosophers back them up with particular arguments.

Objecting to those arguments is one thing but to say that alternate options are just ignored and that God is simply shoved in is just plain false and had you actually read his work you wouldn't have made such a statement. I therefore advise you to at least look at his presentations of the argument in his popular literature On Guard or Reasonable Faith and for a more scholarly treatment look at his chapter in The Blackwell Companion to Natural Theology.



Natural Theology is not theology in the sense that you're talking about. It's a philosophical project which aims to provide arguments for the existence of God. Having said that, theology is actual scholarship in the full sense of the term, in fact the line between theology and philosophy of religion can get incredibly unclear at times as both offer rigorous arguments which are in the case of theology based on the study of a particular holy text and the findings of exegetes, historians as well as scientists.

It has universities, journals and teaching positions in higher education. Even atheists can be (and have been) theologians. To say it's not "actual scholarship" is just ignorant.



To draw a parallel between a renowned scholar like William Lane Craig and people who do palm reading really betrays that you're out of touch with what you're talking about. It is one thing to disagree with him but to call him a charlatan is just inappropriate for the reasons I'll get to now.



That "here" is a very out of touch place, then, since scholar's credentials are incredibly important when evaluating them. Someone with multiple PhDs, a teaching position in a higher education institutions, owning a good H-index and enjoying a good reputation is obviously more reliable than a person with a B.A. who is unemployed or simply teaching in highschool and has published maybe two papers in their entire career.



He holds doctorates in philosophy of religion as well as systematic theology. The former is a field to which this topic belongs. Leaving aside your misguided feelings about theology, those are very good credentials. As for his career, his main focus of study was actually the coherence of the concept of God. The Kalam was his contribution to Natural Theology, a significant and well-respected one at that and definitely taken a lot more seriously by people actually qualified to tackle it than random people on the internet.

Those topics include divine omniscience, divine eternity and divine asiety. All of which have lead him to contribute and take part in some of the toughest topics of philosophy such as truth-makers, the nature of time and the platonic realm. He collaborated with well-respected atheist philosopher Quentin Smith on two huge scholarly contributions on two competing theories of time (a theologically neutral topic mind you).



And before you begin evaluating an argument you ought to make sure you've done your best to understand it by researching it properly. Given your comments so far, I think it's evident that you (and a lot of other people in this thread) haven't done so.



I'll leave you with a quote from a popular atheist philosopher Daniel Dennett (who found his place on the same list of top 50 most influential philosophers as William Lane Craig, in fact Craig got a place higher than him) and who has done great work in the philosophy of mind, though the laymen are a lot more likely to know him only for his criticism of religion:

"As I tell my undergraduate students, whenever they encounter in their required reading a claim or argument that seems just plain stupid, they should probably double check to make sure they are not misreading the “preposterous” passage in question."

If you find the argument so obviously false on such obvious grounds (and really, if you were right this would have been an obvious problem with the argument) while the scholars themselves seem to take it more seriously (given how they not only do not accuse Craig of ignoring alternate options but actually tackle the multiple different arguments he has offered for them and do put in a lot of hard work in it since they know very well these issues are quite hard and complicated) then you may have just proved that the scholars are incompetent or, much more likely, you haven't approached the argument competently.

Both your main complaint and the following:



have already been responded to by Craig. Maybe you find those responses contentious (certainly many people do and I myself have my reservations) but to say they're not there and that Craig is simply ignoring things and doing cheap apologetics like a typical charlatan is really just digging a grave for your own credibility.



No, his credentials are his academic accomplishments which have pushed his opponents to write dozens if not hundreds of articles arguing in great depth against them

"a count of the articles in the philosophy journals shows that more articles have been published about Craig’s defense of the Kalam argument than have been published about any other philosopher’s contemporary formulation of an argument for God’s existence." - Quentin Smith, Kalam Cosmological Argument for Atheims

and was said to be

"among the most sophisticated and well argued in contemporary theological philosophy" - Michael Martin, Atheism: A Philosophical Justification

I'll reiterate my previous sentiment, then, how sad it is to see lay people so easily dismiss these arguments as obviously fallacious. Of course, as Dennett would say, you and the OP may be right and it may be that all those papers written on the subject were just pointless as your brief remark would do just as efficient of a job but it is a lot more likely (indeed, having read a lot of the material on the subject I find it quite apparent) that you're the ones who got things wrong.

I have a question. Might seem facetious, but it is in fact dead serious.

Why does WL Craig, or other Christians, Muslims, etc, use (for instance) the Kalam argument, or other cosmological/teleological/ontological/whaeverlogical arguments as evidence for the existence of God?

Are resurrecting humans, airborn horses, and such, not evidence enough?

Ciao

- viole
 

It Aint Necessarily So

Veteran Member
Premium Member
In his presentations of the argument, Craig offers lengthy explanations of why the first cause ought to be a personal eternal agent rather than a multiverse.

I evaluated the Kalam cosmological argument. It was fallacious for reasons I gave. The argument was a non sequitur.

Objecting to those arguments is one thing but to say that alternate options are just ignored and that God is simply shoved in is just plain false and had you actually read his work you wouldn't have made such a statement.

I'm not interested in his other work. I commented on the argument he presents. Wrong is wrong.If he thinks he can exclude the multiverse hypothesis, it needs to be in the argument that concludes the existence of a god.

Natural Theology is not theology in the sense that you're talking about. It's a philosophical project which aims to provide arguments for the existence of God.

That's theology to me, and why I don't consider it scholarship. All of the arguments for god have been refuted. Making them again is not academics. It's apologetics.

theology is actual scholarship in the full sense of the term

Not to me, at least not as I clarified my meaning of the word. Just insisting that theology should be respected isn't enough. What should I respect? What are its contributions to man's understanding?

To draw a parallel between a renowned scholar like William Lane Craig and people who do palm reading really betrays that you're out of touch with what you're talking about.

I'm out of touch? You think that theology is scholarship and that Craig's is a great thinker whose Kalam argument isn't fallacious.

scholar's credentials are incredibly important when evaluating them

Perhaps when visiting a new doctor. It's good to know that he or she went to an accredited medical school.

But not here. As I said, Craig's credentials are the same as yours and mine here - the quality of his words. He stands behind a fallacious theological argument. What more need I know about him?

Here's an example of his thinking. He's telling you that his mind is completely closed to evidence:
  • "The way in which I know Christianity is true is first and foremost on the basis of the witness of the Holy Spirit in my heart. And this gives me a self-authenticating means of knowing Christianity is true wholly apart from the evidence. And therefore, even if in some historically contingent circumstances the evidence that I have available to me should turn against Christianity, I do not think that this controverts the witness of the Holy Spirit. In such a situation, I should regard that as simply a result of the contingent circumstances that I'm in, and that if I were to pursue this with due diligence and with time, I would discover that the evidence, if in fact I could get the correct picture, would support exactly what the witness of the Holy Spirit tells me. So I think that's very important to get the relationship between faith and reason right..." - William Lane Craig
Did you get that? No evidence could change his mind, whatever it is. Sorry, but as I said, his credentials are his words. He makes fallacious arguments and brags about a closed mind.

Here's another tremendous argument for the ages:
Can I use that argument to argue for the existence of Santa as well? Santa must exist simply by a necessity of his own nature. Equally compelling.

This is why I dismiss theology.
 

Apologes

Active Member
I evaluated the Kalam cosmological argument. It was fallacious for reasons I gave. The argument was a non sequitur.



I'm not interested in his other work. I commented on the argument he presents. Wrong is wrong.If he thinks he can exclude the multiverse hypothesis, it needs to be in the argument that concludes the existence of a god.



That's theology to me, and why I don't consider it scholarship. All of the arguments for god have been refuted. Making them again is not academics. It's apologetics.



Not to me, at least not as I clarified my meaning of the word. Just insisting that theology should be respected isn't enough. What should I respect? What are its contributions to man's understanding?



I'm out of touch? You think that theology is scholarship and that Craig's is a great thinker whose Kalam argument isn't fallacious.



Perhaps when visiting a new doctor. It's good to know that he or she went to an accredited medical school.

But not here. As I said, Craig's credentials are the same as yours and mine here - the quality of his words. He stands behind a fallacious theological argument. What more need I know about him?

Here's an example of his thinking. He's telling you that his mind is completely closed to evidence:
  • "The way in which I know Christianity is true is first and foremost on the basis of the witness of the Holy Spirit in my heart. And this gives me a self-authenticating means of knowing Christianity is true wholly apart from the evidence. And therefore, even if in some historically contingent circumstances the evidence that I have available to me should turn against Christianity, I do not think that this controverts the witness of the Holy Spirit. In such a situation, I should regard that as simply a result of the contingent circumstances that I'm in, and that if I were to pursue this with due diligence and with time, I would discover that the evidence, if in fact I could get the correct picture, would support exactly what the witness of the Holy Spirit tells me. So I think that's very important to get the relationship between faith and reason right..." - William Lane Craig
Did you get that? No evidence could change his mind, whatever it is. Sorry, but as I said, his credentials are his words. He makes fallacious arguments and brags about a closed mind.

Here's another tremendous argument for the ages:
Can I use that argument to argue for the existence of Santa as well? Santa must exist simply by a necessity of his own nature. Equally compelling.

This is why I dismiss theology.

Given your lack of interaction with most of what I've said so far (indeed most of your post consisted of merely reiterating what you said before and refusing to actually counter my responses) I find it apparent (especially because of a particular few remarks) that you are not open to honest inquiry.

Unfortunate as it may be, I will atleast use the two quotes from Craig you provided in order to defame him (it appears you will look at what he says so long as you can find a way to use it as an ad hominem) to shed some light on what he actually says. The first quote had to do, not with close-mindedness, but with an entire system in epistemology called Reformed Epistemology with Craig here talking about a particular version proposed by Alvin Plantinga (another celebrated scholar and a noted defender of Christianity who you will no doubt dismiss as a charlatan as well) albeit a bit modified by grounding the source of warrant and intristic defeater-defeaters not in a particular cognitive faculty but in God himself.

Given your open refusal to look at anything relevant to the topics that you're talking about (indeed you even refer to the defense provided for the premises you consider arbirtrary as "his other work" not knowing they just are part of the Kalam) I don't expect you to, but for all those reading this who may be interested in actually learning about the mentioned system I reccommend Plantinga's classic triology: Warrant: the Current Debate, Warrant and Proper Function and Warranted Christian Belief. For a more popular level treatment you can look at Plantinga's relatively recent book Knowledge and Christian Belief.

As for the second quote, Craig talking about God having a necessary nature is nothing extraordinary (and certainly nothing that would discredit him) as there are whole two arguments he defends that aim to establish that with the first being a form of Lebnizian Contingency argument developed by Alexander Pruss and (interestingly enough) his atheist mentor Richard Gale (another example of an atheist scholar taking Natural Theology seriously) which you can find in the great volume I already mentioned in my previous post: The Blackwell Companion to Natural Theology.

The second argument Craig defends for this purpose is a form of the Modal Ontological Argument which has seen a lot of attention in the press and has been a focus of my own research for quite some time (I actually find the argument flawed and unsound so if anyone was about to accuse me of being an apoligetics partisan I advise you not to). You can learn more about it in The Nature of Necessity.

Aside from this, the whole comment that "all arguments for theism have been refuted and making them again is apologetics instead of scholarship" is not only funny because it assumes apologetics (arguing in defense of something) and philosophy are necessarily separate (with apologetics being something frowned upon I suppose) but because it betrays just how out of touch you really are with these things (though you seemed rather shocked that I'd call you that) as, if you were right, scholars on both sides wouldn't still publish literature on the topic. Matter of fact the Kalam which you find so obviously wrong and the OP "pathetically weak" has seen two scholarly volumes which collect essays by scholars both theists and atheists. For those interested the titles are The Kalam Cosmological Argument: Philosophical Arguments for the Finitude of the Past and The Kalam Cosmological Argument: Scientific Evidence for the Beginning of the Universe.

Both of these were as recent as late 2017. I said all this so as to not misguide any sincere people who may be reading these posts. As for you, I do not think anything more needs to be said. You refuse to do your research and are instead simply throwing shades at that which you haven't bothered to understand. This is coming from someone who isn't even necessarily persuaded by the Kalam nor any of these arguments mentioned here which is why I focused in these last few posts merely on defending them against misinformation and their proponents from insults. All of this is very interesting and very serious and as such deserves to be taken seriously and not dismissed in such a casual manner as one can so often see on the internet.
 
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viole

Ontological Naturalist
Premium Member
Given your lack of interaction with most of what I've said so far (indeed most of your post consisted of merely reiterating what you said before and refusing to actually counter my responses) I find it apparent (especially because of a particular few remarks) that you are not open to honest inquiry.

Unfortunate as it may be, I will atleast use the two quotes from Craig you provided in order to defame him (it appears you will look at what he says so long as you can find a way to use it as an ad hominem) to shed some light on what he actually says. The first quote had to do, not with close-mindedness, but with an entire system in epistemology called Reformed Epistemology with Craig here talking about a particular version proposed by Alvin Plantinga (another celebrated scholar and a noted defender of Christianity who you will no doubt dismiss as a charlatan as well) albeit a bit modified by grounding the source of warrant and intristic defeater-defeaters not in a particular cognitive faculty but in God himself.

Given your open refusal to look at anything relevant to the topics that you're talking about (indeed you even refer to the defense provided for the premises you consider arbirtrary as "his other work" not knowing they just are part of the Kalam) I don't expect you to, but for all those reading this who may be interested in actually learning about the mentioned system I reccommend Plantinga's classic triology: Warrant: the Current Debate, Warrant and Proper Function and Warranted Christian Belief. For a more popular level treatment you can look at Plantinga's relatively recent book Knowledge and Christian Belief.

As for the second quote, Craig talking about God having a necessary nature is nothing extraordinary (and certainly nothing that would discredit him) as there are whole two arguments he defends that aim to establish that with the first being a form of Lebnizian Contingency argument developed by Alexander Pruss and (interestingly enough) his atheist mentor Richard Gale (another example of an atheist scholar taking Natural Theology seriously) which you can find in the great volume I already mentioned in my previous post: The Blackwell Companion to Natural Theology.

The second argument Craig defends for this purpose is a form of the Modal Ontological Argument which has seen a lot of attention in the press and has been a focus of my own research for quite some time (I actually find the argument flawed and unsound so if anyone was about to accuse me of being an apoligetics partisan I advise you not to). You can learn more about it in The Nature of Necessity.

Aside from this, the whole comment that "all arguments for theism have been refuted and making them again is apologetics instead of scholarship" is not only funny because it assumes apologetics (arguing in defense of something) and philosophy are necessarily separate (with apologetics being something frowned upon I suppose) but because it betrays just how out of touch you really are with these things (though you seemed rather shocked that I'd call you that) as, if you were right, scholars on both sides wouldn't still publish literature on the topic. Matter of fact the Kalam which you find so obviously wrong and the OP "pathetically weak" has seen two scholarly volumes which collect essays by scholars both theists and atheists. For those interested the titles are The Kalam Cosmological Argument: Philosophical Arguments for the Finitude of the Past and The Kalam Cosmological Argument: Scientific Evidence for the Beginning of the Universe.

Both of these were as recent as late 2017. I said all this so as to not misguide any sincere people who may be reading these posts. As for you, I do not think anything more needs to be said. You refuse to do your research and are instead simply throwing shades at that which you haven't bothered to understand. This is coming from someone who isn't even necessarily persuaded by the Kalam nor any of these arguments mentioned here which is why I focused in these last few posts merely on defending them against misinformation and their proponents from insults. All of this is very interesting and very serious and as such deserves to be taken seriously and not dismissed in such a casual manner as one can so often see on the internet.

Which leads to my primary question again.

Modal logic, cosmology, ontology...these are challenging things that are out of reach to most but a few intellectuals.

But why do those intellectuals complicate things so much? Are empty tombs, flying Messiahs, horses, and all miraculous events that would rationally justify believing in X instead of Y, not evidence enough?

If you own a Chevrolet, would you try to show evidence for the existence of cars by going through modal logic and all that, or would you just show me your Chevrolet?

So, where is your Chevrolet? Or is it a Ford, maybe?

Ciao

- viole
 
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It Aint Necessarily So

Veteran Member
Premium Member
Given your lack of interaction with most of what I've said so far (indeed most of your post consisted of merely reiterating what you said before and refusing to actually counter my responses) I find it apparent (especially because of a particular few remarks) that you are not open to honest inquiry.

Most of what you say is irrelevant to the discussion at hand. I have been arguing:
  • that the Kalam argument is fallacious (which you defended by claiming that the part about the multiverse was left out, but could be found elsewhere is I researched Craig's other writings)
  • that Craig is not the intellect you claim he is
  • that theology as I defined it (omitting study of the Bible as literature, the history of the Bible, it's influence in culture, etc, and limiting it to the study of that which presupposes gods) is not scholarship (Craig's example supports that - PhDs in philosophy - much of which was philosophy of religion including a PhD dissertation on the cosmological argument - and another in theology - and he makes intellectual errors even in a syllogism) is not scholarship
Please stick to that.

I'm not interested in doing the research you insist on. I have no need for it. A fallacious argument is a fallacious argument. What research changes that? If you know how to make Craig's argument sound, do so here. If you can't, well, then you can't.

I will atleast use the two quotes from Craig you provided in order to defame him

Defame him? They're his words. If they are defamatory, he defames himself.

The first quote had to do, not with close-mindedness, but with an entire system in epistemology called Reformed Epistemology with Craig here talking about a particular version proposed by Alvin Plantinga (another celebrated scholar and a noted defender of Christianity who you will no doubt dismiss as a charlatan as well) albeit a bit modified by grounding the source of warrant and intristic defeater-defeaters not in a particular cognitive faculty but in God himself.

Yeah, that's nice.

It's still a statement of closed-mindedness. He said that no evidence could move him from his position. That's the very definition of closed-mindedness. Let me share two more from others:
  • If somewhere in the Bible I were to find a passage that said 2 + 2 = 5, I wouldn't question what I am reading in the Bible. I would believe it, accept it as true, and do my best to work it out and understand it."- Pastor Peter laRuffa
  • The moderator in the debate between Bill Nye and Ken Ham on whether creationism is a viable scientific field of study asked, "What would change your minds?" Scientist Bill Nye answered, "Evidence." Young Earth Creationist Ken Ham answered, "Nothing. I'm a Christian." Elsewhere, Ham stated, “By definition, no apparent, perceived or claimed evidence in any field, including history and chronology, can be valid if it contradicts the scriptural record."
These guys think like Craig, and I consider it defective thinking. Their minds are closed for business, and their thinking will always lead to God because they have made that the case. So Craig sees God in the idea that the universe appears to have had a beginning, but not the multiverse. No surprise. That's what a faith based confirmation bias does to one's thinking.

And no amount of polish to one's CV or skill as a silver-tongued orator can undo these problems.

Given your open refusal to look at anything relevant to the topics that you're talking about (indeed you even refer to the defense provided for the premises you consider arbirtrary as "his other work" not knowing they just are part of the Kalam) I don't expect you to, but for all those reading this who may be interested in actually learning about the mentioned system I reccommend Plantinga's classic triology: Warrant: the Current Debate, Warrant and Proper Function and Warranted Christian Belief. For a more popular level treatment you can look at Plantinga's relatively recent book Knowledge and Christian Belief.

More theology. No thanks. I'm simply not interested in Christian apologetics, so why would I read Craig or Platinga?

As for the second quote, Craig talking about God having a necessary nature is nothing extraordinary (and certainly nothing that would discredit him) as there are whole two arguments he defends that aim to establish that with the first being a form of Lebnizian Contingency argument developed by Alexander Pruss and (interestingly enough) his atheist mentor Richard Gale (another example of an atheist scholar taking Natural Theology seriously) which you can find in the great volume I already mentioned in my previous post: The Blackwell Companion to Natural Theology.

And yet more theology.

Any comment about a god is a wild guess. Making statements about gods and their what their necessary qualities must be as if they are factual is just his faith.

He makes the same logical error here that he does in Kalam - making unsupported claims about what must be true. like his claim that the Bible mist be true, therefore whatever contradicts it must be false no matter what the evidence actually says.

As I recall, you jointed this thread with a lamentation about the disdain you sensed in the reactions to the Kalam argument, and to certain people such as Craig. I explained to you why some of us respond as we do.

Your response has been to assume an air of superiority and condescension, and argue that others (or maybe just me) aren't doing enough research, as if sending others off to other sources is an argument. Make your argument yourself, and link to any external sources you think support your claims if you choose. Complaining that others won't go off to find out what your (or Craig's) argument is is a deal killer.

Sorry that I couldn't offer you the respect that you demand, but it has to be earned. Craig's ethos is shot. I don't share his agenda of trying to prove God at all costs including specious argumentation, nor do I trust his faith based thinking, which I know always leads to God, since he told us as much.

And as for theology, look at how useless it is. What has any of that which you mentioned done for the world? What has it done for you?
 

viole

Ontological Naturalist
Premium Member
one could still acknowledge that it takes a lot to defeat it .

No, it doesn't. It is actually very simple.

Try me. I even let you choose what premise to attack (since they might both be wrong).

Ciao

- viole
 
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Audie

Veteran Member
I evaluated the Kalam cosmological argument. It was fallacious for reasons I gave. The argument was a non sequitur.



I'm not interested in his other work. I commented on the argument he presents. Wrong is wrong.If he thinks he can exclude the multiverse hypothesis, it needs to be in the argument that concludes the existence of a god.



That's theology to me, and why I don't consider it scholarship. All of the arguments for god have been refuted. Making them again is not academics. It's apologetics.



Not to me, at least not as I clarified my meaning of the word. Just insisting that theology should be respected isn't enough. What should I respect? What are its contributions to man's understanding?



I'm out of touch? You think that theology is scholarship and that Craig's is a great thinker whose Kalam argument isn't fallacious.



Perhaps when visiting a new doctor. It's good to know that he or she went to an accredited medical school.

But not here. As I said, Craig's credentials are the same as yours and mine here - the quality of his words. He stands behind a fallacious theological argument. What more need I know about him?

Here's an example of his thinking. He's telling you that his mind is completely closed to evidence:
  • "The way in which I know Christianity is true is first and foremost on the basis of the witness of the Holy Spirit in my heart. And this gives me a self-authenticating means of knowing Christianity is true wholly apart from the evidence. And therefore, even if in some historically contingent circumstances the evidence that I have available to me should turn against Christianity, I do not think that this controverts the witness of the Holy Spirit. In such a situation, I should regard that as simply a result of the contingent circumstances that I'm in, and that if I were to pursue this with due diligence and with time, I would discover that the evidence, if in fact I could get the correct picture, would support exactly what the witness of the Holy Spirit tells me. So I think that's very important to get the relationship between faith and reason right..." - William Lane Craig
Did you get that? No evidence could change his mind, whatever it is. Sorry, but as I said, his credentials are his words. He makes fallacious arguments and brags about a closed mind.

Here's another tremendous argument for the ages:
Can I use that argument to argue for the existence of Santa as well? Santa must exist simply by a necessity of his own nature. Equally compelling.

This is why I dismiss theology.

That line "wholly apart from the evidence" is very much the
same as a statement from Dr. K Wise, a paleontologist with, yes,
a PhD in paleo.

"If all the evidence in the universe turns against YEC I would
still be a YEC, as that is what the Bibke seems to..."

To me that seems the very essence, definition of intellectual
dishonesty.

Such people may be an interesting pstchological study,
but any work they so, rooted in intellectual dishonesty,
not so much.

No doubt the is good work in there, somewhere.
I suppose it is up to the individual if they want to search for
what is good in work that is known to be corrupted.
 

BilliardsBall

Veteran Member
We have had a similar argument before on another forum, I'm not going into it again because i am not keen on banging my head on a brick wall. So will just repeat the basic argument that counters much of your points. DNA requires only 4 basic chemical's which code depending on environmental conditions. This is observed, documented and peer reviewed.

Then it should be a snap to reproduce abiogenesis and 1,000 far simpler cell processes. Good news! Thanks!
 

BilliardsBall

Veteran Member
That would be the requirements for a MODERN cell. Since all cells alive today are the product of more than 3 billion years of evolution we would expect to see a lot of systems that have evolved to be dependent on one another. It's a bit like going into a modern city and listing all of the things that the modern city requires to function properly. No one would think that these are absolutely required for a city to exist, and people understand that this complexity built up over time to the point where many technologies are now dependent on one another.

Good point, please list here the basic functions of the ancient, simplest cell:
 

BilliardsBall

Veteran Member
A massive number of small and subtle interactions between tumbling ping pong balls have to occur in order for a specific person to win the lottery, and yet people win all of the time. The odds of someone winning the lottery is something like 1 in 150 million, yet people win all of the time. How can that be? Of course, a winner becomes inevitable if enough people buy a ticket.

What you are ignoring in your calculations is all of the lineages that didn't evolve that could have evolved, just as we must include all of the losers when we calculate the odds of someone winning the lottery. All you are doing is painting the bulls eye around the bullet hole, and proclaiming what a wonderful shot it was.



It appears that those reasons are not scientific and are not based on solid reasoning.

Are you saying things like abiogenesis and changes between animal kinds via mechanistic evolution are on the order of 1:150 million or FAR larger numbers? Are you saying that 150 million open systems were hit by vulcanism, solar energy, etc. to make that one wonderful pool of life?
 

BilliardsBall

Veteran Member
If I showed you the human and chimp genomes could you point to individual differences between those genomes that could not be produced by the known and natural processes that produce mutations?

I'm unsure of what you mean in terms of you and I both know that most mutations are not beneficial, that mutations are awesomely rare, and that the difference between humans and chimps is on the order of millions of different sequence pieces of information.
 

BilliardsBall

Veteran Member
This your unsupported claim is unjustified. You don't know that naturalistic abiogenesis couldn't occur, nor can you say that it's not inevitable wherever possible.You're argument is basically another irreducible complexity argument modeled on Hoyle's fallacious 747 forming in a junkyard during a tornado.

The abiogenesis hypothesis postulates that multiple small, thermodynamically favorable changes occurred over time on the early earth until the first living replicator appeared, after which time, biological evolution began.




Good analogy. What are the odds of all of those components coming together at once at random? What difference would it make, since that's not what happened in cities or cells.

And what are the odds of the replicator appearing? Small, large or near infinite in number?
 

It Aint Necessarily So

Veteran Member
Premium Member
And what are the odds of the replicator appearing? Small, large or near infinite in number?

We don't know yet, but it may vert well be the case that just as with all other physical processes, abiogenesis occurs wherever possible just as planets form wherever possible, ice freezes wherever possible, and acorns turn into oaks whenever conditions favor that.

Why wouldn't that be true?

Finding extraterrestrial life would go a long way toward supporting that hypothesis, especially if it was not like earth-based life to rule out panspermia - perhaps life with organic molecules enantiomeric (reverse handedness) relative to terran forms.

Leave organic constituents to baste in a stable heat bath (ocean, atmosphere) under Goldilocks conditions, supply it with an external energy source, wait about a billion years, and it may be the case that forming life is as inevitable as forming mountains or stars wherever possible.
 

BilliardsBall

Veteran Member
We don't know yet, but it may vert well be the case that just as with all other physical processes, abiogenesis occurs wherever possible just as planets form wherever possible, ice freezes wherever possible, and acorns turn into oaks whenever conditions favor that.

Why wouldn't that be true?

Finding extraterrestrial life would go a long way toward supporting that hypothesis, especially if it was not like earth-based life to rule out panspermia - perhaps life with organic molecules enantiomeric (reverse handedness) relative to terran forms.

Leave organic constituents to baste in a stable heat bath (ocean, atmosphere) under Goldilocks conditions, supply it with an external energy source, wait about a billion years, and it may be the case that forming life is as inevitable as forming mountains or stars wherever possible.

I would say, and you would say, that abiogenesis is far more complex (on the order of 1*10^500 complex) than snowflakes or a stable heat bath in an open system.

I would ask your response if we found extraterrestrial life who came to Earth to tell us they are in touch with the Creator?

Here is a quote I saw last week on abiogenesis. I trust you to have some good responses to get me to think more if I misunderstand it:

Over the past sixty years, dedicated and skillful scientists have devoted much effort and ink to the origin of life, with remarkably little to show for it.

[Quoting Radu Popa, 2004,] "So far, no theory, no approach, no set of formulas, and no blackboard scheme has been found satisfactory in explaining the origin of life." At the conclusion of a century of science, whose great glory is the discovery of how living things work, there is something downright disgraceful about this confession, an intimation that despite our vast knowledge and clever technology there may be questions that exceed our grasp. But its truth is indisputable. A survey of the literature devoted to the beginnings of life leaves one in no doubt that all the critical questions remain open.

For the present, we are in limbo. The natural path from simple cosmic molecules to cells, from chemistry to biology, remains undiscovered. …where we should look for illumination I cannot say.

The difference between a puzzle and a mystery is that the former can be solved within the framework of known principles, while the latter cannot. In the end, the origin of life remains a mystery that passes understanding. …we may still be missing some essential insight.

Scientists' refusal to grant some space to the mind and will of God may strike the majority of mankind as arbitrary and narrow-minded, but it is essential if the origin of life is to remain within the domain of science. A nudge from the divine would help us clear some very high hurdles; but once that possibility is admitted there will be no place to stop, and soon the settled principle of evolution by natural selection would be thrown into doubt.

Life's origin has been most ardently pursued by chemists, apparently on the unspoken premise that once the molecular building blocks are on hand, cellular organization will take care of itself. That premise is surely incorrect. Modern cells do not assemble themselves from preformed constituents, and they would not have done so in the past.

…the notion that the first protocells assembled themselves spontaneously from a generous menu of precursor molecules conveniently supplied by abiotic chemistry (or imported by way of comets and meteorites) is now widely recognized as simplistic and effectively has been abandoned. Among its most cogent critics are experienced masters of the art of prebiotic synthesis, who are well aware of the shortcomings of many of the proposed routes and of the wide gap between the range of molecules that living things employ and those that can be made in the laboratory.

…the fact is that chemists have encountered insuperable difficulties in generating a working replicator, and many have expressed doubts about the project. It is at least incumbent upon proponents of its spontaneous genesis to explain how the "correct" monomers could have been selected from the "prebiotic clutter," how a sufficient concentration of monomers was maintained, where the energy came from, and how the replicator evaded the tendency of polymers to break down by hydrolysis.

A decade ago, a hot topic for debate was which came first, replication or metabolism? That issue has not been resolved but has been largely superseded by the recognition that neither of them, by itself, can take one far along the road to life. It is simply not credible to claim that anything beyond the most rudimentary kind of replication or metabolism could have arisen in free solution.

In truth, there is presently no persuasive hypothesis to account for the emergence of protocells from the primal chaos.

The crucial step in the transfiguration of protocells into true cells will have been the invention of translation and the genetic code. …the origin of the principles that govern cellular operations today - genes specifying proteins and all the apparatus that this requires - remains quite unknown and points beyond the capacity of present-day biochemistry and biophysics.
 

Thermos aquaticus

Well-Known Member
I'm unsure of what you mean in terms of you and I both know that most mutations are not beneficial, that mutations are awesomely rare, and that the difference between humans and chimps is on the order of millions of different sequence pieces of information.

First, mutations aren't rare at all. All of us are born with 50 to 100 mutations. This is known from sequencing the genomes of two parents and their offspring.

With that in mind, let's see how many mutations have occurred in the human lineage. Let's go with the lower end of the range for mutation rate at 50 mutations per person, a generation time of 25 years, 5 million years since splitting from the chimp lineage, and a constant population of just 100,000 humans which is on the lower end.

So that's 50*100,000 = 5,000,000 mutations per generation. In 5 million years there are 5,000,000/25 = 200,000 generations. That's 5E6 mutations multiplied by 2E5 generations for 1E12 or 1 trillion mutations that occurred in the human lineage. We are separated from chimps by 40 million mutations, about half of which (20 million mutations) would have occurred in our lineage. 20 million mutations is just 0.002% of the total number of mutations that occurred in the human lineage. This means that just 2 out of every 100,000 mutations that did occur made it to the current population. Of course, this number will change a bit when we add in more human variation from more sequencing, but I think you get the picture.

So I don't see how 40 million mutations separating humans and chimps is a problem. We only kept a handful of mutations out of every 100,000 that did occur, and the vast majority of those are going to be neutral mutations that happen in junk DNA. As these numbers show, beneficial mutations don't have to be that common in order to produce the change we see in species.
 
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