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Biden will win

PoetPhilosopher

Veteran Member
I wonder how Alaska feels in all this? I mean, it's still counting, but NO one every mentions it.

Good question. Don't they use a system where say they have 6 electoral votes, and Biden gets half as many as Trump - Trump would actually get 4, not 6, and Biden would get 2?
 

Lyndon

"Peace is the answer" quote: GOD, 2014
Premium Member
Following Georgia closely, earlier in the day Trump had a 100,000 vote lead, that's dropped to 28,500 now with about 100,000 votes left uncounted, not looking as good for Biden but still possible
 

Shadow Wolf

Certified People sTabber & Business Owner
Following Georgia closely, earlier in the day Trump had a 100,000 vote lead, that's dropped to 28,500 now with about 100,000 votes left uncounted, not looking as good for Biden but still possible
I doubt Biden wins Georgia or North Carolina. And he doesn't need to. Arizona and Nevada are looking good for him. The other two aren't. Pennsylvania can go either way .Biden wins here and it's over, Biden loses here and Trump still must get the two that are slipping from him.
Based on what's left to count it's looking good for Biden. Biden wins Arizona and Nevada, it' over. Biden wins.
 

PoetPhilosopher

Veteran Member
I doubt Biden wins Georgia or North Carolina. And he doesn't need to. Arizona and Nevada are looking good for him. The other two aren't. Pennsylvania can go either way (Biden wins here and it's over, Biden loses here and Trump still must get the two that are slipping from him). Based on what's left to count it's looking good for Biden.

Biden must still win Nevada even if he wins Arizona, to win. Too.
 

Shadow Wolf

Certified People sTabber & Business Owner
Biden must still win Nevada even if he wins Arizona, to win. Too.
It's looking good for him there. It's blue districts there (and Arizona) that still have a bulk of whats left to count.
It's iffy with that in Pennsylvania.
I really doubt this "what's left" will save win Biden Georgia or North Carolina, also because there are still Republican districts left to report. As there is in Pennsylvania, so it still going to razor thin there.
 

Trailblazer

Veteran Member
I'm hoping Biden can win Pennsylvania, because if he wins there (and there are plenty of expected Dem votes to come in) it's over. He wins it all. If Trump wins there, he still has to win most of the remaining states to win.
But how soon will those votes come in? Hopefully before Trump gets any other states... It is presently at 89%.
 

Shadow Wolf

Certified People sTabber & Business Owner
But how soon will those votes come in? Hopefully before Trump gets any other states... It is presently at 89%.
Looking at Nevada and Arizona I feel confident saying Biden will win. And as long as he does win those it doesn't matter what the rest do. If he wins Pennsylvania it doesn't matter what the rest do. Going into a showdown, Biden has favorable odds.
 

PoetPhilosopher

Veteran Member
Screenshot_20201105-001118~2.png
 

Trailblazer

Veteran Member
Looking at Nevada and Arizona I feel confident saying Biden will win. And as long as he does win those it doesn't matter what the rest do. If he wins Pennsylvania it doesn't matter what the rest do. Going into a showdown, Biden has favorable odds.
Nevada and Arizona are likely to come in sooner... Now they are saying Georgia will be the deciding factor.
 

Shadow Wolf

Certified People sTabber & Business Owner
Nevada and Arizona are likely to come in sooner... Now they are saying Georgia will be the deciding factor.
I'm confident in my math. AZ and NV (where blue counties and mail in votes are the bulk of whats left) will put Biden at 270, with the other three putting Trump at just below that. Which I'm seeing as the likely finish to the razor thin election.
 

PoetPhilosopher

Veteran Member
It could also be part of the reason why counting is so slow, is that Trump keeps suing to try to block every state's counting.
 

Trailblazer

Veteran Member
I'm confident in my math. AZ and NV (where blue counties and mail in votes are the bulk of whats left) will put Biden at 270, with the other three putting Trump at just below that. Which I'm seeing as the likely finish to the razor thin election.
I sure hope your math is good. I was always good at math myself but I am too nervous to do the math.

Psychologically, I think what is going on with me is that I do not want to get my hopes up and end up being disappointed, as that was a repetitive pattern in my childhood.... :( And also I have PTSD from all the shocks I have had to endure for the last 20 years.
 

Shadow Wolf

Certified People sTabber & Business Owner
I sure hope your math is good. I was always good at math myself but I am too nervous to do the math.

Psychologically, I think what is going on with me is that I do not want to get my hopes up and end up being disappointed, as that was a repetitive pattern in my childhood.... :( And also I have PTSD from all the shocks I have had to endure for the last 20 years.
I was going nuts with the state ballots.
Prop 16 would have struck the state's non-discrimination law from the state constitution. And that law is a MAJOR reason I moved to California in the first place.
Prop 22 lets rideshare drivers stay as independent contractors, which for now is pretty good for me with all my health issues.
Never have election results been so hard for me to watch. I've never experienced anxiety, never had my heart rate going up. It was tense for me.
 

Lyndon

"Peace is the answer" quote: GOD, 2014
Premium Member
But how soon will those votes come in? Hopefully before Trump gets any other states... It is presently at 89%.
From 2am this morning, Penn moved about 12.5% with 12.5% still to be counted, they should be up to 98% by Thur evening at this rate and we should know the winner. Arizona is more up in the air for Biden rigtht now than Penn is, Penn should be a shoe in for Biden, he's posting better than Hillary all across the state including in strong Republican districts, Bidens position in Penn keeps getting stronger and stronger, in Arizona on the other hand successive counts are eating away at Bidens lead which is now less than half the lead it was, so CNN at least is not calling Arizona for Biden even though hes 80,000 votes ahead, but 400-500,000 votes to be counted by estimates.
 

ronki23

Well-Known Member
Why was Arizona called so early ?!

Biden needs to win Arizona and Nevada

Or

Arizona and Pennsylvania

Or

Arizona and Georgia
 

ronki23

Well-Known Member
How likely is it Biden wins Nevada ? Last 3 elections it was Democratic but I believe George W. Bush has won it before ?
 

Subduction Zone

Veteran Member
Why was Arizona called so early ?!

Biden needs to win Arizona and Nevada

Or

Arizona and Pennsylvania

Or

Arizona and Georgia
CNN has not called Arizona yet. Occasionally various news sources call a race and have to eat crow later. Ironically FOX has called Arizona.

Meanwhile in the states where Trump's leads and have not been called his numbers i continue to fall. There are quite a few uncounted votes out there and they come from heavily Democratic areas.

Trump is pushing for counting to end in the states where he is ahead and to continue in states where he is behind. As always he is quite the hypocrite. When it comes to counting votes the Democrats hold the moral high ground in this election.
 
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