ImmortalFlame
Woke gremlin
Well, it's what comes up when I search for it. The source can be found here:Okay.
Still no.
http://begthequestion.info/
It sure is a good thing our entire scientific, justice and logic systems don't depend on evidence then, eh?On the contrary, you are the irrational one. Evidence cannot be used to support conclusions without using a logical fallacy.
Nope, completely true. Every time you push a specific key on a keyboard, you are assuming that it will correspond to the letter you wish to type, based on the letter on the key and the fact that having pushed the key before you are assured that doing so again will produce the same result. Every time you leave your house by the front door, you do this because you assume that said door leads outside rather than flinging you into space, based solely on the fact that it has always lead you outside in the past and you assume it won't do anything other than that in the future. Every time you drink water, you assume it isn't poison because the sources of water you drink have never contained water in the past and you have no reason to assume that the next water you drink from the same source will contain poison.Completely untrue.
If you do not believe these are the result of induction, then please re-familiarize yourself with the concept.
It makes it demonstrably reliable to the point where our reliance upon it is second nature. In order to argue against the rationality of inductive reasoning, you literally have to apply a great deal of inductive reasoning, so you must believe that there is at least a degree of reliability in the process. If not, you wouldn't be bothering to use it. You'd have already given up on keyboards, because you can't assume the keys will correspond to anything; stopped drinking water, because you can't assume it won't contain poison; and boarded up your front door, because you can't assume it won't throw you into space.However, for the sake of argument, let's assume that it is true. Let's assume that I use induction every second of the day.
So what? Does that make induction logically justificable? No.
Since I've yet to go into any kind of detail on what falsification is, you clearly aren't qualified to tell me what I do and do not know. I am also well acquainted with confirmation bias, which has nothing to do with inductive reasoning. All reasoning is potentially subject to confirmation bias, including your ridiculous, self-serving pseudo-intellectual attacks.Confirmation bias is the tendency among people to look for things that confirm their beliefs rather than things that might falsify their beliefs.
Yet you claim that you believe in scientific falsficationism. Sadly, you don't even know what it is.
It would, but you couldn't demonstrate the claim to be true even if you never found a white raven, or a raven of any other colour than black. Your claim can be falsified, but never sufficiently demonstrated to be true. Science works on the same basis, but unlike your raven assertion the hypotheses are always tentative and always designed to be tested against.No, finding one white raven would falsify the claim.
You are reported.Scientific hypotheses are never and can never be confirmed. That's the point, dumbass.
So tentative conclusions can never be confirmed? Are you confusing confirmation with certitude?First you say that all claims must be tentative, then you say methodologies are used to confirm them. Get a brain, come back, and then we'll talk.
Yeah, I get it, you can twist numbers to support your claim that the flu vaccine is ineffective while supporting your argument with baseless claims of bias and jargon. Sophistry at its finest!No, what I'm doing is pointing out the misleading nature of CDC statistics by calculating the NNT.
From http://www.med.uottawa.ca/sim/data/Number_Needed_to_Treat_e.htm
The NNT (Number Needed To Treat) is a statistic that summarizes the effectiveness of a therapy, or a preventive measure, in achieving a desired outcome. It is one way to indicate the clinical significance of an intervention. The simple idea is that no treatment works for everybody, so how many do you need to treat to benefit one case?
Treatments not equal?
- The number needed to treat (NNT) is the number of patients with a condition who must follow a treatment regimen over a specified time in order to achieve the desired outcome for one person.
------------------
- The NNT can be presented in negative terms, where the goal is to avoid a negative outcome such as taking medication to prevent a stroke; but it can also apply to achieving a cure.
Actually, more specifically, I am calculating NNV (number needed to vaccinate). See https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Number_needed_to_vaccinate
Or we could talk about the effectiveness of the trivalent influenza vaccine in terms of NNV (see http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3994812/ ).
>For community-dwelling seniors, the NNT to prevent 1 case of influenza is 40. The flu shot has not been shown to decrease hospitalizations. Evidence that the flu shot decreases mortality is likely biased.
If the NNT = 40 then treating 100 people will prevent 2.5 cases of influenza. In other words, 97.5 percent of those who receive the shot do not receive any benefit.
Math... get it?
Last edited: